Skeletal-Odometer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8.39K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.5%

Resolved

357

Trades

699

lifetime

Volume

$54.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$78

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 10-28 12:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 23% -$1,949

Politics

32% 18% -$6,505

Other

3% 38% +$146

Sports

0% 0% -$86

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	4	$5.1K	8,359	7,526	+833	No	-$3,575	01-15 22:24
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4	$2.2K	1,600	1,600	+0	Yes	+$65	03-08 20:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 22:15 UTC	6	$2.2K	1,204	1,202	+2	Down	+$8	03-24 22:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 16:00 UTC	3	$1.4K	882	764	+117	Up	+$76	03-31 16:04
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	3	$1.4K	763	763	+0	Yes	+$123	04-08 11:28
will israel take military action in gaza on march 31 2026	2	$1.3K	850	850	+0	Yes	-$156	03-31 21:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 15:45 UTC	5	$1.3K	1,742	741	+1,000	Up	+$11	03-26 15:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 21:30 UTC	4	$1.2K	835	633	+203	Up	+$31	03-31 21:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 21:10 UTC	6	$1.2K	717	715	+2	Down	-$20	03-24 21:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 20:35 UTC	3	$1.2K	664	612	+52	Up	+$45	03-25 20:40
will the us next strike iran on january 26 2026 et 241	5	$1.1K	23,455	0	+23,455	No	-$1,099	01-25 03:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 11:55 UTC	2	$1.0K	531	531	+0	Up	+$21	03-25 12:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 17:50 UTC	3	$1.0K	905	892	+13	Up	+$304	03-24 17:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 11:50 UTC	2	$928	789	777	+12	Up	+$107	03-25 11:52
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 5, 2026?	4	$928	564	564	+0	Yes	+$112	04-06 10:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 15:00 UTC	2	$886	547	540	+7	Up	+$192	03-08 15:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 17:20 UTC	2	$813	417	417	+0	Up	+$13	03-24 17:26
lal mal rea 2026 04 04 rea	2	$795	639	632	+7	No	-$11	04-03 12:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 13:55 UTC	1	$794	891	0	+891	Down	+$97	03-27 13:58
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$768	483	483	+0	Yes	-$5	04-03 14:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 17:55 UTC	3	$766	1,048	349	+698	Up	-$17	03-28 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 13:45 UTC	1	$765	794	0	+794	Down	+$29	03-27 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 14:10 UTC	2	$698	414	410	+4	Up	+$119	03-08 14:16
will the us next strike iran on january 27 2026 et 332	3	$693	14,610	0	+14,610	No	-$693	01-24 20:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 21:35 UTC	1	$675	681	0	+681	Down	+$7	03-26 21:39
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	3	$650	972	431	+541	No	-$247	01-14 23:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 18:25 UTC	1	$638	687	0	+687	Down	-$638	03-28 18:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 22:55 UTC	2	$634	498	492	+5	Up	+$346	03-23 23:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 14:45 UTC	2	$626	357	354	+3	Up	+$79	03-08 14:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 18:15 UTC	1	$597	638	0	+638	Down	+$41	03-28 18:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 13:07:47	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1,091	1¢	$6	0xfc6103…
10-28 12:58:28	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,091	2¢	$24	0xd5a6a5…
10-28 12:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x88154e…
10-28 12:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4f3043…
10-28 12:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x01c276…
10-28 12:51:04	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	672	1¢	$7	0x1686d6…
10-27 23:08:44	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	288	16¢	$47	0xf43289…
10-27 23:05:23	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	385	15¢	$56	0x003030…
10-01 16:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd68318…
10-01 16:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x2ebd8e…
10-01 16:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x22282e…
10-01 16:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x769da4…
10-01 16:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe893cf…
10-01 16:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x0daeb0…
09-29 11:39:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	90	6¢	$5	0x81a151…
09-29 11:33:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4,160	0¢	$5	0xe038be…
09-29 11:29:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x4fd7ec…
09-29 11:27:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x83892d…
09-29 11:27:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x55cfb4…
09-29 11:27:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x177899…
07-18 20:36:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0x899d25…
07-18 20:32:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xcc5cee…
07-18 20:32:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xd3719a…
07-18 20:31:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x3517f4…
07-05 21:40:07	Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	90	55¢	$50	0x9bb784…
07-04 21:45:49	Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$8	0x1128f6…
07-04 21:44:47	Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x8cbc34…
