Tough-Trek — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$737

Unrealized P&L

+$105

Hit rate

99.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$27.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$434

Open exposure

$1.91K

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 10-28 13:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Sports

53% 93% +$325

Other

47% 100% +$412

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will AEK Athens reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	No		+1,100	$1,000	88¢	$963	-$37	10-28 13:25
Will Borussia Dortmund qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes		+995	$800	95¢	$943	+$143	09-20 17:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$2.8K	2,921	+2,921	No	+$74	06-06 15:40
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	5	$2.3K	2,382	+2,382	Yes	+$121	05-10 20:30
Will Nico Schlotterbeck stay at Borussia Dortmund?	4	$2.1K	2,129	+2,129	Yes	+$76	08-06 20:56
Will United States score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$2.0K	2,019	+2,019	No	+$19	07-05 12:28
Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	2	$1.7K	1,765	+1,765	No	+$65	05-21 22:09
Will Norway score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.5K	1,545	+1,545	No	+$45	07-07 23:44
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$1.5K	1,535	+1,535	No	+$35	09-28 22:07
Will Liverpool qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	3	$1.2K	1,221	+1,221	Yes	+$21	05-21 22:09
Will Liverpool reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	1	$1000	1,100	+1,100	open	—	10-28 13:17
Will AEK Athens reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	1	$1000	1,100	+1,100	open	—	10-28 13:25
Will Yan Diomande join Manchester City?	1	$1000	1,005	+1,005	No	+$5	07-26 19:58
will michael olise transfer to real madrid 20260717222856707	2	$1000	1,015	+1,015	No	+$15	08-06 20:55
Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	5	$885	919	+919	Yes	+$34	05-09 20:58
Will Inter Milan finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	2	$880	1,086	+1,086	open	—	10-23 20:23
Will Borussia Dortmund qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	2	$800	995	+995	open	—	09-20 17:38
Will Union Berlin be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	3	$568	582	+582	No	+$14	05-02 15:58
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$550	591	+591	No	+$41	05-30 22:01
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$500	586	+586	No	+$86	09-20 17:53
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$500	641	+641	Yes	+$141	05-30 21:57
Will RB Leipzig finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	1	$500	520	+520	open	—	10-28 13:26
Will Declan Rice finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$500	506	+506	No	+$6	09-28 22:07
Will FC Koln be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	1	$300	306	+306	No	+$6	05-03 10:23
Will Villarreal finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	1	$250	271	+271	open	—	10-23 20:20
Will Schalke 04 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	1	$250	255	+255	Yes	+$5	04-26 20:31
Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$200	205	+205	No	+$5	06-06 15:39
Will Darmstadt 98 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	1	$200	205	+205	No	+$5	04-26 20:32
Will Karim Adeyemi be included in Germany's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	1	$170	172	+172	No	+$2	05-30 20:32
Will Kevin Schade be included in Germany's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	1	$170	172	+172	No	+$2	05-30 20:38
Will Robert Andrich be included in Germany's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	1	$170	172	+172	No	+$2	05-30 20:36
Will Josha Vagnoman be included in Germany's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	1	$170	172	+172	No	+$2	05-30 20:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 13:26:50	Will RB Leipzig finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	No	BUY	520	96¢	$500	0x89c9db…
10-28 13:25:10	Will AEK Athens reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	No	BUY	1,100	91¢	$1,000	0x47a110…
10-28 13:17:32	Will Liverpool reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	Yes	BUY	1,100	91¢	$1,000	0xa37b22…
10-23 20:23:44	Will Inter Milan finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	No	BUY	469	81¢	$380	0x7aed00…
10-23 20:21:36	Will Inter Milan finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	No	BUY	617	81¢	$500	0xd99822…
10-23 20:20:26	Will Villarreal finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	No	BUY	271	92¢	$250	0x51b8e8…
09-28 22:07:50	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	512	98¢	$500	0x9c746f…
09-28 22:07:00	Will Declan Rice finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	506	99¢	$500	0xa5b243…
09-20 17:53:58	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	586	85¢	$500	0xd3de85…
09-20 17:48:21	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1,023	98¢	$1,000	0x6658ef…
09-20 17:41:42	Will Borussia Dortmund finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?	Yes	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x821916…
09-20 17:38:15	Will Borussia Dortmund qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	247	81¢	$200	0x3642c6…
