Secondary-Chart — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$891

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

61.7%

Resolved

6,738

Trades

16,211

lifetime

Volume

$39.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 10-07 17:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 90 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 60% -$977

Politics

1% 19% -$57

Other

0% 50% +$164

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Sports

0% 0% -$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	No		+5	$4	98¢	$5	+$1	09-29 18:37
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	No		+5	$4	96¢	$5	+$1	09-29 22:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 03:20 UTC	5	$235	211	208	+3	Down	+$12	03-29 03:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 01:35 UTC	6	$161	181	99	+82	Up	-$48	04-06 01:39
will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 15 20260608233701772	18	$145	259	29	+230	Yes	-$4	06-17 12:13
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	13	$102	180	20	+160	Yes	-$2	06-13 01:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 03:30 UTC	3	$75	88	0	+88	Down	-$16	03-29 03:34
will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	26	$60	97	23	+74	Yes	-$1	06-15 19:23
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	7	$58	75	35	+40	Yes	-$3	06-12 02:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 03:35 UTC	3	$55	77	0	+77	Up	+$22	03-29 03:39
will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	6	$52	108	22	+87	No	-$3	06-17 06:33
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 19:10 UTC	4	$52	68	0	+68	Down	-$1	04-14 19:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 17:45 UTC	11	$52	50	50	+0	Up	+$7	03-17 17:57
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 13:45 UTC	2	$49	89	0	+89	Down	+$9	03-21 13:50
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 13:30 UTC	2	$49	54	0	+54	Down	$0	03-21 13:42
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	4	$44	232	0	+232	Yes	+$188	07-08 12:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 14:45 UTC	12	$43	50	46	+4	Up	+$1	03-16 14:48
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:05 UTC	10	$42	55	20	+35	Down	-$6	03-16 21:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 01:25 UTC	1	$41	70	0	+70	Up	+$29	04-06 01:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 03:25 UTC	3	$41	47	0	+47	Down	+$6	03-29 03:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 22:25 UTC	9	$40	40	40	+0	Up	+$2	03-16 22:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 16:25 UTC	9	$38	50	30	+20	Down	+$1	02-25 16:27
spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	6	$38	57	17	+40	Up	-$1	06-15 14:27
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	6	$36	58	20	+38	No	-$10	06-13 01:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 16:15 UTC	6	$33	40	20	+20	Up	+$0	03-16 16:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 14:45 UTC	5	$32	40	20	+20	Down	+$1	03-16 14:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 16:15 UTC	7	$32	30	30	+0	Up	+$2	03-16 16:17
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 13:30 UTC	7	$30	40	20	+20	Down	-$1	03-10 13:30
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 22:05 UTC	8	$29	38	22	+16	Up	-$3	03-16 22:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 02:40 UTC	8	$29	40	20	+20	Down	+$2	03-17 02:42
will virgil van dijk score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	5	$29	56	0	+56	Yes	-$13	06-14 21:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 20:00 UTC	6	$29	30	30	+0	Down	$0	03-16 20:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 17:26:50	Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x137b9b…
10-02 19:34:38	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	No	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x1ab4c6…
10-01 14:37:00	Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0xc18de2…
10-01 02:29:36	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by september 30 2026	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x7bf58e…
09-29 22:03:53	Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xb09214…
09-29 18:37:41	Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x118dfa…
09-28 15:56:47	Will Elon tweet 920-959 times in September 2026?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x1b45eb…
09-28 02:45:38	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x9e1135…
09-28 02:45:38	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x1107e2…
09-28 00:56:38	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xbdda3e…
07-08 12:49:34	Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xb45470…
07-08 08:10:01	Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	Yes	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0x6471d5…
07-08 08:04:10	Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	Yes	BUY	43	19¢	$8	0x10a5dd…
07-07 21:57:16	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	260	3¢	$9	0xd4f969…
07-07 21:57:16	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x7686b4…
07-07 21:56:13	Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	Yes	BUY	187	19¢	$36	0x8f1417…
06-17 12:13:25	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 15 20260608233701772	No	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x45d751…
06-17 06:34:01	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204724	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xe28332…
06-17 06:33:59	will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	No	SELL	22	13¢	$3	0x243b32…
06-17 06:33:58	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204724	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xa64351…
06-17 06:20:16	will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x757581…
06-17 06:16:29	will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	Yes	BUY	33	88¢	$29	0x7b15f9…
06-17 06:16:08	will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	No	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xce6ceb…
06-17 06:15:55	will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x33434d…
06-17 06:15:47	will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x999940…
06-17 05:24:14	will jared kushner attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204741	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x9dfaf3…
06-17 04:52:20	will masoud pezeshkian attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204727	Yes	BUY	13	14¢	$2	0xfbeadf…
06-17 04:52:05	will masoud pezeshkian attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204727	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x4fc52f…
06-17 04:52:02	will masoud pezeshkian attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204727	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xf7fbbe…
06-17 04:52:01	will masoud pezeshkian attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204727	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x733b02…
