Half-Estimate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$158

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.0%

Resolved

Trades

539

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 06-07 14:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 42% $-158

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9PM ET	6	$561	1,186	1,186	+0	open	—	04-29 02:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8AM ET	7	$469	642	433	+210	open	—	05-25 12:58
bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 3am et	4	$465	652	452	+200	open	—	06-05 07:40
bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 11am et	4	$355	345	345	+0	open	—	06-06 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2PM ET	3	$306	167	305	-138	open	—	05-25 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1PM ET	5	$301	692	406	+286	Up	$-180	05-07 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1PM ET	4	$297	307	307	+0	open	—	05-20 17:25
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 1pm et	9	$284	2,082	1,942	+140	open	—	04-23 17:52
bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 12pm et	4	$282	1,351	500	+851	open	—	06-05 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6PM ET	3	$266	202	202	+0	open	—	05-01 22:55
bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 8am et	3	$223	169	169	+0	open	—	06-06 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5AM ET	4	$190	334	101	+233	open	—	05-31 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2PM ET	5	$178	458	199	+259	open	—	04-25 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2PM ET	4	$177	744	744	+0	open	—	05-20 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$168	147	147	+0	open	—	04-29 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	2	$165	145	145	+0	open	—	05-02 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11AM ET	7	$158	185	185	+0	open	—	05-18 16:02
bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 8pm et	3	$152	816	253	+564	open	—	06-07 00:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12PM ET	7	$151	293	293	+0	open	—	04-28 17:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5PM ET	4	$148	180	180	+0	Up	$-12	05-11 21:26
btc updown 5m 1776963300	3	$147	134	128	+6	open	—	04-23 16:56
bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 10am et	5	$144	160	160	+0	open	—	06-05 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$138	187	179	+9	open	—	04-25 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$133	73	72	+1	open	—	04-25 18:01
bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 5pm et	6	$129	734	671	+63	open	—	06-06 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10PM ET	4	$124	125	125	+0	open	—	05-19 02:59
bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 10am et	3	$120	652	292	+360	open	—	06-07 14:49
btc updown 4h 1776960000	2	$113	1,524	132	+1,392	open	—	04-23 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1PM ET	5	$103	148	148	+0	open	—	05-19 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3PM ET	5	$103	125	125	+0	open	—	04-28 19:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 14:49:40	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	360	24¢	$87	0x190c4f…
06-07 14:37:22	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	292	1¢	$3	0xa8bdc2…
06-07 14:26:58	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	292	10¢	$30	0x90a458…
06-07 01:02:09	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 9pm et	Down	SELL	40	46¢	$19	0x2e3477…
06-07 01:01:34	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x28d25e…
06-07 00:47:48	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	564	17¢	$94	0xb98ca5…
06-07 00:47:25	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 8pm et	Up	SELL	253	7¢	$19	0x5118a9…
06-07 00:46:00	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	253	16¢	$40	0x6a329d…
06-06 23:41:22	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 7pm et	Down	SELL	578	1¢	$6	0xe40436…
06-06 23:40:16	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	578	3¢	$20	0x99eb4d…
06-06 23:15:07	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 7pm et	Down	SELL	30	21¢	$6	0xef50be…
06-06 23:14:51	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 7pm et	Down	SELL	134	14¢	$19	0x8759f2…
06-06 23:11:54	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	164	22¢	$36	0x57da56…
06-06 22:57:06	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 6pm et	Up	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0x60c269…
06-06 22:54:15	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 6pm et	Up	SELL	143	16¢	$23	0x5df8b8…
06-06 22:52:27	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	285	13¢	$36	0x99bf6c…
06-06 22:49:06	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 6pm et	Up	SELL	154	5¢	$8	0x1d7d7d…
06-06 22:25:48	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x560f3b…
06-06 21:57:54	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 5pm et	Down	SELL	62	7¢	$4	0xc5cfaf…
06-06 21:56:51	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xc26014…
06-06 21:54:19	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 5pm et	Down	SELL	304	1¢	$3	0xcf18fe…
06-06 21:40:00	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 5pm et	Down	SELL	304	19¢	$57	0x46c893…
06-06 21:35:42	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	201	4¢	$9	0x700dd3…
06-06 21:23:31	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	408	12¢	$50	0x1dbce5…
06-06 19:27:16	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 3pm et	Down	SELL	121	54¢	$65	0x42fca0…
06-06 19:12:48	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	121	30¢	$36	0x567f78…
06-06 18:57:52	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 2pm et	Down	SELL	64	4¢	$3	0x6c9ac0…
06-06 18:48:39	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x2cf9cf…
06-06 15:43:03	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	86	59¢	$51	0x1f7594…
