Elegant-Veto — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

58.7%

Resolved

Trades

210

lifetime

Volume

$652

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-26

last 09-17 10:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 50% -$17

Other

5% 0% -$11

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 0% $0

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes		-42	-$7	15¢	$-6	+$1	09-17 10:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	9	$59	43	32	+12	Up	+$5	04-27 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	7	$48	69	66	+3	Up	-$15	04-27 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	5	$42	25	25	+1	Up	+$7	04-27 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	5	$41	37	17	+20	Up	-$6	04-27 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$40	21	21	+0	Down	+$2	04-27 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	4	$38	50	19	+31	Down	-$2	04-27 13:50
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	9	$25	44	86	-42	open	—	09-17 10:07
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	04-27 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	4	$16	12	10	+2	Down	+$3	04-27 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	3	$15	10	9	+0	Down	+$3	04-27 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$15	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	04-27 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	7	$14	20	16	+4	Down	$0	04-28 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	6	$14	111	11	+101	Down	+$4	04-26 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	5	$14	26	12	+14	Down	-$2	04-30 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	6	$13	28	19	+9	Up	+$1	04-30 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Down	+$3	04-27 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	5	$12	33	16	+17	Down	+$0	04-28 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	5	$12	12	12	+0	Down	-$6	04-27 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	6	$12	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	04-28 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$11	19	0	+19	Up	+$3	04-27 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	04-28 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$8	12	11	+0	Down	-$8	04-27 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$8	10	0	+10	Up	+$2	04-27 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	4	$7	10	10	+0	Down	-$1	04-29 05:44
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$7	14	14	+0	No	-$7	05-16 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$7	7	7	+0	Up	+$3	04-28 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	4	$7	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	04-30 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	6	$6	7	7	+0	Down	+$0	04-30 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	3	$6	6	4	+2	Up	+$2	04-28 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	4	$6	17	5	+11	Down	$0	04-28 14:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 10:07:22	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0xa3f762…
05-24 15:11:28	Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x67476a…
05-24 15:11:11	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x7bcd4b…
05-23 20:19:18	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xeaf798…
05-23 20:18:17	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0x56b44d…
05-23 20:18:01	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	19¢	$3	0x39b60c…
05-16 22:55:54	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xfed43e…
05-16 08:59:47	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x969f6a…
05-16 08:59:24	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x21ceef…
04-30 21:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x25e56e…
04-30 21:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe6e64f…
04-30 18:53:42	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x80be54…
04-30 18:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0xae9a02…
04-30 18:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc3708c…
04-30 18:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	58¢	$3	0x302cce…
04-30 18:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x1339e4…
04-30 18:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x018fa7…
04-30 18:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe3ec94…
04-30 16:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x9412cc…
04-30 16:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9d60d8…
04-30 16:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x215d89…
04-30 16:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xbce377…
04-30 16:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xab2df5…
04-30 16:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xee5402…
04-30 16:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5d9ad4…
04-30 16:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x97835d…
04-30 16:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	45¢	$6	0x018b13…
04-30 16:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x5c91bd…
04-30 16:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xaf68ca…
04-30 16:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x22dc64…
04-30 16:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x167e0c…
04-30 16:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x104418…
04-30 16:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	17	34¢	$6	0xed990e…
04-30 16:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x9d67a0…
04-30 16:09:46	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x26bb6f…
04-30 16:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xcc226d…
04-30 16:06:36	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x6d476a…
04-29 08:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x0d97f5…
04-29 05:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0x95a0b7…
04-29 05:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x75377d…
04-29 05:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x7fa0e7…
04-29 05:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0x909263…
04-29 05:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd735a9…
04-29 05:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x268f37…
04-29 05:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xfd6c7b…
04-28 19:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe143ad…
04-28 19:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x72027e…
04-28 19:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x0c44f0…
04-28 19:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	13	36¢	$5	0x835e90…
04-28 19:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xc51802…
04-28 19:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0xdb53fd…
04-28 19:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5fb248…
04-28 19:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0xea6e97…
04-28 19:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x1c4166…
04-28 19:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x309f72…
04-28 19:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x2f4331…
04-28 19:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xefabf1…
04-28 19:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0x8cf42a…
04-28 19:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xd516a5…
04-28 19:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xe96829…
04-28 19:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa4b3d5…
04-28 19:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xbef8b7…
04-28 19:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0xbdf05a…
04-28 19:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x7a536a…
04-28 18:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0xa267b0…
04-28 18:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x1a6836…
04-28 18:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xa7640b…
04-28 18:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x151363…
04-28 18:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x5933dc…
04-28 18:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x41f807…
04-28 18:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x25fe96…
04-28 18:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x9e2ddc…
04-28 18:48:48	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xbdaea8…
04-28 14:44:00	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x34c3a1…
04-28 14:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	16	4¢	$1	0xc71179…
04-28 14:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd1c8f1…
04-28 14:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xff197e…
04-28 14:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x895fc6…
04-28 14:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x39da5f…
04-28 14:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x177f76…
04-28 14:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xf36fad…
04-28 14:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x0bed4c…
04-28 14:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x9a4500…
04-28 14:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xbfd8e3…
04-28 14:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xcc61d9…
04-28 14:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x32f05c…
04-28 14:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x53a3f3…
04-28 14:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x37ac62…
04-28 14:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe24c47…
04-28 14:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0xe0cfee…
04-28 14:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xee8f78…
04-28 14:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0x590dcd…
04-28 14:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf50261…
04-28 14:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2f8338…
04-28 14:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x40a736…
04-28 14:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x1cd012…
04-28 13:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5a8c71…
04-28 13:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x52f5d1…
04-28 13:53:38	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	19¢	$4	0x9debdf…
04-28 10:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbba9f6…