Scarce-Bed — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.9%

Resolved

Trades

139

lifetime

Volume

$1.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 05-15 09:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 55% +$5

Politics

20% — —

Other

19% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$82	42	42	+0	open	—	03-10 20:13
ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 draw	2	$81	41	41	+0	open	—	03-10 19:40
will trump say mr speaker during the 2026 state of the union address 379	3	$75	71	71	+0	open	—	02-25 06:21
btc updown 5m 1773136500	2	$65	41	40	+1	open	—	03-10 10:00
btc updown 15m 1769697000	2	$54	28	28	+0	open	—	01-29 14:46
btc updown 5m 1772807700	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	03-06 14:40
will trump say corn during iowa speech 541	2	$50	40	40	+0	open	—	01-27 23:22
btc updown 5m 1773167400	2	$41	43	0	+43	open	—	03-10 18:34
btc updown 5m 1773173400	1	$41	56	0	+56	open	—	03-10 20:14
mwoh fin swe 2026 02 13	2	$37	27	27	+0	open	—	02-13 14:55
btc updown 5m 1772386200	2	$35	26	25	+0	open	—	03-01 17:35
will trump say coal during the 2026 state of the union address	2	$33	28	28	+0	open	—	02-25 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$33	34	0	+34	Down	+$1	05-13 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$33	33	0	+33	Down	+$0	05-13 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$32	33	0	+33	open	—	05-15 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	3	$32	27	16	+11	open	—	05-15 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$30	46	0	+46	Down	$-2	05-13 18:33
btc updown 15m 1769698800	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	01-29 15:38
btc updown 15m 1769804100	1	$27	34	0	+34	open	—	01-30 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	3	$26	42	20	+22	open	—	05-15 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$22	63	0	+63	open	—	05-15 09:33
btc updown 15m 1768372200	1	$14	24	0	+24	open	—	01-14 06:35
btc updown 15m 1768371300	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	01-14 06:27
will trump say 401k during iowa speech 141 213	1	$12	39	0	+39	open	—	01-27 21:00
btc updown 5m 1773166800	2	$9	10	9	+0	open	—	03-10 18:23
will trump say alien during the 2026 state of the union address	2	$9	31	31	+0	open	—	02-24 23:45
will trump say nuclear during the 2026 state of the union address	2	$9	42	42	+0	open	—	02-24 23:49
will trump say america or american 15 times during iowa speech 393	1	$8	81	0	+81	open	—	01-27 20:57
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during fed chair announcement	2	$8	68	0	+68	open	—	01-30 12:00
will trump say stupid during fox interview on wednesday	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-16 08:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 09:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	23	8¢	$2	0xab79b7…
05-15 09:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xf6b1a1…
05-15 09:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x61300c…
05-15 09:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x28f410…
05-15 09:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x13852f…
05-15 09:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0x49f439…
05-15 09:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x25a3bb…
05-15 09:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	67¢	$11	0xfc7d54…
05-15 09:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x7d21cd…
05-15 09:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x274d8c…
05-15 09:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x578ebb…
05-15 09:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x98751d…
05-15 09:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x45bc05…
05-15 08:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x1e5b0a…
05-15 08:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x35b72c…
05-15 07:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0b21e3…
05-15 06:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa8ca71…
05-15 06:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x6e4b03…
05-14 21:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x80b184…
05-14 10:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xa052a7…
05-14 10:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe1cd65…
05-13 20:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xf7fcd2…
05-13 20:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xcd4292…
05-13 18:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xa816e9…
05-13 18:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4072b0…
05-13 18:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x57df66…
05-13 18:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x23669f…
05-13 18:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcdb053…
05-13 18:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd207a6…
05-13 18:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe05dc7…
05-13 18:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xac6bbe…
05-13 18:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xe33830…
05-13 18:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xca6e65…
05-13 18:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3d6af6…
05-13 18:36:55	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	38	10¢	$4	0xa83098…
05-13 18:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xc8cdf0…
05-13 18:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x8b6e44…
05-13 11:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x53214a…
05-13 09:37:48	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x9cf224…
