Weird-Punishment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$548

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.7%

Resolved

Trades

134

lifetime

Volume

$404.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$3.02K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 07-01 23:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

62% 83% $-548

Politics

35% — —

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp royer zverev 2026 07 02	1	$30.0K	31,524	0	+31,524	open	—	07-01 23:49
atp alcaraz minaur 2026 01 27	4	$25.1K	13,143	13,143	+0	open	—	01-27 13:53
atp minaur burruch 2026 06 29	2	$20.0K	21,414	0	+21,414	open	—	06-30 11:57
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	2	$20.0K	22,472	0	+22,472	open	—	06-30 16:43
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1	$19.2K	19,593	0	+19,593	open	—	05-27 11:13
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Clement Tabur	1	$18.9K	19,207	0	+19,207	open	—	05-23 09:02
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud	1	$16.3K	18,968	0	+18,968	open	—	05-17 09:42
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	2	$15.1K	16,379	0	+16,379	open	—	05-15 01:03
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$15.1K	20,676	0	+20,676	open	—	01-10 14:44
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublev	1	$14.4K	15,158	0	+15,158	open	—	05-13 10:50
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	1	$13.9K	15,836	0	+15,836	open	—	07-02 10:17
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$13.0K	14,925	0	+14,925	open	—	02-16 12:41
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	3	$12.1K	12,985	0	+12,985	open	—	02-12 06:54
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Andrea Pellegrino	2	$11.5K	11,758	0	+11,758	Jannik Sinner	+$258	05-12 12:31
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$10.5K	260,638	0	+260,638	open	—	03-02 08:09
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	3	$10.5K	10,915	0	+10,915	open	—	02-09 18:28
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	1	$10.0K	11,180	0	+11,180	open	—	01-31 11:40
atp jodar busta 2026 07 01	1	$10.0K	12,821	0	+12,821	open	—	07-01 07:10
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	1	$10.0K	11,702	0	+11,702	open	—	02-01 22:13
atp alcaraz medvede 2026 03 14	1	$10.0K	12,058	0	+12,058	open	—	03-14 21:25
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Alexei Popyrin	2	$9.9K	10,039	0	+10,039	Jannik Sinner	+$177	05-11 14:09
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	3	$9.4K	10,539	0	+10,539	open	—	02-14 17:26
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	3	$5.4K	6,419	0	+6,419	open	—	03-09 17:11
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$5.0K	6,033	0	+6,033	open	—	04-01 21:06
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	4	$5.0K	6,511	0	+6,511	open	—	03-16 10:43
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	3	$5.0K	5,842	0	+5,842	open	—	03-16 19:27
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	3	$4.1K	5,581	0	+5,581	open	—	02-11 10:45
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	1	$3.3K	7,493	0	+7,493	open	—	04-17 08:10
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	4	$3.1K	4,845	0	+4,845	open	—	03-15 11:28
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	2	$3.0K	3,686	0	+3,686	open	—	04-04 20:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 10:17:49	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	Spain	BUY	15,836	88¢	$13,896	0x008af6…
07-01 23:49:38	atp royer zverev 2026 07 02	Alexander Zverev	BUY	31,524	95¢	$30,000	0x91cf59…
07-01 07:10:49	atp jodar busta 2026 07 01	Rafael Jodar	BUY	12,821	78¢	$10,000	0x1d70df…
06-30 16:43:16	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	France	BUY	11,236	89¢	$10,000	0x538b4a…
06-30 16:41:40	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	France	BUY	11,236	89¢	$10,000	0xe63ea2…
06-30 11:57:14	atp minaur burruch 2026 06 29	Alex de Minaur	BUY	10,509	95¢	$10,000	0x653015…
06-30 11:50:13	atp minaur burruch 2026 06 29	Alex de Minaur	BUY	10,906	92¢	$10,000	0x357aab…
05-28 10:24:05	Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Liquid	BUY	22	62¢	$14	0x42cc03…
05-27 11:13:02	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Jannik Sinner	BUY	19,593	98¢	$19,250	0x0b45e1…
05-23 09:02:02	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Clement Tabur	Jannik Sinner	BUY	19,207	98¢	$18,900	0x6e1f36…
05-17 09:42:53	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud	Jannik Sinner	BUY	18,968	86¢	$16,312	0xc1d60b…
