Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.34K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.0%

Resolved

543

Trades

1,693

lifetime

Volume

$27.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-29 00:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Sports

43% 82% -$1,053

Other

34% 10% -$215

Politics

17% 21% -$62

Tech

5% 20% -$13

Crypto

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	113	$2.8K	2,768	2,768	+0	No	-$18	08-17 00:17
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	28	$665	599	597	+2	No	-$3	06-22 19:08
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	31	$614	416	416	+0	No	-$3	06-18 06:02
Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?	28	$561	511	511	+0	Yes	-$6	07-27 16:18
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?	38	$525	588	588	+0	No	-$4	07-14 16:56
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	18	$360	592	552	+40	No	-$11	08-14 22:27
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	2	$360	224	224	+0	open	—	08-16 18:02
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?	12	$341	240	240	+0	Yes	-$2	07-03 12:45
No one announced as next James Bond?	4	$333	256	256	+0	open	—	08-14 14:57
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?	17	$325	297	297	+0	No	-$7	07-15 11:42
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	9	$304	251	251	+0	open	—	06-27 19:28
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in June?	26	$303	301	301	+0	Yes	-$12	06-20 22:52
Will Mohamed Salah join Al-Ittihad?	6	$274	156	156	+0	No	-$1	07-31 06:00
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?	22	$264	203	203	+0	No	-$4	06-21 12:22
Will The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?	6	$245	151	151	+0	Yes	-$3	08-10 03:48
will xagusd dip to 54 in july 2026	4	$238	176	176	+0	No	-$16	07-13 01:57
nba okc phx 2026 01 04 total 227pt5	4	$229	120	120	+0	Under	+$11	01-05 03:39
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?	12	$229	153	153	+0	Yes	-$1	07-02 00:13
Will Jared Goff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	6	$214	170	170	+0	No	$0	07-03 09:46
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$210	122	122	+0	No	-$1	07-07 17:27
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?	5	$208	114	114	+0	No	$0	07-12 15:02
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	11	$188	149	149	+0	Yes	-$2	06-17 23:35
Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?	4	$182	100	100	+0	Yes	-$2	08-02 16:30
Will ONSIDE GAMING Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2	10	$167	142	142	+0	Yes	-$3	07-13 06:53
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be below -4% in May?	14	$166	188	188	+0	Yes	-$1	06-22 02:55
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	8	$162	142	142	+0	open	—	08-01 03:47
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	9	$154	160	160	+0	No	$0	07-26 10:42
Will Pat McFadden be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?	4	$145	105	105	+0	open	—	08-16 04:54
nba mil sac 2026 01 04 total 228pt5	5	$142	100	100	+0	Under	+$6	01-05 03:08
Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in July 2026?	7	$140	76	76	+0	No	$0	07-08 17:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 00:10:43	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xd43e15…
10-28 22:11:32	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xe81685…
10-28 17:09:16	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 10 and 12.5 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x6beb2c…
09-04 13:09:13	Will PLQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x7363d9…
09-04 13:09:12	Will Stephen Skoly be the RI-02 Republican nominee?	No	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x15003c…
09-04 13:09:10	Will Eduardo Braga win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x12e16b…
09-04 13:09:09	Will the PCQ win 8-10 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x153905…
09-04 13:09:07	Will Green Party (MP) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?	No	SELL	9	63¢	$6	0xb292fe…
09-04 13:09:06	Will SER have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?	No	SELL	9	44¢	$4	0xc0b82b…
09-04 13:09:03	Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	17	52¢	$9	0xe9e4f5…
09-04 13:09:01	Will Agbu Kefas win the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	19	53¢	$10	0x9c4fda…
09-04 13:09:00	Will Ana Daniela García Salgado win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x031f67…
09-04 13:08:58	Will Rob Burton win the 2026 Oakville mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xdbac34…
09-04 13:08:57	Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xb80d16…
09-04 13:08:55	Will Leanne Caron win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x969a90…
09-04 13:08:54	Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x76ce69…
09-04 13:08:52	Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x3af726…
09-04 13:08:51	Will Dorothy McCabe win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election?	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xa1c743…
09-04 13:08:49	Will Simphiwe Dzengwa be the next mayor of Buffalo City?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xdbd839…
09-04 13:08:48	Will the PCQ win 17 or more seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xce52d9…
09-04 13:08:45	Will Verónica Díaz Robles win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0xd9c5ea…
09-04 13:08:43	Will Ismael Burgueño Ruiz win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0xc82d81…
09-03 07:57:37	Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	15	54¢	$8	0x5134a0…
09-02 18:28:39	Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?	No	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xebb2d2…
09-02 18:26:01	Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?	No	SELL	18	40¢	$7	0xeb892b…
09-01 19:55:54	Will SER have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?	No	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0xd9937d…
08-31 17:56:55	Will Democrats win the Maine Governor election and Republicans win the Maine Senate election?	No	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xf72029…
08-31 16:00:55	Will AfD win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x5ca370…
08-31 13:15:09	Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x0d64e7…
08-31 13:11:42	Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x13fc16…
08-31 13:08:57	Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x4be365…
08-31 13:07:33	Will Grüne win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x4ce826…
08-30 23:37:34	Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	17	64¢	$11	0x890908…
08-30 23:03:01	Will AfD win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x0d68d5…
08-30 22:56:34	Will Agbu Kefas win the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0x7e27b8…
