Long-Term-Hull — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$90

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

453

Trades

3,423

lifetime

Volume

$10.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 05-19 14:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 49% $-90

Activity

No trades on file.

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 115k in january 2026	2	$2.0K	1,037	1,037	+0	No	+$18	01-07 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	79	$154	299	0	+299	Up	$-34	05-19 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	65	$124	445	0	+445	Up	+$25	05-19 10:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	64	$122	423	0	+423	Down	$-40	05-19 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	45	$120	292	0	+292	Up	+$6	05-19 07:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	6	$110	126	92	+35	Down	+$3	04-27 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	53	$105	215	0	+215	Down	$-3	05-19 11:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	39	$105	219	0	+219	Up	+$24	05-19 07:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5AM ET	19	$104	74	59	+15	Down	+$14	05-18 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	47	$93	273	0	+273	Up	$-5	05-19 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	6	$93	100	82	+18	Up	$-18	04-27 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	46	$91	209	0	+209	Down	+$37	05-19 07:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	45	$88	198	0	+198	Down	+$12	05-19 10:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	44	$82	247	0	+247	Up	+$14	05-19 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	43	$82	331	0	+331	Down	+$119	05-19 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	42	$82	223	0	+223	Up	+$80	05-19 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET	15	$78	43	43	+0	Down	+$9	05-18 11:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	38	$75	234	0	+234	Down	$-6	05-19 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	4	$73	72	62	+10	Down	$-4	04-27 01:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	37	$73	279	0	+279	Up	+$11	05-19 10:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	37	$72	334	0	+334	Down	$-1	05-19 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	35	$68	139	0	+139	Down	$-13	05-19 07:56
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	13	$65	100	3,524	-3,424	No	+$62	02-28 13:01
btc updown 5m 1776917700	6	$63	60	56	+4	Down	+$5	04-23 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	21	$63	138	0	+138	Up	+$12	05-19 07:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	4	$61	101	80	+21	Up	$-19	04-26 21:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	31	$60	116	0	+116	Down	+$19	05-19 07:57
btc updown 5m 1776935400	6	$60	54	47	+7	Up	+$6	04-23 09:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	30	$58	104	0	+104	Up	$-13	05-19 11:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	23	$58	71	0	+71	Down	+$13	05-18 09:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 14:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x5d2197…
05-19 14:41:35	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xafdfe2…
05-19 14:41:35	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x50704f…
05-19 14:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x7b2184…
05-19 14:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x725eca…
05-19 14:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6bbab5…
05-19 14:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xc95159…
05-19 14:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x78437e…
05-19 14:41:10	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xcd7912…
05-19 14:41:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x473adc…
05-19 14:41:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x233543…
05-19 14:41:08	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x79f886…
05-19 14:41:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0x469334…
05-19 14:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x368d39…
05-19 14:41:07	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe99541…
05-19 14:41:07	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x74b92d…
05-19 14:41:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x4a2d7f…
05-19 14:41:05	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x962538…
05-19 14:41:05	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x5859d7…
05-19 14:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2f81b5…
05-19 14:40:53	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf12463…
05-19 14:40:53	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6f2e6f…
05-19 14:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x49c22e…
05-19 14:40:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x2a8082…
05-19 14:40:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x5adccc…
05-19 14:39:50	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xb0e911…
05-19 14:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x9721ee…
05-19 14:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x6af5b8…
05-19 14:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	124	1¢	$1	0xf38ec1…
05-19 14:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x57a979…
05-19 14:39:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x503f77…
05-19 14:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x926bb3…
05-19 14:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x617a99…
05-19 14:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc91976…
05-19 14:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x31e2af…
05-19 14:38:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe3745f…
05-19 14:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xd848ce…
05-19 14:37:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xd2df10…
05-19 14:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x1dbb0a…
05-19 14:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xede716…
05-19 14:37:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x7fed6a…
05-19 14:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xeb7d29…
05-19 14:37:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc47b67…
05-19 14:37:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$2	0xa9cca4…
05-19 14:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xa95e60…
05-19 14:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x99a103…
05-19 14:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x4ff6dd…
05-19 14:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x4d75fa…
05-19 14:37:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0xd69b2d…
05-19 14:37:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0xa05efe…
05-19 14:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x84698d…
05-19 14:37:21	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9bc257…
05-19 14:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x03f73d…
05-19 14:37:19	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xa12a04…
05-19 14:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x46fd44…
05-19 14:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xf37b73…
05-19 14:37:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x31fd6e…
05-19 14:37:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0xb71468…
05-19 14:36:46	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x9860d0…
05-19 13:34:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xf2767d…
05-19 13:34:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xc9fd8e…
05-19 13:34:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xb59f5f…
05-19 13:34:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0x6fb717…
05-19 13:34:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x7941aa…
05-19 13:33:30	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xd97851…
05-19 13:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x54d1a2…
05-19 13:32:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x07d87d…
05-19 13:32:45	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xa2f005…
05-19 13:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x64d6f9…
05-19 13:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x5bc703…
05-19 13:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xbcaf5a…
05-19 13:32:15	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x76b1b5…
05-19 13:32:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x546f75…
05-19 13:32:15	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x40ed49…
05-19 13:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x966a86…
05-19 13:31:50	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x75380a…
05-19 13:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xe53b3f…
05-19 13:31:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x9c05eb…
05-19 13:31:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x69f00f…
05-19 13:31:47	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xfff58f…
05-19 13:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x7922c8…
05-19 13:31:47	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x3f7454…
05-19 13:31:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf64758…
05-19 13:31:45	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x397a95…
05-19 13:31:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x1f3948…
05-19 13:31:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x699bee…
05-19 13:31:43	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x48ea0c…
05-19 13:31:43	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2fe9e3…
05-19 13:31:14	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb47ae3…
05-19 13:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x980ac4…
05-19 13:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x0d75cd…
05-19 13:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x7e69c9…
05-19 13:31:03	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x5565c5…
05-19 13:31:01	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x27bd7a…
05-19 13:31:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x0fac0c…
05-19 13:31:00	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xd3efc1…
05-19 13:31:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x138dd8…
05-19 13:30:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xab6350…
05-19 13:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x997c2d…
05-19 13:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x8cc5e4…