Standard-Lecture — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

206

lifetime

Volume

$28.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$137

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 06-07 03:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

82% 100% +$1

Other

11% 100% +$6

Crypto

7% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	116	$18.4K	10,330	9,915	+415	open	—	04-05 05:28
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	8	$3.0K	2,020	2,020	+0	open	—	03-27 15:24
lol we tt 2026 03 29 game2	9	$2.1K	2,100	0	+2,100	open	—	03-29 15:01
Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?	3	$256	130	130	+0	open	—	01-22 16:14
ethereum above 2700 on february 1	1	$160	160	0	+160	open	—	02-01 14:43
bitcoin above 74k on march 7	1	$155	155	0	+155	open	—	03-07 12:02
bitcoin above 60k on february 20	1	$150	150	0	+150	open	—	02-20 08:23
Tria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$150	150	0	+150	open	—	02-04 02:23
Over $10M committed to the Foresee public sale?	1	$150	150	0	+150	open	—	02-09 03:28
will there be 810 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	1	$150	150	0	+150	open	—	02-24 03:29
ethereum above 2400 on february 14	1	$150	150	0	+150	open	—	02-14 14:22
ethereum above 2400 on february 6	1	$150	150	0	+150	open	—	02-06 11:49
ethereum above 1700 on march 10	1	$150	150	0	+150	open	—	03-10 10:34
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$149	150	0	+150	open	—	03-14 13:23
lol gen jdg 2026 03 17	1	$148	150	0	+150	open	—	03-17 14:28
bitcoin above 60k on february 12	1	$148	148	0	+148	open	—	02-12 11:31
sun quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 17 2026 1pt62	1	$148	148	0	+148	open	—	02-17 13:45
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$147	160	0	+160	open	—	03-21 21:10
bitcoin above 82k on january 27	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	01-27 10:41
Over $1M committed to the Bitway public sale?	1	$132	132	0	+132	open	—	01-24 08:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$130	130	0	+130	open	—	05-15 15:27
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$120	122	0	+122	open	—	03-04 14:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	05-23 03:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	05-27 05:57
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 18 2026	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	04-19 07:49
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$120	120	0	+120	Yes	+$0	04-16 06:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	05-11 09:57
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	1	$119	120	0	+120	open	—	06-07 03:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	1	$119	120	0	+120	No	+$1	05-09 01:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$119	120	0	+120	open	—	04-29 13:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 03:40:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x31c793…
05-27 05:57:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x404255…
05-23 03:17:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x4e90de…
05-23 02:53:39	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In	Invictus Gaming	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x509244…
05-15 15:27:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x092c2c…
05-11 09:57:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x2def91…
05-11 08:36:59	LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	T1	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf2cd04…
05-09 01:06:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0xa884f8…
05-05 08:58:12	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	110	95¢	$104	0x494e4f…
04-29 13:52:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x3160ca…
04-29 13:46:26	James Comey arrested by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x09ddf0…
04-24 05:56:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x06ddfa…
04-24 05:53:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x226405…
04-24 05:36:50	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x06a3ab…
04-24 05:17:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xa0fae1…
04-24 05:17:08	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x95f781…
04-19 07:49:48	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 18 2026	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x432387…
04-16 06:07:26	Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x64267a…
04-05 05:28:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	230	99¢	$227	0xd4c740…
03-31 04:23:33	lol jdg omg 2026 03 31	JD Gaming	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x3958e6…
03-30 10:26:10	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	516	92¢	$475	0x734102…
03-30 10:24:18	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	12	92¢	$12	0x07de00…
03-30 10:23:06	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xd8ef8c…
03-30 10:17:04	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	53	92¢	$49	0xb1a507…
03-30 10:14:26	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x0bcd26…
03-30 10:09:14	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xc84f29…
03-30 10:07:32	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x79a59b…
03-30 10:03:12	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x4a744b…
03-30 09:57:52	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xda8192…
03-30 09:57:48	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x84eadd…
03-30 09:57:16	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x023681…
03-30 09:56:02	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x98aa96…
03-30 09:56:02	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x5d7447…
03-30 09:52:00	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xaa0d7d…