05-15 01:03:55	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Jannik Sinner	BUY	141	92¢	$130	0x28b0ab…
05-15 01:03:27	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Jannik Sinner	BUY	16,238	92¢	$15,000	0x7f87d3…
05-13 10:50:53	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublev	Jannik Sinner	BUY	15,158	95¢	$14,400	0x4afbb3…
05-12 14:52:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1,250	100¢	$1,249	0xdff811…
05-12 12:31:47	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Andrea Pellegrino	Jannik Sinner	BUY	511	98¢	$500	0xbd02be…
05-12 12:31:19	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Andrea Pellegrino	Jannik Sinner	BUY	11,247	98¢	$11,000	0x2001ac…
05-12 10:54:19	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Learner Tien	Rafael Jodar	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xdee48c…
05-12 10:50:26	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Learner Tien	Rafael Jodar	BUY	1,282	78¢	$1,000	0x4171ba…
05-11 14:09:46	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Alexei Popyrin	Jannik Sinner	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x58458f…
05-11 14:07:21	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Iga Swiatek	Iga Swiatek	BUY	1,316	76¢	$1,000	0x07f8d6…
05-11 14:05:32	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Alexei Popyrin	Jannik Sinner	BUY	9,939	98¢	$9,764	0x3ca769…
05-11 00:16:16	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Iga Swiatek	Iga Swiatek	BUY	1,283	78¢	$1,000	0x74fb17…
05-08 16:01:14	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	1,408	71¢	$1,000	0xb629f6…
05-08 16:01:00	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	1,408	71¢	$1,000	0xa37d96…
05-08 09:19:52	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Caty McNally vs Iga Swiatek	Iga Swiatek	BUY	1,111	90¢	$1,000	0xf911fd…
05-01 16:41:08	Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	1,266	79¢	$1,000	0x002d93…
04-17 08:10:22	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	7,493	44¢	$3,297	0x338894…
04-11 05:46:25	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	BUY	2,606	94¢	$2,439	0x322af1…
04-05 16:47:41	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	1,695	83¢	$1,414	0x726819…
04-05 16:45:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	2,174	92¢	$2,000	0x6ff557…
04-04 20:00:19	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,136	88¢	$1,000	0xf763ac…
04-04 19:58:33	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	2,469	81¢	$2,000	0xe71900…
04-04 19:55:09	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	3,297	91¢	$3,000	0xe5eafd…
04-04 19:54:09	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	1,111	90¢	$1,000	0xc0e685…
04-04 19:53:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,439	82¢	$2,000	0x4baac6…
04-02 12:16:09	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,136	88¢	$1,000	0xa990f7…
04-02 12:14:41	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	Yes	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0xd19534…
04-02 12:12:17	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,550	78¢	$2,000	0x25d797…
04-01 21:08:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	3,261	92¢	$3,000	0x95e1dd…
04-01 21:06:17	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	2,408	83¢	$2,000	0x35b5d0…
04-01 21:05:23	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	3,624	83¢	$3,000	0x72522e…
04-01 13:20:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,250	80¢	$1,000	0xdac6a2…
04-01 13:18:55	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	633	79¢	$500	0xcc5f55…
03-16 19:28:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	855	74¢	$633	0x03e9d6…
03-16 19:27:41	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	1,136	88¢	$1,000	0x3d2c7d…
03-16 19:22:31	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	641	78¢	$500	0x25085a…
03-16 19:22:15	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	1,149	87¢	$1,000	0x57989c…
03-16 12:54:11	btc updown 5m 1773665400	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xb19537…
03-16 10:43:11	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	1,282	78¢	$1,000	0x850016…
03-16 10:41:31	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	1,282	78¢	$1,000	0x095e7a…
03-15 22:58:45	btc updown 5m 1773615300	Up	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x2740ac…
03-15 22:48:21	btc updown 5m 1773614700	Up	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x66ac4f…
03-15 22:42:13	btc updown 5m 1773614400	Up	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x8cbdb5…