06-17 03:34:48	will jared kushner attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204741	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xd8d84e…
06-17 00:23:47	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204724	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xdfb9c5…
06-17 00:23:44	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204724	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x2b334b…
06-16 19:57:01	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x60713c…
06-16 19:56:58	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x685625…
06-16 16:13:34	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 15 20260608233701772	Yes	BUY	18	68¢	$12	0x7e460d…
06-16 13:42:40	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 15 20260608233701772	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xd96c2e…
06-15 19:23:24	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0xca6a30…
06-15 19:20:33	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0xfdf871…
06-15 19:20:33	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x17219f…
06-15 19:19:46	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?	No	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0xd7ad2b…
06-15 19:19:36	Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcf0daa…
06-15 19:18:43	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x934e6c…
06-15 19:17:15	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x453b57…
06-15 19:17:15	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x254b5b…
06-15 19:17:13	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe2868f…
06-15 19:17:13	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0db572…
06-15 19:17:12	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb4ac02…
06-15 19:17:12	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x606b99…
06-15 19:17:10	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa74145…
06-15 19:17:10	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2ae660…
06-15 19:17:09	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8a932e…
06-15 19:17:07	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xcf4686…
06-15 19:17:07	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x489884…
06-15 19:07:49	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x379731…
06-15 18:24:09	will trump speak to elon musk in june	No	SELL	16	39¢	$6	0x97f457…
06-15 18:19:13	will trump speak to elon musk in june	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x471c56…
06-15 18:17:49	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xab38d9…
06-15 18:17:49	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa06a05…
06-15 18:17:48	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x02d4b0…
06-15 18:17:46	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x94c83b…
06-15 18:17:45	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6542b9…
06-15 18:17:45	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2a77e4…
06-15 18:17:43	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x61f82f…
06-15 18:17:43	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x16127a…
06-15 18:08:37	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x1c13cc…
06-15 14:27:19	Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x9ab0a1…
06-15 14:27:15	SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?	Down	SELL	9	38¢	$3	0x459056…
06-15 14:27:10	Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?	Yes	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0x2214d0…
06-15 14:26:58	SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?	Up	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0x83d019…
06-15 13:36:40	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0x26ae2d…
06-15 13:04:55	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 15 20260608233701772	Yes	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x8fadde…
06-15 12:44:55	Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?	No	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x9097b9…
06-15 12:44:54	Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x42266c…
06-15 12:39:33	Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xc94d15…
06-15 12:33:12	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0xcb74f5…
06-15 11:56:07	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xc296b8…
06-15 11:55:00	SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?	Down	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xec8c4a…
06-15 10:07:37	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 15 20260608233701772	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x729747…
06-15 09:56:37	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 15 20260608233701772	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x37281c…
06-15 09:48:42	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 15 20260608233701772	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xa42c9c…
06-15 09:47:15	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 15 20260608233701772	No	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x4d43e5…
06-15 09:47:00	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 15 20260608233701772	Yes	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0x677742…
06-15 09:46:03	Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x030457…
06-15 09:44:58	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 15 20260608233701772	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x942481…
06-15 09:44:33	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 15 20260608233701772	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xc15f02…
06-15 09:33:16	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 15 20260608233701772	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x57690c…
06-14 21:09:27	Will Virgil van Dijk score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xeee4a9…
06-14 21:00:39	will virgil van dijk score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xdf1306…
06-14 21:00:00	Will Virgil van Dijk score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x4e4649…
06-14 20:32:45	will virgil van dijk score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x873915…
06-14 19:16:06	will virgil van dijk score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x18d660…
06-14 18:11:16	marc guehi 20260609175104684	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x77c28f…
06-14 14:31:55	marc guehi 20260609175104684	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xddc6ef…
06-13 01:01:49	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x2d677d…
06-13 01:01:06	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0xed6e20…
06-13 01:01:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x900e6f…
06-13 01:01:03	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x293233…
06-13 01:00:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x640c6c…
06-13 00:59:49	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?	No	BUY	9	81¢	$8	0x349c7d…