Mushy-Tinderbox — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.87K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.9%

Resolved

651

Trades

1,124

lifetime

Volume

$94.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$84

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 10-17 12:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

52% 58% -$1,058

Sports

42% 63% +$261

Crypto

5% 38% -$791

Politics

1% 40% -$278

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba lac mil 2026 03 29	2	$2.1K	1,136	1,136	+0	Clippers	+$134	03-29 21:28
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	13	$1.7K	1,146	1,146	+0	No	+$4	03-31 16:50
nba was mia 2026 04 04	2	$1.2K	632	631	+1	Heat	+$13	04-04 19:53
nba mia ind 2026 03 29	2	$984	800	800	+0	Pacers	-$296	03-29 23:01
nba mil hou 2026 04 01	2	$795	426	425	+1	Rockets	-$4	04-01 17:15
nba sas lac 2026 04 02	2	$792	730	722	+8	Spurs	-$120	04-02 21:07
Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5	2	$773	532	523	+8	Over	+$281	04-27 18:16
nba cle mem 2026 04 06	1	$747	830	0	+830	Cavaliers	+$83	04-06 18:00
nba min dal 2026 03 30	1	$720	1,029	0	+1,029	Timberwolves	+$309	03-30 12:56
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	2	$707	440	440	+0	Over	+$171	05-04 20:40
nba mem den 2026 04 08	1	$700	722	0	+722	Nuggets	+$22	04-08 20:16
nba sac atl 2026 03 28	2	$700	778	0	+778	Hawks	+$78	03-28 07:52
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 2.5	2	$696	400	400	+0	Over	+$96	05-04 21:32
nba hou lal 2026 04 18	2	$691	522	517	+5	Lakers	-$9	04-18 05:29
nba phx okc 2026 04 19	2	$685	360	359	+1	Thunder	+$31	04-19 20:44
nba phx chi 2026 04 05	4	$648	800	0	+800	Suns	+$152	04-05 09:56
tur fen riz 2026 04 17 total 1pt5	2	$647	349	347	+1	Over	+$48	04-17 19:57
nba por den 2026 03 22	3	$646	1,166	842	+325	Nuggets	+$66	03-22 10:15
epl eve liv 2026 04 19 total 1pt5	2	$639	341	340	+1	Over	+$41	04-19 14:34
lal rea gir 2026 04 10 total 2pt5	11	$601	429	425	+4	Under	+$1	04-10 17:26
nba mil det 2026 04 08	1	$600	625	0	+625	Pistons	+$25	04-08 20:14
nba chi was 2026 04 09	1	$600	857	0	+857	Bulls	+$257	04-09 15:46
nba bos cha 2026 03 29	1	$600	747	0	+747	Celtics	+$147	03-29 23:13
nba bos mil 2026 04 03	1	$600	645	0	+645	Celtics	+$45	04-03 17:07
nba dal sas 2026 04 10	1	$600	645	0	+645	Spurs	+$45	04-10 13:03
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	2	$567	436	428	+9	Spurs	+$288	04-26 21:59
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)	2	$562	370	365	+5	Nuggets	+$167	04-28 05:19
tur kar eyu 2026 04 18 total 3pt5	2	$546	424	421	+3	Under	-$124	04-18 13:04
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$526	310	310	+0	Yes	+$86	04-13 11:46
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5	2	$522	323	323	+0	Over	+$122	05-02 15:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 12:20:44	Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	122	53¢	$65	0x815d2a…
10-16 18:34:21	Will Çorum FK vs. Çaykur Rizespor end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xf19e05…
10-16 18:32:51	Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Anadolu Efes	Zalgiris Kaunas	SELL	137	7¢	$10	0x9a345e…
10-16 16:00:24	Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Anadolu Efes	Zalgiris Kaunas	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xf0869a…
10-15 20:37:50	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	260	46¢	$119	0x7f19bd…
10-15 20:37:12	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	363	3¢	$11	0x564822…
10-15 20:33:44	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	55	44¢	$24	0x2a9a13…
10-15 19:39:43	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	200	46¢	$92	0x06795b…
10-15 19:34:01	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	55	80¢	$44	0x83b9e0…
10-15 19:32:56	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	363	28¢	$100	0xcfe37d…
10-15 19:32:04	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	352	43¢	$151	0x9fc2fc…
10-15 18:02:14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	352	65¢	$229	0x1692f3…
10-15 17:52:44	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x24b42b…
10-15 17:52:20	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	33	99¢	$32	0x900b35…
10-15 17:51:47	Kuopion PS vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	123	99¢	$123	0x6ff834…
10-15 17:51:26	Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	159	97¢	$153	0xc20ee7…
10-15 15:51:37	Mardin 1969 Spor vs. Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	128	22¢	$28	0xe0a2cc…