07-04 21:44:16	Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	15,000	0¢	$30	0x0193cd…
06-17 18:55:20	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	493	10¢	$49	0x560164…
06-17 18:50:29	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	SELL	227	22¢	$50	0x65d48f…
06-17 18:40:14	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x0e4dcf…
06-17 14:29:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1f6107…
06-17 14:27:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 14:25 UTC	Up	SELL	93	18¢	$17	0xe28ee9…
06-17 14:26:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc911c5…
06-17 14:25:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xf64282…
06-17 14:24:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa21983…
06-17 14:24:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa3d1a8…
06-17 14:24:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3222ef…
06-17 14:24:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x08e4c2…
06-16 21:12:28	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xcd4565…
06-15 11:52:37	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	105	67¢	$70	0x5e797a…
05-26 07:05:18	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	351	4¢	$15	0xa2ef26…
05-25 22:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8b9a3b…
05-25 22:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x15ea11…
05-25 22:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x2651eb…
05-25 22:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3877d6…
05-25 22:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xaf4223…
05-25 22:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc2b6b5…
05-25 22:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc6df80…
05-25 22:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbab3e4…
05-25 22:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x79fb46…
05-25 22:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4c4c97…
05-25 22:13:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	476	11¢	$52	0xc832ce…
05-25 22:07:24	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	476	10¢	$50	0x5c9599…
05-23 22:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x04b0ef…
05-23 22:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x313830…
05-23 22:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x43734a…
05-23 22:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x48e6da…
05-23 22:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xbb5902…
05-23 22:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xfcbe54…
05-23 22:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x6fb99b…
05-23 22:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xd428bb…
05-23 22:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x43769c…
05-23 22:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1fa4a5…
05-23 22:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4e400f…
05-23 22:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x76be85…
05-23 22:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3927da…
05-23 22:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4bfac9…
05-23 22:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2dfa3e…
05-23 22:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xae3fac…
05-23 22:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x1d88cb…
05-23 22:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x46d9a1…
05-23 22:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3bdb02…
05-23 22:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x66f12e…
05-23 22:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb71b81…
05-23 22:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x78f633…
05-23 22:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1b263a…
05-23 21:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xef0b21…
05-23 21:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x17e53b…
05-23 21:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x53f943…
05-23 21:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x56f46d…
05-23 21:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcf8e98…
05-23 21:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc54d2c…
05-23 21:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	62	88¢	$55	0x7e089b…
05-23 21:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x96d96b…
05-23 21:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x26e180…
05-17 19:51:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	642	5¢	$34	0x7c065d…
05-17 19:51:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	756	5¢	$40	0x165539…
05-17 16:46:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	SELL	1,050	4¢	$37	0x17fc68…
05-16 22:04:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	1,050	6¢	$63	0x79bacb…
05-02 20:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xf4f04b…
04-12 17:35:19	Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,990	1¢	$23	0xaeaf88…
04-12 15:40:43	Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1,457	2¢	$28	0x0b68de…
04-11 23:15:31	Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1,417	2¢	$23	0xd4d5aa…
04-09 18:21:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1,037	33¢	$338	0xf3afbe…
04-09 18:21:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	291	33¢	$96	0xc46c38…
04-09 18:19:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xfc259f…
04-09 16:20:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0x786470…
04-09 16:19:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2b83fa…
04-09 16:18:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x67856a…