03-30 09:51:56	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	543	92¢	$500	0x3edcd4…
03-30 09:49:10	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xbcbab3…
03-30 09:39:18	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	3	92¢	$2	0xc1e2da…
03-30 09:38:42	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	556	92¢	$511	0x450135…
03-30 09:37:02	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	144	92¢	$133	0x68bc16…
03-30 09:33:48	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0xdeb40d…
03-30 09:32:28	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	92	92¢	$85	0x4ace53…
03-30 05:08:56	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	2,000	91¢	$1,820	0x89f661…
03-29 15:01:20	lol we tt 2026 03 29 game2	Team WE	BUY	844	100¢	$843	0x55029f…
03-29 15:00:24	lol we tt 2026 03 29 game2	Team WE	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x184932…
03-29 14:33:46	lol we tt 2026 03 29 game2	Team WE	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x697e5b…
03-29 14:32:36	lol we tt 2026 03 29 game2	Team WE	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x5a8f65…
03-29 14:25:10	lol we tt 2026 03 29 game2	Team WE	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0xeb497e…
03-29 14:24:50	lol we tt 2026 03 29 game2	Team WE	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9995f7…
03-29 14:19:10	lol we tt 2026 03 29 game2	Team WE	BUY	843	100¢	$842	0xeaa575…
03-29 13:57:48	lol we tt 2026 03 29 game2	Team WE	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x5ca53d…
03-29 13:53:00	lol we tt 2026 03 29 game2	Team WE	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5408bf…
03-29 13:34:28	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	38	93¢	$35	0xaba6bc…
03-29 12:36:28	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	2,062	93¢	$1,918	0xccc034…
03-29 12:36:24	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbc3618…
03-29 12:30:48	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x4dacd8…
03-29 12:28:26	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xc3209c…
03-29 12:14:42	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	2,000	92¢	$1,840	0x564c08…
03-29 12:12:38	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	62	92¢	$58	0x06e332…
03-29 12:04:58	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	1,978	93¢	$1,840	0xcce5ec…
03-29 11:50:26	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	17	93¢	$16	0xc3d010…
03-29 11:49:28	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x4366af…
03-29 11:06:50	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	2,000	93¢	$1,860	0x9bcd6c…
03-28 21:56:54	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	144	90¢	$130	0x655ca5…
03-28 21:54:18	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	55	90¢	$49	0x2bfdec…
03-28 21:54:08	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	62	90¢	$55	0xfd84b0…
03-28 21:53:56	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	93	90¢	$83	0x9e1a6e…
03-28 14:03:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	1,647	89¢	$1,465	0x36ed4a…
03-28 13:45:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	205	88¢	$181	0xa0b4bc…
03-28 13:39:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0x386413…
03-28 13:38:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x4e979d…
03-28 13:35:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x035a70…
03-28 13:29:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x1e9214…
03-28 13:24:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	83	88¢	$73	0x6a5a73…
03-28 13:20:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x7878a8…
03-28 13:19:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	83	88¢	$73	0xbd2901…
03-28 13:16:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	500	88¢	$440	0x43c4d1…
03-28 13:13:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	125	88¢	$110	0x13701f…
03-28 13:09:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	167	88¢	$147	0xdab52c…
03-28 13:07:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	142	88¢	$125	0xcf6eef…
03-28 13:03:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0xcfb1af…
03-28 13:01:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0x0a6f88…
03-28 13:00:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	24	88¢	$21	0x5f5f9e…
03-28 13:00:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	125	88¢	$110	0xe5e1c3…
03-28 12:58:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	224	88¢	$197	0x016d39…
03-28 12:56:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	144	88¢	$127	0xfa9ab1…
03-28 11:43:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	672	89¢	$598	0x975cb1…
03-28 11:24:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	67	88¢	$59	0x93329f…
03-28 11:21:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	32	88¢	$29	0x88d1a3…
03-28 11:18:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	573	88¢	$504	0x9770f9…
03-28 10:41:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	92	89¢	$82	0x093b0a…
03-28 10:14:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	58	89¢	$52	0xb43a6a…
03-28 10:04:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	22	89¢	$20	0x5c85a5…
03-28 10:04:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0xb61360…
03-28 10:00:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0x084c24…
03-28 09:59:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	49	88¢	$43	0xd04580…
03-28 09:58:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0xb872e2…
03-28 09:44:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	26	88¢	$23	0x2b17d2…
03-28 09:41:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0x769715…
03-28 09:41:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0xb58b63…
03-28 09:41:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	83	88¢	$73	0xaf8209…