Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

475

lifetime

Volume

$8.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$85

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 06-11 15:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

58% 0% $-1

Sports

20% 0% $-1

Politics

12% — —

Crypto

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No		+85	$83	99¢	$84	+$1	06-04 07:30
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes		+85	$2	1¢	$1	$-1	06-04 07:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	44	$1.1K	2,050	50	+2,000	open	—	04-06 12:15
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	38	$628	1,480	260	+1,220	No	$-1	04-05 20:25
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	14	$454	510	190	+320	open	—	03-16 22:00
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	24	$435	940	80	+860	open	—	04-15 13:23
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	12	$392	500	100	+400	open	—	03-18 17:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	42	$356	640	60	+580	open	—	04-06 16:50
GTA VI released before June 2026?	12	$351	482	261	+220	open	—	03-17 20:58
Netanyahu out by April 30?	14	$321	520	120	+400	open	—	04-01 14:07
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	14	$286	630	70	+560	open	—	03-18 21:08
netanyahu out by march 31 854	12	$236	530	70	+460	open	—	03-17 12:25
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	12	$227	430	10	+420	open	—	03-23 06:39
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	16	$208	390	70	+320	open	—	03-29 11:25
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$137	70	70	+0	open	—	03-13 20:21
will jordan spieth win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$136	70	70	+0	open	—	03-13 09:18
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	5	$136	100	99	+1	Yes	$-0	04-21 18:43
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	6	$124	280	40	+240	open	—	03-19 01:38
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	6	$120	240	0	+240	open	—	04-06 08:31
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	4	$120	240	0	+240	open	—	03-12 15:43
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$117	60	60	+0	open	—	03-12 23:55
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$117	60	60	+0	No	$-0	03-16 04:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	8	$115	310	90	+220	open	—	03-28 09:17
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$112	260	40	+220	open	—	03-27 17:17
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	7	$111	217	3	+214	open	—	04-14 03:51
bitcoin above 64k on april 2	12	$108	180	31	+149	open	—	04-02 13:34
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	12	$106	190	30	+160	open	—	03-28 11:47
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	04-06 00:38
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	2	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	03-15 01:35
nba uta okc 2026 04 05	12	$87	160	11	+149	open	—	04-05 09:39
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	5	$85	175	5	+170	open	—	06-04 07:30
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	5	$81	108	20	+88	open	—	06-04 04:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 15:30:51	pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	No	SELL	44	82¢	$36	0x5cc398…
06-11 15:30:40	pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	No	BUY	44	83¢	$37	0xe2355b…
06-04 07:30:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x8d3ac5…
06-04 07:30:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x3ca313…
06-04 04:16:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x5d0b3f…
06-04 04:16:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x38c2ce…
06-04 04:16:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xce5396…
06-03 14:39:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x84d78f…
06-03 14:39:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x0d1787…
06-03 00:24:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	36	19¢	$7	0x039eb2…
06-03 00:24:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	BUY	35	82¢	$29	0x9347d0…
06-02 10:22:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x1d7002…
06-02 10:22:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0xa0f66b…
06-02 10:22:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0xfe3da8…
06-01 23:31:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x902b85…
06-01 23:31:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xa72d2c…
05-11 22:29:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0x38daf5…
05-11 22:28:57	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	3¢	$2	0x73465e…
05-11 22:28:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x622f6b…
05-11 11:42:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x5e9f94…
05-11 11:42:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x2b8640…
05-09 19:47:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xfd9934…
05-09 19:47:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x617c0d…
05-09 19:47:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x2aef2e…
04-28 03:43:40	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xd38ec9…
04-28 03:43:28	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0d9bc2…
04-27 07:42:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x5c15ad…
04-27 07:42:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x986049…
04-24 13:30:54	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x428df1…
04-24 13:30:40	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xa6bce6…
04-24 13:27:20	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x9e8f0d…
04-24 03:56:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$0	0xfaac4f…
04-24 03:56:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x9102e3…
04-24 03:56:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x3f4cd6…
04-24 03:56:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x2a55ea…
04-23 20:49:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x840396…
04-23 20:49:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xf34d9f…
04-21 23:39:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$3	0x830223…
04-21 23:38:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x9a5a74…
04-21 23:38:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6ff750…
04-21 23:38:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xda74e9…
04-21 18:43:14	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	29	6¢	$2	0xb6e16e…
04-21 18:43:04	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0xcfd45c…
04-21 18:43:04	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x5de783…
04-21 13:03:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0xddaae6…
04-21 13:03:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xf2833c…
04-21 05:23:54	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0xfcd01f…
04-21 05:23:40	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x435631…
04-21 05:23:32	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0xd46f17…
04-21 02:08:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x3617c9…
04-21 02:08:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xa1ef81…
04-15 13:23:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1c3a3c…
04-15 13:23:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xe6176c…
04-15 13:15:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xcc70ab…
04-15 13:15:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x848422…
04-14 13:28:37	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	Yes	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0x79ecd1…
04-14 13:28:15	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	No	BUY	40	39¢	$15	0x10bea6…
04-14 13:28:13	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	Yes	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xe68353…
04-14 03:51:13	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xb6e3ef…
04-14 03:50:53	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xa9e863…
04-14 03:50:51	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x4900ac…
04-14 01:55:29	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x334cf7…
04-14 01:55:21	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x43a1fb…
04-13 22:19:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xc7ea46…
04-13 22:19:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x247801…
04-08 14:09:49	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0xf25998…
04-08 14:09:49	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x9fe3f2…
04-08 07:00:13	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x405afb…
04-08 07:00:13	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x2954fe…
04-06 16:50:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x1dada4…
04-06 16:36:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xeca09a…
04-06 16:35:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xa31f9e…
04-06 16:35:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xb98274…
04-06 16:34:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xaa9dce…
04-06 16:34:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x9cb5d3…
04-06 12:15:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xeef76f…
04-06 12:15:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6d6761…
04-06 11:03:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xa240b3…
04-06 11:03:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xcd7525…
04-06 09:58:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0xd663af…
04-06 09:46:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x308b4d…
04-06 09:45:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x37c42a…
04-06 09:45:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xb7dbf7…
04-06 09:44:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x4cc101…
04-06 09:44:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x1f8591…
04-06 08:31:11	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xf9058d…
04-06 08:31:11	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xa152c2…
04-06 05:12:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x0688cd…
04-06 05:01:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe6bd54…
04-06 05:01:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xfce5e5…
04-06 05:00:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7b4a19…
04-06 04:59:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xfb53a7…
04-06 04:59:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x32dac8…
04-06 03:09:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0xf9428d…
04-06 02:56:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x8f1b4a…
04-06 02:56:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x311970…
04-06 02:55:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x627f69…
04-06 02:55:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xd3579d…
04-06 02:55:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x92f1e5…
04-06 00:38:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xc88506…