05-13 09:37:39	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xd10043…
05-13 09:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x17c651…
05-13 09:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x7cdff0…
05-13 09:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x30051c…
05-13 06:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xcf54ef…
05-12 09:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xdb521e…
05-12 09:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x8c0314…
05-12 09:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6aac7c…
05-12 09:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x25d971…
05-11 07:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x818ef5…
05-11 07:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe96943…
05-11 07:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x7b23cc…
05-11 07:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1e1499…
05-06 11:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x469916…
05-06 11:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x76603c…
05-06 11:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x393af5…
05-06 11:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x256d5b…
05-05 11:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xfca3a7…
05-05 11:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x880f3a…
05-05 11:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6b9cd8…
05-05 11:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd2f494…
05-05 07:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xbae802…
05-04 11:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf0e093…
05-04 11:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x753fae…
05-04 11:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb86fb0…
05-04 11:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	53	1¢	$1	0x4cc42f…
05-04 11:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd0bf96…
05-04 11:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x214953…
04-24 10:44:16	btc updown 5m 1777027200	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x74a3cb…
04-17 11:22:10	btc updown 5m 1776424800	Up	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0xe59fdc…
04-17 11:20:34	btc updown 5m 1776424800	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb017da…
04-17 11:16:00	btc updown 5m 1776424500	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc06bbd…
04-16 12:45:26	btc updown 5m 1776343200	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$2	0x85cfba…
04-16 12:40:24	btc updown 5m 1776343200	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd33ad9…
04-16 12:38:22	btc updown 5m 1776342900	Up	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xc52192…
04-16 12:37:36	btc updown 5m 1776342900	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd8eeeb…
04-16 08:36:46	will trump say stupid during fox interview on wednesday	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0f825b…
04-15 09:58:36	will trumps remarks not air 837	Yes	BUY	180	3¢	$5	0xe574d9…
04-15 09:58:22	will trump say gay during fox interview on wednesday	Yes	BUY	84	6¢	$5	0x7dfecd…
04-15 09:56:58	will trump say blockade during fox interview on wednesday	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5eb33b…
04-15 09:55:30	will trump say stupid during fox interview on wednesday	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc28bd6…
04-15 09:54:14	will trump say greatest military during fox interview on wednesday	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x9dedd5…
04-15 09:52:52	will trump say gay during fox interview on wednesday	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x553dd3…
03-10 20:14:59	btc updown 5m 1773173400	Down	BUY	56	74¢	$41	0x1ff190…
03-10 20:13:35	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0x5da096…
03-10 19:53:11	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	42	99¢	$41	0xb2b50c…
03-10 19:40:59	ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 draw	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xb6f927…
03-10 19:37:25	ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 draw	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xef23a4…
03-10 18:41:27	will leavitt say president 55 times during the next white house press briefing	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x170353…
03-10 18:34:57	btc updown 5m 1773167400	Up	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x92d32b…
03-10 18:30:45	btc updown 5m 1773167400	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa7254f…
03-10 18:23:37	btc updown 5m 1773166800	Up	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0xabad1e…
03-10 18:22:47	btc updown 5m 1773166800	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x9ce5d3…
03-10 10:00:51	btc updown 5m 1773136500	Down	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xf33e76…
03-10 09:58:21	btc updown 5m 1773136500	Down	BUY	41	62¢	$25	0x38e62a…
03-09 07:54:35	btc updown 5m 1773042600	Down	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0x652d6a…
03-09 07:53:11	btc updown 5m 1773042600	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x993e19…
03-09 07:52:19	btc updown 5m 1773042600	Up	SELL	3	54¢	$1	0x4013d6…
03-09 07:51:39	btc updown 5m 1773042600	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5899d6…
03-06 14:40:21	btc updown 5m 1772807700	Down	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x2237c4…
03-06 14:38:35	btc updown 5m 1772807700	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xb98e0f…