10-15 15:16:35	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0x0b12d4…
10-15 15:06:14	Kuopion PS vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xc72b21…
10-15 15:05:02	Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x6013c4…
10-15 15:02:20	Mardin 1969 Spor vs. Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x5d81fd…
10-15 14:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x86d22d…
10-15 14:54:28	Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x81f100…
10-15 14:53:59	Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x7e6382…
10-15 10:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xdeadcc…
10-15 10:47:12	Olbia: Tom Gentzsch vs Georgii Kravchenko	Georgii Kravchenko	SELL	12	12¢	$1	0x6b458d…
10-15 10:40:58	Mallorca: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Nuria Brancaccio	Andrea Lazaro Garcia	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0x25569a…
10-15 10:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x35c3ed…
10-15 10:36:59	Olbia: Tom Gentzsch vs Georgii Kravchenko	Georgii Kravchenko	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x4b9c50…
10-15 10:36:31	wta gormaz serban 2026 10 14	Leyre Romero Gormaz	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x842ce3…
10-15 10:36:14	Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Sonay Kartal	Sonay Kartal	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x0b1940…
10-15 10:35:34	Mallorca: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Nuria Brancaccio	Andrea Lazaro Garcia	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x6b6ada…
10-15 10:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x50245d…
10-15 10:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0xad3e87…
10-15 10:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x47ae1a…
10-15 10:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x3e5187…
10-15 10:27:41	Mallorca: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Nuria Brancaccio	Andrea Lazaro Garcia	SELL	19	46¢	$9	0x0b0212…
10-15 08:28:35	wta fernand ostapen 2026 10 15	Jelena Ostapenko	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xef7231…
10-15 08:28:25	wta garcia brancac 2026 10 14	Andrea Lazaro Garcia	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xedbbc5…
10-14 16:46:39	ucl ast fen 2026 10 14 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	192	88¢	$169	0xf98535…
10-14 16:45:51	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	167	24¢	$40	0xd41d83…
10-14 16:45:06	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x649277…
10-13 20:07:03	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0x6050f8…
10-13 20:06:18	Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	171	70¢	$120	0xd6f41d…
10-13 20:03:48	Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	Galatasaray SK	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x52bd3b…
10-13 20:01:07	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	Galatasaray SK	SELL	222	58¢	$129	0xa46647…
10-13 20:00:43	Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	118	100¢	$117	0xa5b967…
10-13 19:55:27	Will Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	714	20¢	$143	0x9e3ca3…
10-13 13:56:08	Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	118	69¢	$81	0x09e7d7…
10-13 13:55:38	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	Galatasaray SK	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0xddbeb1…
10-13 13:55:02	Will Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0xae5649…
06-03 20:36:45	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 total 201pt5	Over	BUY	98	84¢	$82	0x756adf…
06-03 20:30:10	Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	83	18¢	$15	0x1e0d85…
06-03 20:29:10	Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	67	99¢	$66	0x9c67b9…
06-03 20:07:40	Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	67	67¢	$45	0xd5d805…
06-03 20:07:07	Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x1c0676…
06-03 04:58:29	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	128	77¢	$98	0x04a023…
06-01 14:00:04	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	128	64¢	$82	0x8e1907…
05-31 21:23:02	Will United States win on 2026-05-31?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xb892ff…
05-31 21:19:46	Will United States win on 2026-05-31?	Yes	SELL	90	87¢	$79	0x2100a4…
05-31 21:10:10	Will United States win on 2026-05-31?	Yes	BUY	91	82¢	$75	0xd209fc…
05-31 21:03:14	Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries	Las Vegas Aces	SELL	102	75¢	$76	0x881f39…
