Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$146

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

90.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$803

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$142

6 positions

First seen

2026-10-24

last 10-28 08:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

59% 100% +$168

Other

20% — —

Crypto

18% 70% -$22

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+126	$25	21¢	$27	+$2	10-26 18:24
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+37	$25	66¢	$25	$0	10-27 19:48
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+44	$25	56¢	$24	-$1	10-28 08:01
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+139	$25	18¢	$24	-$1	10-27 16:59
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+78	$25	30¢	$23	-$2	10-26 19:56
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+510	$25	4¢	$18	-$7	10-26 08:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$266	285	285	+0	No	+$168	10-25 22:24
Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?	8	$55	144	144	+0	open	—	10-27 19:08
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	2	$55	83	83	+0	open	—	10-27 20:09
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	2	$54	93	93	+0	open	—	10-26 23:55
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$48	104	104	+0	open	—	10-27 17:49
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$33	40	40	+0	open	—	10-28 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$25	30	0	+30	Up	-$25	10-27 08:17
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$25	37	0	+37	open	—	10-27 19:48
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$25	139	0	+139	open	—	10-27 16:59
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	1	$25	126	0	+126	open	—	10-26 18:24
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$25	510	0	+510	open	—	10-26 08:34
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	1	$25	78	0	+78	open	—	10-26 19:56
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	1	$25	44	0	+44	open	—	10-28 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$25	27	0	+27	Down	+$2	10-27 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	Up	+$1	10-27 09:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	3	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	10-27 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	10-27 07:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$10	15	15	+0	Down	+$0	10-27 08:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$10	7	7	+0	Down	$0	10-27 08:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	10-27 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$5	23	0	+23	Up	-$5	10-24 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	10-27 08:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 08:01:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xae7284…
10-28 07:09:34	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0x1e4949…
10-27 20:09:21	Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	83	36¢	$30	0x97341e…
10-27 19:48:56	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xd69d38…
10-27 19:08:26	Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	27	21¢	$6	0xc2a03f…
10-27 18:42:36	Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	48	21¢	$10	0x280e8a…
10-27 17:50:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x0e6c60…
10-27 17:49:24	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	104	22¢	$23	0x20f746…
10-27 17:39:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x124ed2…
10-27 17:38:14	Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x231d16…
10-27 16:59:38	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0x92d0b1…
10-27 16:14:45	Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	47	21¢	$10	0x006ccc…
10-27 16:14:17	Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x50e61c…
10-27 16:14:15	Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x1d4194…
10-27 16:11:47	Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0xeb32a6…
10-27 09:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x70a693…
10-27 08:38:47	Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0xa6c910…
10-27 08:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0xaab4dd…
10-27 08:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x2719f6…
10-27 08:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x73e041…
10-27 08:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x665358…
10-27 08:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xe95d3e…
10-27 08:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x58e240…
10-27 08:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x37cb7c…
10-27 08:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xa78e5e…
10-27 07:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	81¢	$6	0x33e320…
10-27 07:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xb84f39…
10-27 07:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xf29157…
10-27 07:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xa26c85…
10-27 07:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xdca624…
10-26 23:55:26	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	93	31¢	$29	0x4d5f40…
10-26 19:56:36	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x348a8e…
10-26 18:38:00	Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	144	17¢	$25	0xd5e17a…
10-26 18:24:20	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	126	20¢	$25	0x158f15…
10-26 12:58:03	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0xb90308…
10-26 08:34:05	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	510	5¢	$25	0x53e767…
10-25 22:24:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	285	76¢	$217	0x410fc8…
10-24 17:01:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	285	17¢	$49	0xc346ff…
10-24 16:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x975938…