Dismal-Sailing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

290

Trades

291

lifetime

Volume

$3.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-28 15:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 218 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$5

Politics

5% 89% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$26	26	+26	No	-$26	05-15 05:00
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-02 14:18
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:50
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	26	+26	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:34
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 08:37
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:45
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 14:13
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-27 02:06
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:16
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on April 25?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-25 12:40
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-24 09:05
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:20
highest temperature in jakarta on april 22 2026 35c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:17
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$1	04-21 15:52
highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 15corhigher	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 06:26
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 20 2026 20c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 01:23
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 20 2026 25corhigher	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 16:49
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 14c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-20 06:15
highest temperature in lucknow on april 19 2026 42c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:09
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-19 05:41
highest temperature in istanbul on april 18 2026 14c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:23
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 08:07
highest temperature in manila on april 17 2026 35c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 10:20
highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 54 55f	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 03:47
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 16 2026 31c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:06
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$23	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 05:53
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 14:47
highest temperature in wellington on april 15 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 06:51
highest temperature in toronto on april 14 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-15 03:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 15:26:01	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf61330…
10-27 16:03:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf85f1e…
10-27 07:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4e1d0e…
10-26 05:30:11	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0976a0…
10-24 06:49:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdba6b1…
10-22 09:51:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa122fc…
10-20 04:35:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xda4e77…
10-19 06:26:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb44558…
10-18 07:14:35	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x339434…
10-17 07:20:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9df61e…
10-16 05:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x720079…
10-15 06:36:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcfb5ea…
10-14 07:10:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeee882…
10-13 14:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0cf0a…
10-13 04:18:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x740a28…
10-12 01:10:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26a3dd…
10-11 03:11:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x04cf74…
10-08 05:14:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe3b64a…
10-07 08:51:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaac3a3…
10-06 07:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89356d…
10-04 07:54:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd64824…
10-03 03:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb71f69…
10-02 07:20:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3c707e…
10-02 03:12:45	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x57106a…
10-01 07:34:50	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42206f…
09-30 07:37:32	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x50f5ce…
09-29 07:12:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a4251…
09-28 08:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa52c56…
09-27 02:27:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf39d78…
09-25 07:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0d1cd…
09-24 06:38:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x195ab0…
09-23 05:13:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc26102…
09-22 06:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a3c8e…
09-21 08:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xac3464…
09-20 03:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe8b988…
09-19 06:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a3bd3…
09-18 01:09:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6592f8…
09-17 01:07:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40013c…
09-16 08:43:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf32414…
09-15 23:33:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25e932…
09-15 02:26:19	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa57535…
09-14 00:52:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x28456b…
09-13 12:49:07	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2d1228…
09-12 07:27:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x18bbad…
09-11 01:12:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe40f10…
09-10 01:30:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40d4bb…
09-09 00:59:40	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c1244…
09-08 01:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x58a930…
09-07 01:49:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe56b4…
09-06 01:13:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3071c4…
09-05 09:19:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x244d2a…
09-04 08:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71366b…
09-03 01:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x008906…
09-01 01:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x334ab1…
08-30 00:13:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb07126…
08-29 05:49:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39c2f4…
08-28 01:28:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x946946…
08-27 01:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x654524…
08-26 02:01:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x455175…
08-25 06:41:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x029d5c…
08-24 07:17:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ff227…
08-23 07:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x555816…
08-22 06:28:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbef996…
08-21 01:26:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xed2a23…
08-20 05:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0e14e…
08-19 07:20:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc7da2f…
08-18 00:18:22	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x680b5d…
08-17 06:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xebdc9a…
08-16 01:44:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3df7d9…
08-15 02:32:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f176d…
08-14 01:21:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa11b1…
08-13 00:25:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x124fa8…
08-12 06:46:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95462c…
08-11 00:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x87b671…
08-10 00:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8e0f59…
08-09 07:44:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24f846…
08-09 00:26:51	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf3f5df…
08-08 00:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6bae4d…
08-07 00:19:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x937b88…
08-06 00:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf3018…
08-05 00:33:05	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x863cce…
08-04 03:25:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d106a…
08-03 00:17:38	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f8054…
08-02 00:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf81582…
08-01 00:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe886f…
07-31 07:09:08	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdccc7b…
07-30 00:16:05	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad9f02…
07-29 00:16:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2fae1…
07-28 00:20:27	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x47a842…
07-27 01:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72cd8e…
07-26 08:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85a263…
07-26 01:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa08a1a…
07-25 00:30:04	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb9b717…
07-24 01:17:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e389f…
07-23 00:29:37	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 98-99°F on July 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xadbaf6…
07-22 01:26:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1536af…
07-20 23:34:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40c2d9…
07-19 22:26:03	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x765692…
07-18 22:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe9c164…
07-17 23:43:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x16abd0…