Carefree-Quince — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.03K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.7%

Resolved

10,401

Trades

45,168

lifetime

Volume

$700.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 09-04 23:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 227 days

Categories

Other

100% 97% +$1,047

Politics

0% 88% -$1

Tech

0% 50% -$1

Crypto

0% 0% -$11

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 311 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on July 9?	26	$601	303	303	+0	No	+$4	07-09 09:34
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C or below on June 24?	31	$561	284	284	+0	No	+$5	06-24 08:49
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 18?	23	$519	262	262	+0	No	+$4	06-18 11:40
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 16?	21	$502	254	254	+0	No	+$5	06-16 19:17
Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 23?	21	$502	254	254	+0	No	+$5	06-23 08:45
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 12?	21	$482	244	244	+0	No	+$4	06-12 23:31
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 17?	26	$467	236	236	+0	No	+$4	06-17 13:16
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C or higher on June 25?	17	$461	233	233	+0	No	+$4	06-25 03:05
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 19?	20	$460	232	232	+0	No	+$3	06-18 17:30
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 106-107°F on July 2?	23	$442	224	224	+0	No	+$4	07-02 17:21
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 28?	30	$442	224	224	+0	No	+$4	06-27 10:54
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on April 28?	22	$434	220	220	+0	No	+$5	04-28 22:40
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 17?	16	$422	213	213	+0	No	+$3	06-17 03:28
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C or below on May 5?	18	$419	213	213	+0	No	+$5	05-05 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or below on June 13?	12	$400	202	202	+0	No	+$2	06-12 14:15
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on July 12?	19	$400	202	202	+0	No	+$3	07-12 03:30
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 11?	13	$399	202	202	+0	No	+$4	06-11 05:59
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 7?	17	$399	202	202	+0	No	+$4	06-07 06:59
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or below on June 26?	25	$399	201	201	+0	No	+$3	06-26 09:33
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or below on June 4?	17	$397	201	201	+0	No	+$4	06-04 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C or below on June 19?	28	$396	200	200	+0	No	+$3	06-19 00:29
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 80°F or higher on June 13?	13	$392	198	198	+0	No	+$3	06-13 21:00
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 31?	19	$386	195	195	+0	No	+$3	05-31 07:30
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 14?	20	$382	193	193	+0	No	+$3	07-14 14:30
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 21?	16	$382	193	193	+0	No	+$3	06-21 17:11
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 9?	13	$382	193	193	+0	No	+$3	07-09 07:59
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 22?	15	$382	193	193	+0	No	+$3	06-22 06:59
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 13?	19	$382	193	193	+0	No	+$3	06-13 05:03
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 20?	31	$382	193	193	+0	No	+$3	06-20 17:55
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 28?	26	$382	193	193	+0	No	+$3	06-28 16:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-04 23:17:36	Will 170 to 199 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x470e15…
09-02 08:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 2?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7cebd7…
09-02 08:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 2?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4349af…
09-02 05:54:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C on September 2?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8ef2fd…
09-01 15:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C or below on September 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfea19c…
09-01 15:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C or below on September 1?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x5dec4e…
09-01 15:28:52	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on September 2?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x36e1ae…
09-01 15:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 79°F or below on September 2?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x235ff4…
09-01 14:55:52	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on September 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x41aaa9…
09-01 14:43:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on September 1?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xf5919c…
09-01 14:19:36	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 98°F or higher on September 2?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaba59c…
09-01 14:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on September 1?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbc1ff0…
09-01 13:53:24	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 1?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf9a3af…
09-01 13:47:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on September 1?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x463e2d…
09-01 13:40:52	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 1?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x16d810…
09-01 10:32:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 2?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xac4919…
09-01 10:23:42	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on September 1?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2394f0…
09-01 09:51:40	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 102°F or higher on September 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5a2021…
09-01 08:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on September 1?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xace04c…
09-01 08:45:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on September 1?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x90304c…
09-01 08:45:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on September 1?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9826f9…
09-01 08:36:33	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 2?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd30c48…
09-01 08:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C or higher on September 1?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcf4f22…
09-01 07:40:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or below on September 1?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2567f4…
09-01 07:40:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or below on September 1?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xdd54e5…
09-01 07:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or below on September 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb135be…
09-01 07:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or below on September 1?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x47f1c5…
09-01 07:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or below on September 2?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x04f181…
09-01 07:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C or below on September 2?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x933e3b…
09-01 06:33:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 1?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x41d484…
09-01 06:11:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xad7138…
09-01 05:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 81°F or below on September 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe27a02…
09-01 05:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on September 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfacc74…
09-01 05:30:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0e5a46…
09-01 05:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on September 2?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xbfb15e…