08-30 21:33:31	Will Democrats win the Maine Governor election and Republicans win the Maine Senate election?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x5a10fa…
08-30 21:04:52	Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?	Yes	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xbfbc03…
08-30 19:12:58	Will Democrats win the Maine Governor election and Republicans win the Maine Senate election?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x723e03…
08-30 14:51:22	Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x790fe6…
08-30 14:49:46	Will Grüne win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0x22464b…
08-30 14:49:46	Will Grüne win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x10f1f3…
08-30 14:44:52	Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x8ef946…
08-30 08:28:57	Will Democrats win the Maine Governor election and Republicans win the Maine Senate election?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x76526c…
08-29 14:12:37	Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x2b1822…
08-29 14:05:27	Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x6c17c8…
08-29 13:51:33	Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x6691f0…
08-29 13:51:31	Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x9bab04…
08-29 13:42:12	Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x4e9905…
08-29 13:40:49	Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x10c394…
08-29 13:30:42	Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x47de20…
08-29 13:30:36	Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xba0f57…
08-29 13:27:13	Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x1b2afb…
08-29 10:15:15	Will Rob Burton win the 2026 Oakville mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x18bede…
08-29 10:05:58	Will Stephen Skoly be the RI-02 Republican nominee?	No	SELL	16	37¢	$6	0xcc07c5…
08-29 08:49:12	Will Daniel Fontaine win the 2026 New Westminster mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xdaa79b…
08-29 01:29:07	Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x51c226…
08-29 01:25:54	Will the All Progressives Congress (APC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?	Yes	SELL	12	61¢	$7	0x676e32…
08-29 00:12:21	Will the All Progressives Congress (APC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?	Yes	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xdc40b7…
08-28 22:52:36	Will Eduardo Braga win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xbbbf72…
08-28 22:52:33	Will Eduardo Braga win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?	No	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x5f8d7f…
08-28 22:46:36	Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xb34ffe…
08-28 22:33:42	Will Capitão Alberto Neto win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xab8ada…
08-28 22:33:42	Will Eduardo Braga win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?	Yes	SELL	15	36¢	$5	0x0f5f94…
08-28 22:08:37	Will Eduardo Braga win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x6e578f…
08-28 21:53:36	Will Capitão Alberto Neto win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xdcce2a…
08-28 21:53:36	Will Capitão Alberto Neto win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x813aa9…
08-28 21:52:33	Will Capitão Alberto Neto win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x36e690…
08-28 21:50:33	Will Eduardo Braga win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xcbf925…
08-28 19:55:31	Will Green Party (MP) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?	No	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x518b02…
08-28 19:22:33	Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x5d81fb…
08-28 19:16:33	Will Stephen Skoly be the RI-02 Republican nominee?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x35a54a…
08-28 19:11:46	Will the PCQ win 17 or more seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x03922c…
08-28 17:47:30	Will PLQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?	No	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0xeb1223…
08-28 17:40:42	Will Cid Gomes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xdfc10d…
08-28 17:37:12	Will Cid Gomes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x91cd19…
08-28 17:27:16	Will Capitão Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xffff21…
08-28 17:27:10	Will Cid Gomes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?	Yes	SELL	21	45¢	$9	0xc09403…
08-28 17:22:24	Will Capitão Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x471868…
08-28 17:17:07	Will Cid Gomes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xdd6b7f…
08-28 17:17:07	Will Cid Gomes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x92a6c5…
08-28 17:07:27	Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 20 and 23 inclusive?	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x8f316c…
08-28 17:07:07	Will Capitão Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x000c31…
08-28 17:05:09	Will Cid Gomes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?	Yes	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x9e2c35…
08-28 17:05:09	Will Capitão Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x78dbce…
08-28 17:05:07	Will Capitão Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xa311af…
08-28 17:05:07	Will Cid Gomes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?	Yes	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x8e1cfb…
08-28 17:04:39	Will Cid Gomes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x1dda06…
08-28 17:04:37	Will Daniel Fontaine win the 2026 New Westminster mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x46da4f…
08-28 16:53:45	Will Nicoletti win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xf09072…
08-28 16:36:21	Will PLQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?	No	BUY	9	72¢	$6	0x9f30d9…
08-28 16:32:34	Will Ntombi Nama be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa079a7…
08-28 16:17:03	Will Democrats win the Maine Governor election and Republicans win the Maine Senate election?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xca283d…
08-28 14:10:48	Will Dorothy McCabe win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x151943…
08-28 13:22:36	Will Leanne Caron win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x90f0f9…
08-28 13:19:04	Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x58afb9…
08-28 13:07:52	Will Leanne Caron win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x1ac4f4…
08-28 13:06:03	Will Ismael Burgueño Ruiz win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x628a7e…
08-28 13:02:24	Will Leanne Caron win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x539a36…
08-28 13:01:15	Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$12	0xe14487…
08-28 13:00:52	Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xb5a74a…