Terrific-Note — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

84.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,298

lifetime

Volume

$6.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$30

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 06-09 16:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 65% +$13

Other

12% — —

Politics

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No		+26	$25	96¢	$25	+$0	06-09 00:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		+6	$5	84¢	$5	+$0	06-09 00:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 0 39	5	$185	96	95	+0	open	—	04-05 16:53
bitcoin above 62k on april 9	3	$132	67	67	+0	open	—	04-07 21:18
bitcoin above 62k on april 8	2	$131	66	66	+0	open	—	04-07 09:43
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 0 39	2	$128	65	65	+0	open	—	04-07 06:17
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 0 39	2	$124	64	64	+0	open	—	04-10 00:20
bitcoin above 60k on april 3	3	$122	62	62	+0	open	—	04-01 16:37
bitcoin above 62k on april 1	2	$121	61	61	+0	open	—	04-01 03:11
bitcoin above 62k on march 31	2	$120	60	60	+0	open	—	03-30 16:26
bitcoin above 60k on march 31	3	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	03-30 11:00
bitcoin above 62k on march 30	3	$116	59	59	+0	open	—	03-29 19:19
bitcoin above 62k on march 28	2	$116	59	59	+0	open	—	03-28 03:44
bitcoin above 66k on march 27	2	$116	59	59	+0	open	—	03-27 16:28
bitcoin above 76k on april 15	5	$115	67	67	+0	open	—	04-14 13:41
bitcoin above 78k on april 11	2	$115	58	58	+0	open	—	04-11 08:35
bitcoin above 60k on march 30	2	$113	57	57	+0	open	—	03-29 05:36
bitcoin above 66k on march 26	2	$112	57	57	+0	open	—	03-25 16:33
bitcoin above 66k on march 25	3	$110	56	56	+0	open	—	03-25 02:10
will bitcoin reach 69k on april 2	2	$104	52	52	+0	open	—	04-03 04:01
bitcoin above 62k on april 3	2	$103	52	52	+0	open	—	04-03 00:15
bitcoin above 62k on april 4	2	$102	51	51	+0	open	—	04-03 14:10
will bitcoin reach 78k april 6 12	3	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	04-12 13:40
bitcoin above 66k on march 22	2	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	03-22 14:25
bitcoin up or down on march 21 2026	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-21 16:55
bitcoin above 62k on april 5	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-04 16:56
will bitcoin dip to 65k on march 21	2	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	03-22 04:29
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	3	$81	41	41	+0	open	—	04-27 08:23
bitcoin above 64k on march 25	3	$76	38	38	+0	open	—	03-24 09:54
bitcoin above 62k on march 25	2	$74	38	38	+0	open	—	03-23 17:18
bitcoin above 64k on march 23	2	$72	37	37	+0	open	—	03-23 10:30
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	8	$56	53	4	+49	open	—	04-18 13:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 16:48:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xca3378…
06-09 16:47:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1c5c22…
06-09 12:33:10	bitcoin above 60k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xececcf…
06-09 08:42:51	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2c52a4…
06-09 00:39:07	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8354c8…
06-09 00:36:34	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x81fedb…
06-09 00:36:19	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x086eb1…
06-09 00:35:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xeb1610…
06-09 00:35:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x10d75f…
06-07 23:35:34	bitcoin above 56k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x62ff1e…
06-07 23:34:55	bitcoin above 58k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4d3b45…
06-07 23:33:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x1b7f5f…
06-07 23:33:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x020d2d…
06-07 23:33:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x244cac…
06-07 12:23:19	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6323e2…
06-07 10:06:58	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2a196e…
06-07 10:04:22	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8a0e7a…
06-07 10:03:46	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdbd82a…
06-07 08:49:42	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe01f61…
06-07 08:49:25	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd8c818…
06-07 08:49:24	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd69297…
06-07 06:43:12	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7d6198…
06-07 06:18:57	atp fery bu 2026 06 06	Yunchaokete Bu	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x724a7a…
06-07 04:51:57	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x607520…
06-07 04:31:31	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xea99b0…
06-07 04:10:15	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x52b4ef…
06-06 13:52:19	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xad7cf9…
06-06 00:17:49	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x353228…
06-05 17:24:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x896e6f…
06-05 17:24:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x8eac84…
06-05 13:52:13	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x72213e…
06-05 13:52:01	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0ac5bf…
06-05 13:51:52	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8aa7d4…
06-05 13:51:49	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x519092…
06-04 23:48:46	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x38448b…
06-04 17:48:48	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbda094…
06-04 16:21:42	atp matsuok searle 2026 06 04	Henry Searle	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xefcd59…
06-04 16:20:00	wta sherif pedone 2026 06 03	Mayar Sherif	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xabddad…
06-04 16:19:51	wta sherif pedone 2026 06 03	Mayar Sherif	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x07cbd2…
06-04 16:07:46	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xe28958…
06-04 15:15:31	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x472077…
06-04 02:45:04	mlb lad ari 2026 06 03	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x320ea4…
06-03 15:31:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8d47be…
06-03 13:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x13fef7…
06-03 13:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xf53d26…
06-03 13:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x931e9f…
06-03 05:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x919bd5…
06-03 03:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x15f086…
06-03 03:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x286f4b…
06-03 03:28:07	New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x21c068…
06-03 03:27:39	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	Colorado Rockies	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x28af7f…
06-03 03:08:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2eebd8…
06-03 00:22:48	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Detroit Tigers	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc425b0…
06-03 00:03:06	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe6e3fa…
06-02 23:57:43	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Detroit Tigers	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xfc305d…
06-02 23:57:34	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Detroit Tigers	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9527ef…
06-02 23:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf3b76b…
06-02 15:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0xa8856c…
06-02 14:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x90aedc…
06-02 02:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa59039…
06-01 15:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xa9d740…
06-01 14:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0x586514…
06-01 14:56:22	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7c92d3…
06-01 10:28:02	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc40219…
06-01 09:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x6d908c…
06-01 09:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x9e3b85…
06-01 09:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0xeb8bb8…
06-01 09:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xab9dcc…
06-01 07:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xe0aaaa…
06-01 06:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x1c2529…
06-01 06:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe3eab2…
05-31 15:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9d7576…
05-31 04:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x6adc0d…
05-31 04:58:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x6af2d8…
05-31 03:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xf226dc…
05-31 03:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xcc6c4c…
05-31 03:41:27	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd591ed…
05-30 17:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	49	60¢	$30	0xb71c60…
05-30 17:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x79144c…
05-30 16:33:24	Little Rock: Colton Smith vs Tyler Zink	Colton Smith	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa6b272…
05-30 16:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xe9fc42…
05-30 16:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0x0f47b0…
05-30 16:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc62e5b…
05-30 16:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf6341a…
05-30 16:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x645d62…
05-30 15:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x5f120d…
05-30 13:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xccdc7e…
05-30 12:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xa4fe1d…
05-30 11:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7eee2d…
05-30 10:52:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x97525f…
05-30 10:52:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xaa69b9…
05-30 10:52:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1d296c…
05-30 09:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xeabb40…
05-30 09:16:11	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x59a68f…
05-30 09:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x81b973…
05-30 05:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x21f8cc…
05-30 04:52:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x38b36e…
05-30 04:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xebfbc5…
05-30 04:17:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd86ec9…
05-30 04:16:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x60f4cb…