06-06 15:42:30	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	86	69¢	$60	0x332a38…
06-06 15:41:46	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	172	64¢	$110	0x0dc609…
06-06 15:36:13	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	345	39¢	$135	0x4ed9cc…
06-06 14:49:30	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	83	6¢	$5	0x2393a4…
06-06 14:48:46	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x9bbbd2…
06-06 12:49:48	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	169	88¢	$149	0x0fc305…
06-06 12:41:45	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0xe4e147…
06-06 12:39:01	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	156	44¢	$69	0xfbd4f4…
06-05 16:24:42	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	126	14¢	$18	0x4e8d1f…
06-05 16:24:15	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	725	18¢	$129	0x9ea39d…
06-05 16:22:52	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 12pm et	Down	SELL	500	7¢	$35	0x00549d…
06-05 16:19:01	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x37abd4…
06-05 15:47:25	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xbbe9f8…
06-05 15:43:12	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	167	9¢	$15	0x9dce6d…
06-05 15:41:33	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x9fab08…
06-05 14:56:30	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	55	39¢	$21	0xe07306…
06-05 14:54:37	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	55	31¢	$17	0xfd9267…
06-05 14:39:40	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 10am et	Up	SELL	26	66¢	$17	0xfbc619…
06-05 14:35:00	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 10am et	Up	SELL	79	61¢	$48	0xafa502…
06-05 14:34:37	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	105	38¢	$40	0x2f362a…
06-05 09:46:54	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x494c6a…
06-05 07:40:37	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x3c2133…
06-05 07:28:34	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 3am et	Up	SELL	452	80¢	$361	0xcc27a9…
06-05 07:13:30	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xfd4311…
06-05 07:12:48	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	446	22¢	$99	0x3982ab…
05-31 18:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	757	5¢	$40	0xcd697c…
05-31 18:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	163	25¢	$40	0xa1ad4e…
05-31 09:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	51	84¢	$42	0x72d21f…
05-31 09:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	51	86¢	$43	0x749d4d…
05-31 09:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	101	38¢	$39	0x066581…
05-31 09:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	233	28¢	$65	0xb2c156…
05-26 05:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xc91965…
05-26 04:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0x4d3f90…
05-26 04:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	48	11¢	$5	0xfcfc68…
05-26 04:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x546c57…
05-26 03:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	33	13¢	$4	0xaa3f78…
05-26 02:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	88	2¢	$2	0x647980…
05-26 02:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	88	8¢	$7	0xf12cfe…
05-26 01:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x192e7f…
05-26 01:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	25	17¢	$4	0x0be027…
05-26 01:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x84e456…
05-25 23:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7PM ET	Down	SELL	34	4¢	$1	0xd28a0d…
05-25 23:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	34	9¢	$3	0x9cc4ac…
05-25 19:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	33	2¢	$1	0x50525e…
05-25 19:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xe0895b…
05-25 19:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	76	99¢	$75	0xfa9be9…
05-25 18:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	229	79¢	$180	0xd7925c…
05-25 18:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x731f8f…
05-25 17:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	533	5¢	$25	0xa35c08…
05-25 16:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	16	30¢	$5	0x6e0471…
05-25 16:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xdfdf76…
05-25 14:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	333	1¢	$3	0x5ca831…
05-25 14:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x75d362…
05-25 12:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	210	2¢	$5	0xd56cb3…
05-25 12:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	104	64¢	$66	0x16c20f…
05-25 12:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	104	65¢	$68	0xd89c7e…
05-25 12:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	208	84¢	$174	0x9dae66…
05-25 12:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	415	33¢	$139	0x81cd78…
05-25 12:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	17	44¢	$8	0x8e6dee…
05-25 12:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x3478b3…
05-21 19:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	202	4¢	$8	0x7912e6…
05-21 19:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	202	22¢	$44	0x06babc…
05-20 18:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	318	2¢	$6	0x0a7bc2…
05-20 18:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	318	9¢	$27	0xbf5fe7…
05-20 18:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	426	7¢	$30	0x42b76e…
05-20 18:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	426	27¢	$113	0x503cf7…
05-20 17:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	19	80¢	$15	0x5aad6f…
05-20 17:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	58	80¢	$46	0x81fc61…
05-20 17:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	230	49¢	$113	0xae2d8c…
05-20 17:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	307	40¢	$123	0xea62fd…
05-20 16:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0xf9bde3…