Marvelous-Defense — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.0%

Resolved

147

Trades

201

lifetime

Volume

$1.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 10-15 11:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

69% 43% +$154

Crypto

30% 11% -$161

Sports

1% 0% -$19

Politics

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol blg jdg 2026 01 26	2	$807	612	612	+0	JD Gaming	+$416	01-26 14:19
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?	7	$215	472	472	+0	No	-$126	02-02 18:21
lol sk kcb 2026 01 26	5	$191	443	0	+443	SK Gaming	-$191	01-26 15:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 18:15 UTC	3	$55	28	28	+0	Up	+$0	02-07 18:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 11:30 UTC	2	$44	22	22	+0	Up	+$0	03-24 11:36
lal mad mal 2026 01 25 total 2pt5	2	$40	88	0	+88	Over	-$40	01-25 12:32
Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-05-16?	2	$34	19	19	+0	No	+$4	05-16 14:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 16:15 UTC	1	$28	30	0	+30	Down	+$1	02-03 16:28
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$19	28	0	+28	Spurs	-$19	05-18 21:32
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on january 29	3	$18	12,041	5,972	+6,069	No	-$6	01-29 12:59
ethereum above 2900 on february 5	4	$16	8,296	8,200	+96	No	$0	02-04 20:05
ethereum above 1600 on march 26	5	$16	7,872	7,850	+22	Yes	+$0	03-25 09:37
ere nac exc 2026 02 06 total 1pt5	2	$16	9	9	+0	Over	+$2	02-06 20:16
bitcoin above 78k on february 12	6	$15	7,563	7,399	+164	No	$0	02-11 21:13
ethereum above 2600 on march 25	5	$14	6,790	6,780	+10	No	$0	03-24 19:58
bitcoin up or down february 3 11am et	1	$12	25	0	+25	Down	-$12	02-03 15:42
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marco Trungelliti vs Rei Sakamoto	2	$12	6	6	+0	Rei Sakamoto	+$0	10-07 08:49
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	1	$11	12	0	+12	Yes	+$1	06-14 11:11
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	1	$11	18	0	+18	No	-$11	06-15 12:23
fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	1	$11	21	0	+21	Over	-$11	06-16 10:35
bitcoin above 94k on january 26	3	$11	5,342	5,340	+2	No	$0	01-26 10:34
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	06-25 10:30
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	06-13 09:47
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	1	$10	15	0	+15	Over	+$5	06-26 10:30
bitcoin up or down february 3 5pm et	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	-$10	02-03 22:01
bitcoin above 98k on january 27	3	$9	4,624	4,523	+101	No	$0	01-26 20:09
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	1	$8	14	0	+14	Over	-$8	06-29 07:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 17:30 UTC	1	$8	15	0	+15	Down	-$8	01-30 17:22
fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 2pt5	1	$8	17	0	+17	Under	-$8	06-28 11:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 12:00 UTC	2	$8	8	8	+0	Up	$0	02-07 11:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 11:50:22	Mallorca: Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Laura Samson	Laura Samson	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x76adc7…
10-07 09:43:50	Shenzhen Juniors FC vs. Guandong GZ-Power FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x1c0db7…
10-07 08:50:14	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zhizhen Zhang vs Tomas Machac	Tomas Machac	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xdfe72e…
10-07 08:49:20	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marco Trungelliti vs Rei Sakamoto	Rei Sakamoto	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1158c8…
10-07 08:32:41	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marco Trungelliti vs Rei Sakamoto	Rei Sakamoto	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xd5008b…
06-29 07:18:28	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x5a5fb1…
06-28 11:59:31	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	17	44¢	$8	0x44eb3b…
06-26 10:30:50	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x30d007…
06-25 10:30:49	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xc2a0a2…
06-16 10:35:00	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x5a023d…
06-15 12:23:34	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	18	62¢	$11	0xbaeeb8…
06-14 11:11:43	Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x6949a1…
06-13 09:47:27	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xee9e18…
06-12 11:43:16	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xe14535…
06-12 11:43:16	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x8adb24…
06-12 11:38:30	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xee2b4b…
06-12 11:38:30	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xd526f2…
06-12 11:33:36	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x60017a…
06-12 11:33:34	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xc68c06…
06-12 11:29:40	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x35d794…
06-12 11:23:27	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x14a804…
05-30 14:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x53cbf8…
05-30 14:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7d88b9…
05-30 14:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xff9e25…
05-30 14:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5b41ca…
05-30 13:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x8d48ea…
05-18 21:32:59	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	28	68¢	$19	0xf81be2…
05-16 14:56:47	Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-05-16?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x3ca103…