09-01 05:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on September 2?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xb2d824…
09-01 05:12:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 1?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1658c1…
09-01 05:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 1?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xbf302f…
09-01 04:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on September 1?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x001b4b…
09-01 04:11:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on September 1?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xe7ed90…
09-01 04:03:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on September 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb71e2c…
09-01 03:51:13	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 65°F or below on August 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8ed0e9…
09-01 03:37:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 2?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1d78d3…
09-01 02:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on September 1?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf70527…
09-01 02:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on September 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5a9a16…
09-01 01:57:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x70e945…
09-01 01:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 2?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4412af…
09-01 01:39:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 1?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x706b93…
09-01 01:39:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 1?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1bc80c…
09-01 01:39:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x94ff4f…
09-01 01:12:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 1?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd5b0d4…
09-01 01:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on September 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf0f86a…
09-01 01:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 1?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x7035b4…
09-01 01:05:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on September 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe28800…
09-01 01:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3013b5…
09-01 01:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or below on September 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x12729c…
08-31 22:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 1?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x81f020…
08-31 22:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 82°F or higher on August 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x87189f…
08-31 22:30:42	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on August 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9ef7ce…
08-31 22:17:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on September 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x91a349…
08-31 21:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xec3d6f…
08-31 21:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on August 31?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0c90aa…
08-31 21:36:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on September 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf3c6ea…
08-31 21:34:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on September 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x01f386…
08-31 21:20:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on August 31?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x3e7d68…
08-31 21:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 2?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcaa530…
08-31 21:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on August 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x59a9c7…
08-31 20:59:40	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf9d487…
08-31 20:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 1?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x946690…
08-31 20:47:33	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on September 1?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x96891c…
08-31 20:47:33	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 1?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x80fcd5…
08-31 20:25:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x85fb0d…
08-31 20:24:43	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on August 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x846d29…
08-31 20:23:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 1?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x2c014a…
08-31 20:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C or higher on September 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xeec940…
08-31 20:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C or higher on September 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4e262a…
08-31 20:03:49	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on September 1?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2817c9…
08-31 20:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 1?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x730813…
08-31 20:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 2?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa47a79…
08-31 20:00:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 92°F or higher on September 1?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xbad4da…
08-31 19:37:34	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C or higher on September 2?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb24cbe…
08-31 19:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 2?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa6f179…
08-31 19:25:58	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 2?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6a95ce…
08-31 19:25:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 2?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x094fcd…
08-31 18:52:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on August 31?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$7	0xd589bc…
08-31 18:52:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on August 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4afd7c…
08-31 18:51:27	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on August 31?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x2ecab9…
08-31 18:43:57	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on September 1?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x828305…
08-31 18:31:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 1?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7c75b6…
08-31 18:29:00	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 3°C on September 1?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xec9207…
08-31 18:29:00	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 3°C on September 1?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x509b72…
08-31 18:29:00	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 3°C on September 1?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x41a113…
08-31 18:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 31?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd7b1a5…
08-31 18:18:19	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe3294f…
08-31 18:02:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on September 1?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x725b17…
08-31 18:01:34	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8e5138…
08-31 17:53:46	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 81°F or below on August 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x93def5…
08-31 17:52:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 31?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x21008d…
08-31 17:41:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 1?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x377171…
08-31 17:29:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on September 2?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x307bf4…