05-31 20:12:34	Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries	Las Vegas Aces	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xc26d72…
05-04 21:36:28	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	598	78¢	$466	0xe4fee2…
05-04 21:32:10	CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	400	99¢	$396	0xe13304…
05-04 20:56:24	Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?	No	SELL	57	97¢	$55	0x501169…
05-04 20:53:40	CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	400	75¢	$300	0xeb2f99…
05-04 20:46:48	Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	279	36¢	$100	0xee5345…
05-04 20:45:14	Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?	No	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x7c3ef8…
05-04 20:40:54	Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	440	100¢	$439	0xd3d6e5…
05-04 20:40:30	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	SELL	313	1¢	$3	0x755f76…
05-04 16:28:34	Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	440	61¢	$268	0xfc2feb…
05-04 16:27:48	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	BUY	313	67¢	$210	0x04adfa…
05-04 16:26:36	Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	134	100¢	$134	0xcb508d…
05-04 16:26:24	Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0x39cd1d…
05-04 16:26:10	Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0xb54e1f…
05-04 16:26:00	Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xf79652…
05-04 15:49:40	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	SELL	362	0¢	$0	0x22062b…
05-04 14:17:52	Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)	Nottingham Forest FC	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0xe0622b…
05-04 14:17:14	Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	112	75¢	$84	0xfdf5e0…
05-04 14:16:50	Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	137	51¢	$70	0x4aacc8…
05-04 13:59:36	Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	108	60¢	$65	0xab7b9f…
05-04 13:52:44	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	BUY	217	69¢	$150	0xba037e…
05-04 13:51:54	Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)	Nottingham Forest FC	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x9eccbd…
05-04 13:50:44	Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	104	53¢	$55	0xf12cbc…
05-04 13:50:26	Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	134	82¢	$110	0xb1bd4d…
05-04 13:49:32	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x841b9c…
05-04 13:47:46	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Dellien	Hugo Dellien	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x6535c9…
05-04 13:29:04	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Juan Martin vs Titouan Droguet	Juan Martin	SELL	17	43¢	$7	0xeb8eb5…
05-04 13:28:18	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Jack Pinnington Jones	Patrick Kypson	SELL	13	71¢	$9	0x25ab9e…
05-04 13:28:02	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Otto Virtanen	Otto Virtanen	SELL	13	67¢	$9	0x1f476c…
05-04 12:30:46	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Christopher O'Connell	Christopher O'Connell	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xe99057…
05-04 12:30:28	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Otto Virtanen	Otto Virtanen	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xc9d9d2…
05-04 12:30:14	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Jack Pinnington Jones	Patrick Kypson	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xe3e340…
05-04 12:29:52	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Juan Martin vs Titouan Droguet	Juan Martin	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x152e7f…
05-04 10:53:32	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Stefano Travaglia vs Stan Wawrinka	Stefano Travaglia	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x534c6c…
05-04 10:53:12	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Dellien	Hugo Dellien	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x042ded…
05-04 10:52:38	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Leandro Riedi vs Vilius Gaubas	Vilius Gaubas	SELL	14	39¢	$6	0xd39f6f…
05-04 10:12:44	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Martin Damm	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x3d3212…
05-04 10:12:28	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Leandro Riedi vs Vilius Gaubas	Vilius Gaubas	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xcd7bbf…