03-15 22:38:39	btc updown 5m 1773614100	Up	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0xdbe77c…
03-15 22:06:47	btc updown 5m 1773612300	Down	BUY	1,070	93¢	$1,000	0x7ee2ea…
03-15 21:59:19	btc updown 5m 1773611700	Up	BUY	1,039	96¢	$1,000	0x9011b5…
03-15 21:54:59	btc updown 5m 1773611400	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x00b3b2…
03-15 21:49:43	btc updown 5m 1773611100	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x32823a…
03-15 21:29:09	btc updown 5m 1773609900	Up	BUY	1,064	94¢	$1,000	0x4f3e6c…
03-15 21:18:31	btc updown 5m 1773609300	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x765140…
03-15 21:14:55	btc updown 5m 1773609000	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xbf7f69…
03-15 21:12:47	btc updown 5m 1773609000	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xb51057…
03-15 11:38:51	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	1,316	76¢	$1,000	0x9086ec…
03-15 11:36:45	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	1,040	96¢	$1,000	0xc29e20…
03-15 11:31:13	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	1,176	85¢	$1,000	0x32626f…
03-15 11:30:07	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	1,890	53¢	$1,000	0x7f72ab…
03-15 11:28:11	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	BUY	1,111	90¢	$1,000	0x49034b…
03-15 10:47:35	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	No	BUY	450	93¢	$419	0x200e2f…
03-15 10:46:15	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	2,632	76¢	$2,000	0x3930cc…
03-15 10:45:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	1,471	68¢	$1,000	0x143a2c…
03-15 10:43:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	3,529	85¢	$3,000	0xc54a76…
03-14 21:25:39	atp alcaraz medvede 2026 03 14	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	12,058	83¢	$9,995	0xcebedc…
03-09 17:11:47	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	1,194	83¢	$995	0x2859bb…
03-07 10:14:59	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	4,077	82¢	$3,363	0x587cf7…
03-02 14:19:19	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	BUY	2,307	43¢	$989	0x65df92…
03-02 08:13:13	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	1,147	87¢	$1,000	0xad3f7e…
03-02 08:09:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	75,000	0¢	$150	0x2d7a2c…
03-02 08:08:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	1,064	94¢	$1,000	0x6030a6…
03-01 22:49:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	1,149	87¢	$1,000	0x460e8b…
03-01 22:43:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	75,000	0¢	$150	0xe88437…
03-01 22:41:55	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	1,149	87¢	$1,000	0x5112c6…
03-01 13:37:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	100,000	0¢	$200	0xb29823…
02-16 12:41:49	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	14,925	87¢	$12,985	0xc1c5e2…
02-14 17:26:47	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0xc9fc43…
02-14 16:37:35	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	No	BUY	6,875	93¢	$6,397	0x0c6911…
02-14 16:31:31	will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by february 20	No	BUY	1,213	82¢	$1,000	0xac9043…
02-14 16:31:05	will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by february 20	No	BUY	386	78¢	$300	0x0d6091…
02-14 16:17:41	minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	No	BUY	1,136	88¢	$1,000	0x4cf321…
02-14 16:11:37	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1,389	72¢	$1,000	0x16e4d0…
02-14 16:09:27	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	2,923	68¢	$2,000	0x67a4a7…
02-12 06:54:53	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,086	97¢	$1,057	0x05a286…
02-11 10:45:35	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1,396	81¢	$1,131	0x31f277…
02-10 17:04:17	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10,734	93¢	$9,995	0x6a0bcc…
02-10 10:32:37	bad bunny video becomes most viewed sb halftime on youtube in 1st month	No	BUY	995	92¢	$920	0x8965ac…
02-09 18:28:39	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	No	BUY	9,343	96¢	$8,998	0x014f5a…
02-09 18:24:57	atp coria berrett 2026 02 09	Berrettini	BUY	1,131	88¢	$1,000	0x3676dd…
02-09 11:23:45	will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	No	SELL	366	0¢	$0	0x19dfdf…
02-09 11:14:09	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	BUY	94	75¢	$70	0xb03e67…
02-09 11:12:39	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	BUY	1,333	75¢	$1,000	0x1c724a…