Puzzling-Folk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$79

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.8%

Resolved

1,253

Trades

2,734

lifetime

Volume

$45.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 10-25 09:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 183 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% +$30

Other

0% 25% +$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 18:40 UTC	3	$734	378	378	+0	Up	+$14	02-20 18:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 18:05 UTC	2	$712	364	364	+0	Down	+$8	02-20 18:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:40 UTC	3	$668	350	350	+0	Up	+$24	02-20 15:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:35 UTC	2	$638	326	326	+0	Up	+$7	02-20 15:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:30 UTC	3	$611	316	316	+0	Down	+$21	02-20 15:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:25 UTC	3	$579	296	296	+0	Up	+$12	02-20 15:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 22:05 UTC	3	$569	290	290	+0	Down	+$4	02-20 22:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 19:40 UTC	2	$565	285	285	+0	Down	+$0	02-20 19:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:05 UTC	2	$565	285	285	+0	Up	+$0	02-20 20:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 21:35 UTC	2	$565	285	285	+0	Up	+$0	02-20 21:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:20 UTC	2	$565	284	284	+0	Up	+$3	02-20 15:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 14:45 UTC	3	$545	284	284	+0	Down	+$17	02-20 14:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 12:05 UTC	2	$523	266	266	+0	Up	+$3	02-20 12:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 12:00 UTC	3	$511	263	263	+0	Up	+$10	02-20 12:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 11:50 UTC	4	$488	247	247	+0	Up	+$5	02-20 11:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 11:45 UTC	3	$472	249	249	+0	Up	+$12	02-20 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 11:40 UTC	2	$459	232	232	+0	Down	+$2	02-20 11:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 11:35 UTC	3	$451	229	229	+0	Down	+$6	02-20 11:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 11:30 UTC	3	$441	225	225	+0	Down	+$5	02-20 11:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 11:20 UTC	2	$436	220	220	+0	Down	+$1	02-20 11:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 11:15 UTC	3	$432	220	220	+0	Down	+$3	02-20 11:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 10:55 UTC	3	$426	217	217	+0	Down	+$4	02-20 11:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 10:25 UTC	3	$417	213	213	+0	Up	+$5	02-20 10:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 10:20 UTC	3	$406	208	208	+0	Down	+$6	02-20 10:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 10:15 UTC	4	$393	202	202	+0	Up	+$7	02-20 10:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 10:10 UTC	3	$379	195	195	+0	Down	+$7	02-20 10:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 09:45 UTC	3	$370	188	188	+0	Up	+$2	02-20 09:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 09:40 UTC	3	$364	186	186	+0	Down	+$4	02-20 09:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 09:30 UTC	4	$360	182	182	+0	Down	+$0	02-20 09:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 10:40 UTC	3	$358	181	181	+0	Down	+$0	02-20 10:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 09:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x98f9b4…
10-25 09:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x7c1ab9…
10-25 09:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xa82322…
10-25 09:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xa546d4…
10-23 20:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xeb7a0b…
10-23 20:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xaca33a…
10-23 20:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x31b146…
10-23 20:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	11	60¢	$6	0xea41fb…
10-23 20:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xdac30d…
10-23 20:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x578d36…
10-23 20:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x4f48c1…
10-22 13:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xcdd9a4…
10-21 23:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x409810…
10-21 18:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x81a0e2…
10-21 18:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x7fd155…
10-21 18:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xe251f3…
10-21 18:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x94ff21…
10-21 18:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xdbddbd…
10-21 18:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xdd77e8…
10-21 09:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xb3d608…
10-21 09:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x37feca…
10-21 02:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x187417…
10-21 02:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x1b1ac8…
10-21 02:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xba404f…
10-21 02:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xc6df83…
10-21 02:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xbdc899…
10-20 21:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x7bc50b…
10-20 21:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	29	2¢	$1	0x0de6f3…
10-20 21:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xf94417…
10-20 21:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	11	23¢	$3	0x695573…
10-20 21:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x61f538…
10-20 21:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	37	80¢	$29	0xdfaa32…
10-20 21:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x632543…
10-20 21:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x04789f…
10-20 21:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x546dd1…
10-20 21:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x8d5abf…
10-20 21:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x09cc0f…
10-20 21:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xcd28e1…
10-20 21:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc07c13…
10-20 21:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xb72018…
10-20 21:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x2338bf…
10-20 21:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xc044fa…
10-20 21:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x2b1720…
10-20 21:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x80849d…
10-20 20:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xacdff7…
10-20 19:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x2b4b9e…
10-20 19:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x891a95…
10-20 19:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x201d4d…
10-20 19:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x19771e…
10-20 19:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xa2fc6c…
10-20 18:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x554703…
10-20 14:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x504126…
10-20 14:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x7b8d71…
10-20 14:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x4f3e46…
10-20 14:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xbb03b4…
10-20 13:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xb7d8e3…
10-20 09:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xf90e80…
10-20 09:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x1ee252…
10-19 22:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x050e84…
10-19 22:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x83e324…
10-19 22:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xe606db…
10-19 22:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x09dd4a…
10-19 22:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xe631d3…
10-19 22:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xacbec7…
10-19 15:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x885a81…
10-19 15:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x7156b5…
10-19 15:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x88c3fe…
10-19 15:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x3c840e…
10-19 14:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xb7a93a…
10-19 14:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x3c7c87…
10-19 14:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x574c13…
10-19 12:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x66fd9c…
10-19 10:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x833e72…
10-19 10:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x8c7d61…
10-19 10:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x32f122…
10-19 02:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xed6537…
10-19 02:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xf1e206…
10-19 02:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xa1ece8…
10-19 02:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x815c61…
10-19 02:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x1d9f5c…
10-19 02:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x912dee…
10-19 02:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x0ea5b0…
10-19 02:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb6bb1c…
10-19 00:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x9180ea…
10-18 23:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x494aad…
10-18 23:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x64a967…
10-18 23:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x03985d…
10-18 23:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xae90d3…
10-18 23:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x9e2a14…
10-18 23:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x77efde…
10-18 23:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x01632a…
10-18 23:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xe24854…
10-18 23:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xeee2c7…
10-18 23:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x4ff402…
10-18 23:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xd70133…
10-18 23:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x4b4094…
10-18 23:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x358ccb…
10-18 23:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xa7c026…
10-18 23:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x3d8bc2…
10-18 23:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xf68536…