(anonymous) 0xf43f09…c212fd
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Realized P&L
+$148
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
61.1%
Resolved
639
Trades
859
lifetime
Volume
$5.29K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$310
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-28
last 10-28 20:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Other
71% 61% +$208
Politics
23% 52% -$94
Sports
5% 68% +$40
Tech
0% 0% -$8
Crypto
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +81 $58 78¢ $64 +$6 10-27 04:57
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +30 $22 72¢ $21 $0 10-27 14:49
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +17 $11 93¢ $16 +$5 10-24 18:58
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Bibi +14 $5 99¢ $14 +$9 10-27 13:25
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +20 $18 66¢ $13 -$4 10-25 07:24
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +15 $12 84¢ $13 +$1 10-27 04:25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +12 $10 96¢ $12 +$1 10-24 04:25
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +17 $15 66¢ $11 -$4 10-18 12:50
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +16 $12 70¢ $11 -$1 10-27 04:22
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +35 $12 30¢ $10 -$2 10-27 04:27
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +29 $12 33¢ $10 -$2 10-22 15:31
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +30 $10 29¢ $9 -$2 10-27 04:32
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +8 $7 99¢ $8 +$1 10-27 23:09
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +8 $5 99¢ $8 +$3 10-25 02:36
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +9 $6 78¢ $7 +$1 10-27 04:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +7 $5 100¢ $7 +$2 10-21 22:46
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +9 $7 72¢ $7 $0 10-27 04:21
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +16 $5 38¢ $6 +$1 10-27 04:33
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +7 $6 87¢ $6 +$0 10-28 13:46
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 10-23 18:16
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +6 $5 97¢ $6 +$1 10-22 02:12
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +10 $7 57¢ $6 -$1 10-20 04:07
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +6 $5 94¢ $6 +$1 10-24 04:24
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +8 $5 66¢ $5 +$0 10-28 11:29
Lakers vs. Warriors Lakers +9 $5 57¢ $5 +$0 10-27 15:15
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 +$0 10-28 01:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-24 17:29
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +21 $5 24¢ $5 $0 10-27 17:00
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +7 $5 70¢ $5 +$0 10-27 04:38
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +8 $5 58¢ $5 $0 10-27 04:56