Scrawny-Trial — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.5%

Resolved

Trades

403

lifetime

Volume

$403

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-28 07:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

40% 0% $-0

Politics

29% — —

Crypto

25% 100% +$0

Sports

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	9	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	01-14 03:03
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	02-05 08:19
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-16 06:15
will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	7	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	02-12 08:27
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-10 09:56
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-23 07:12
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-24 07:02
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	01-26 09:41
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-28 06:21
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 04:08
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-08 02:09
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-21 02:33
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-18 06:56
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-24 09:42
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-27 04:26
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-11 07:44
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-11 07:06
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-07 09:15
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 06:51
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-16 02:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	07-06 07:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-03 03:47
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 03:16
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-18 10:09
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-03 03:24
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 06:23
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-16 02:32
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-27 06:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 25?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 03:23
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 06:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 07:19:31	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x635495…
07-28 07:17:07	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1989b2…
07-28 07:08:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xfd1044…
07-28 06:53:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x735c02…
07-27 06:19:28	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x742fc1…
07-27 04:46:15	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9ac788…
07-27 04:26:00	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x34d3ed…
07-27 04:21:51	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9f75d4…
07-25 07:23:45	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x566781…
07-25 07:15:33	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc6aada…
07-25 07:10:09	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x310a9c…
07-25 07:00:21	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1982e0…
07-24 07:15:27	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xafc581…
07-24 07:07:46	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x55dbb3…
07-24 07:03:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xc1b776…
07-24 06:56:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa9cd23…
07-23 07:12:19	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x45e46a…
07-23 07:01:30	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6286f6…
07-23 06:57:54	will russia enter krasnoiarske by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x7d7b93…
07-23 06:43:52	will russia enter krasnoiarske by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7e316a…
07-22 06:43:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3fcf69…
07-22 06:30:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2862e7…
07-21 06:16:01	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x159ffa…
07-21 06:11:25	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xed3e49…
07-21 06:05:57	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x779c36…
07-21 03:48:10	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb151fe…
07-20 07:16:39	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x26dfe1…
07-20 07:09:43	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xce89b3…
07-20 07:06:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd640c9…
07-20 07:00:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0250b7…
07-18 07:04:22	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xaa158f…
07-18 06:59:21	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x751612…
07-18 06:56:52	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x72c66a…
07-18 06:50:51	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x59b5d1…
07-16 07:07:43	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x52b3fa…
07-16 06:50:23	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7d6578…
07-16 06:41:53	meloni out as prime minister of italy by july 31 20260626161642636	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x68ee71…
07-16 06:33:20	meloni out as prime minister of italy by july 31 20260626161642636	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7f0c4c…
07-15 06:22:07	will turkey rejoin the f 35 program by december 31 2026 20260708215836390	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x69035d…
07-15 06:14:04	will turkey rejoin the f 35 program by december 31 2026 20260708215836390	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf97fa8…
07-14 06:44:41	will aapl reach 340 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb75a36…
07-14 06:38:10	will aapl reach 340 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5973e7…
07-13 07:08:56	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1abdae…
07-13 07:01:08	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaa6654…
07-11 07:06:38	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xe978e8…
07-11 07:01:29	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x55eca7…
07-11 06:55:13	trump signs housing bill by end of july 20260624145217694	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0a8356…
07-11 06:45:41	trump signs housing bill by end of july 20260624145217694	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x131705…
07-10 07:24:19	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260706181027670	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7aa4a6…
07-10 07:07:37	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260706181027670	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1ab631…
07-10 07:02:41	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xb25080…
07-10 06:51:38	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x7aa94e…
07-09 06:28:46	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x37c280…
07-09 06:20:17	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x17c1b7…
07-08 06:41:07	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026 918	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf90bce…
07-08 06:26:23	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026 918	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8c9c71…
07-08 06:07:05	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x84db02…
07-08 04:24:31	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7235c6…
07-07 06:55:13	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xa7624e…
07-07 06:48:43	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xaa08f7…
07-06 07:22:41	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xcdd831…
07-06 07:11:10	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc35943…
07-06 07:06:25	Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x2c4eca…
07-06 07:06:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x373339…
07-06 06:38:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc29e14…
07-06 06:30:32	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xe20f02…
07-06 06:17:01	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x8e5842…
07-04 06:16:50	Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x130ba8…
07-03 03:49:07	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8a56f5…
07-03 03:47:11	Will Harry Styles perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb253f4…
07-03 03:37:16	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x34cc51…
07-03 03:35:01	Will Harry Styles perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x83702b…
07-02 06:07:28	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by july 3	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x53f604…
07-02 03:43:08	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by july 3	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4e8f7f…
07-01 03:34:31	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1dd09a…
07-01 03:20:47	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa1d23b…
06-30 04:34:38	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1e9fc0…
06-30 04:33:34	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x419881…
06-30 03:53:02	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa32334…
06-30 03:49:01	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x0ad921…
06-29 07:10:26	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xf78743…
06-29 07:09:35	Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb6d2e4…
06-29 07:03:22	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x75e86f…
06-29 06:57:19	Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xac96de…
06-27 06:38:02	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x805fdf…
06-27 06:29:46	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x506702…
06-27 04:11:32	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2c3a90…
06-27 03:43:23	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x191f23…
06-25 06:20:43	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x35b6a9…
06-25 06:19:28	over 1m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xe4077a…
06-25 04:56:10	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa34574…
06-25 04:51:56	over 1m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xafd3a7…
06-24 07:02:23	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xfeccf7…
06-24 06:47:43	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0ccfcd…
06-23 04:33:31	will ethereum reach 2100 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x09f5ab…
06-23 04:32:08	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x5465f2…
06-23 04:17:37	will ethereum reach 2100 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x896e53…
06-23 03:53:47	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x851260…
06-22 06:11:53	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x64f6d4…
06-22 04:18:38	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x658d08…