09-13 09:51:16	Will Borussia Dortmund qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	748	80¢	$600	0x7d2e0c…
08-06 20:56:02	Will Nico Schlotterbeck stay at Borussia Dortmund?	Yes	BUY	506	99¢	$500	0xbb7648…
08-06 20:55:54	will michael olise transfer to real madrid 20260717222856707	No	BUY	504	99¢	$500	0x2142bf…
07-31 21:33:51	Will Nico Schlotterbeck stay at Borussia Dortmund?	Yes	BUY	1,059	94¢	$1,000	0xcb1d7b…
07-31 21:33:51	Will Nico Schlotterbeck stay at Borussia Dortmund?	Yes	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0x23ee84…
07-26 20:02:33	Will Nico Schlotterbeck stay at Borussia Dortmund?	Yes	BUY	509	98¢	$500	0x73f321…
07-26 20:00:57	will michael olise transfer to real madrid 20260717222856707	No	BUY	511	98¢	$500	0x7da15a…
07-26 19:58:45	Will Yan Diomande join Manchester City?	No	BUY	1,005	100¢	$1,000	0xb755fa…
07-07 23:44:29	Will Norway score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,039	96¢	$1,000	0x46e2fa…
07-05 12:28:34	Will United States score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	504	99¢	$500	0x0ecfd6…
07-04 17:06:59	Will United States score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	504	99¢	$500	0xe61f66…
07-04 17:06:04	Will Norway score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	506	99¢	$500	0x2f3c43…
07-04 17:05:55	Will United States score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,011	99¢	$1,000	0xd91a5b…
06-06 15:40:54	Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x9e2c02…
06-06 15:40:40	Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	410	98¢	$400	0x2d7111…
06-06 15:40:12	Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	410	98¢	$400	0x9ccba2…
06-06 15:39:36	Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0x7f1506…
05-30 22:01:22	Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	591	93¢	$550	0xe941c9…
05-30 21:58:10	Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,027	97¢	$1,000	0x34eef4…
05-30 21:57:42	Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,027	97¢	$1,000	0x995591…
05-30 21:57:23	Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	641	78¢	$500	0x165e96…
05-30 20:38:53	Will Kevin Schade be included in Germany's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	172	99¢	$170	0x147b9b…
05-30 20:38:31	Will Josha Vagnoman be included in Germany's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	172	99¢	$170	0xd098c5…
05-30 20:38:11	Will Finn Dahmen be included in Germany's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	172	99¢	$170	0xa48bf0…
05-30 20:37:15	Will Niclas Füllkrug be included in Germany's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	172	99¢	$170	0xbc5af9…
05-30 20:36:18	Will Robert Andrich be included in Germany's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	172	99¢	$170	0xb2c443…
05-30 20:32:56	Will Karim Adeyemi be included in Germany's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	172	99¢	$170	0x437285…
05-21 22:33:53	Will Bournemouth qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x577293…
05-21 22:09:58	Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	No	BUY	518	97¢	$500	0x1af753…
05-21 22:09:38	Will Liverpool qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x4f0efa…
05-19 21:50:28	Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	No	BUY	1,248	96¢	$1,200	0xa2ef5b…
05-14 08:24:36	Will Liverpool qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	1,016	98¢	$1,000	0x503651…
05-10 20:30:09	Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	BUY	311	98¢	$306	0x4ead69…
05-09 20:58:39	Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	108	95¢	$103	0xd6ae77…
05-04 11:57:24	Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	85	97¢	$82	0x54d299…
05-04 07:59:26	Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	518	96¢	$500	0xe33454…
05-03 18:11:36	Will Michael Olise have the most assists during the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?	Yes	BUY	146	99¢	$144	0x01cabb…
05-03 18:02:06	Will Liverpool qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x5ce524…
05-03 10:23:00	Will FC Koln be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0x497966…
05-03 10:20:58	Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	105	96¢	$100	0x14985d…
05-02 15:58:50	Will Union Berlin be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0x195913…
05-01 19:33:22	Will Union Berlin be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	155	97¢	$150	0xd501d7…
04-27 21:04:40	Will Union Berlin be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	122	97¢	$118	0x9097e7…
04-26 20:43:00	Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xd64670…
04-26 20:38:06	Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	BUY	511	98¢	$500	0xf74aa3…
04-26 20:36:32	Will RB Leipzig finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x47a771…
04-26 20:32:28	Will Darmstadt 98 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0x48611b…
04-26 20:31:46	Will Schalke 04 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	255	98¢	$250	0x05c14e…
04-26 17:09:52	Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	BUY	329	98¢	$322	0x70ba51…
03-01 22:04:51	Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	BUY	145	92¢	$133	0x669447…
03-01 22:04:43	Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	BUY	1,087	92¢	$1,000	0xcd61ea…