05-16 11:02:08	Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-05-16?	No	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xe93251…
05-14 11:22:33	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?	Yes	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0xf8994c…
04-11 12:04:57	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2ebd44…
04-11 12:00:03	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6d4cd2…
04-11 11:54:37	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x730400…
04-11 11:50:03	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xaf705d…
04-11 11:43:47	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xb315b8…
04-11 11:40:03	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x99d097…
04-11 11:35:03	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe713b2…
04-11 11:28:05	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6946a4…
04-11 11:24:59	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xaacbc0…
04-11 11:20:01	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xce709c…
04-11 11:15:01	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4c1251…
04-01 15:22:59	highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8b2a6b…
03-25 09:39:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf217d4…
03-25 09:37:25	ethereum above 1600 on march 26	No	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0x4a5cac…
03-25 09:33:49	ethereum above 1600 on march 26	No	SELL	7,500	0¢	$8	0x4e8db4…
03-25 09:33:33	ethereum above 1600 on march 26	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x87792a…
03-25 09:33:13	ethereum above 1600 on march 26	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x93155f…
03-25 09:32:15	ethereum above 1600 on march 26	No	BUY	7,872	0¢	$8	0xf06b97…
03-24 19:58:43	ethereum above 2600 on march 25	Yes	SELL	300	0¢	$0	0xc40c6d…
03-24 19:23:11	ethereum above 2600 on march 25	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x58c3ba…
03-24 16:14:57	ethereum above 2600 on march 25	Yes	SELL	180	0¢	$0	0x99a487…
03-24 16:14:37	ethereum above 2600 on march 25	Yes	SELL	6,200	0¢	$6	0x740791…
03-24 16:13:17	ethereum above 2600 on march 25	Yes	BUY	6,790	0¢	$7	0x81522e…
03-24 11:36:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 11:30 UTC	Up	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x85c17b…
03-24 11:34:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x7fb2ff…
03-04 11:59:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc5bbbb…
03-04 11:53:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xfb8281…
03-04 11:49:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x67dfbc…
03-04 11:49:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x4d52de…
03-04 11:45:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1ecbce…
03-04 11:37:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x48cb1c…
03-04 11:34:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xce3ce1…
03-04 11:29:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xad4a3f…
03-04 11:29:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x02491a…
03-04 11:23:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2ff084…
03-04 11:19:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x481200…
03-04 11:13:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x94c03c…
03-04 11:09:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x4606e5…
03-04 11:08:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf1ff51…
03-03 14:59:13	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xd8df15…
03-03 14:59:13	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x52dbe1…
03-03 14:54:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x967037…
03-03 14:53:27	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xedc0cb…
03-03 14:53:27	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x82c237…
03-03 14:50:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe4ab80…
03-03 14:50:03	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x394325…
03-03 14:49:35	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3386ad…
03-03 14:43:27	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x4fd69a…
03-03 14:43:27	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x222a58…
03-03 14:43:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5a45cc…
03-03 14:43:01	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd5346b…
03-03 14:42:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf253e4…
03-03 14:39:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x443ba3…
03-03 14:38:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3dc7ad…
03-03 14:38:23	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x625ac8…
03-03 14:34:47	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x48038a…
03-03 14:34:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1281f6…
03-03 14:34:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbad3a8…
03-03 14:29:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa3f94b…
03-03 12:59:59	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x38705e…
03-03 12:55:03	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf63560…
03-03 12:49:53	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7652c6…
03-03 12:45:03	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb2c188…
03-03 12:39:55	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x18d616…
03-03 12:34:57	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0bb3b8…
03-03 12:30:03	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x20c33f…
03-03 12:30:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x075d73…
03-03 12:29:39	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xaa1660…
03-03 12:25:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf0324f…
03-03 12:25:03	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x45bed1…