French-Spiral — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$98

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-04 07:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 100% +$0

Other

39% 56% -$8

Politics

5% 50% -$2

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will solana reach 170 in january 2026	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	01-29 19:55
will ethereum reach 2800 february 2 8	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	02-07 23:18
USD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	02-20 20:03
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	2	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	11-04 07:20
will solana reach 150 february 9 15	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	02-12 01:29
will xrp reach 3 in january 2026	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	01-30 01:31
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-31 14:48
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	03-13 22:02
lal rso mad 2026 01 04 mad	1	$3	7	0	+7	No	-$3	01-04 03:39
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-07?	2	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	+$2	05-07 07:35
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on July 21?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	07-21 20:16
will solana dip to 50 in march 2026	2	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	03-27 22:40
USD.AI FDV above $6B one day after launch?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	02-24 11:13
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-31 20:26
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	07-27 19:27
will solana reach 150 in january 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	01-30 05:19
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	-$2	02-26 18:34
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	07-22 00:52
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	-$2	05-15 20:20
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	07-28 04:03
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	-$2	05-15 15:53
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	-$2	05-23 16:41
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	09-08 02:36
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	-$2	08-22 07:02
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	10-03 20:23
will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	07-15 14:21
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	-$2	09-19 02:28
Will Germany win on 2026-10-04?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	-$2	10-03 21:39
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	-$2	10-12 05:36
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$0	02-26 19:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 07:20:25	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x838218…
11-04 04:27:28	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x2e7228…
10-31 06:31:48	Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf19420…
10-17 10:54:20	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0xa3c361…
10-12 05:36:45	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$2	0x793128…
10-03 21:39:53	Will Germany win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x1cb6d7…
10-03 20:23:56	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x214056…
09-19 02:28:49	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd5f314…
09-08 02:36:13	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xbcc980…
08-22 07:02:48	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x6431e0…
07-28 04:03:21	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdac249…
07-27 19:27:21	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd8fca5…
07-22 00:52:46	GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x719022…
07-21 20:16:07	Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on July 21?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xaa57c1…
07-15 14:21:43	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe9368a…
05-31 20:26:01	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf9e32d…
05-31 14:48:37	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xcd7b48…
05-23 16:41:31	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x5ea2fb…
05-15 20:20:48	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x48d759…
05-15 15:53:35	Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb39fd4…
05-07 07:35:49	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-07?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x306c07…
05-07 05:37:56	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-07?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xc6c4c9…
03-29 15:35:12	Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1159ca…
03-29 14:55:46	Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe6eb81…
03-27 22:40:55	will solana dip to 50 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf9b575…
03-27 14:59:31	will solana dip to 50 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1008ac…
03-13 22:02:49	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xbf202e…
03-04 20:41:37	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xaa2dd7…
02-26 19:29:16	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x5a2943…
02-26 18:34:38	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0x86e0c4…
02-24 11:13:38	USD.AI FDV above $6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd41247…
02-20 20:03:54	USD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x314881…
02-12 01:29:27	will solana reach 150 february 9 15	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x33c674…
02-07 23:18:47	will ethereum reach 2800 february 2 8	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa6baf3…
01-30 05:19:30	will solana reach 150 in january 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa0b523…
01-30 01:31:04	will xrp reach 3 in january 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd6b2a8…
01-29 19:55:04	will solana reach 170 in january 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x472437…
01-04 03:39:25	lal rso mad 2026 01 04 mad	Yes	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xcee3eb…