Parallel-Lecture — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

947

lifetime

Volume

$196.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$208

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-30 10:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

57% — —

Other

41% 0% $-3

Crypto

2% 0% $-0

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 0 39	13	$5.3K	2,707	2,707	+0	open	—	02-14 15:09
will the us next strike iran on january 16 2026 et 766	15	$4.8K	2,430	2,430	+0	open	—	01-17 07:24
will the us next strike iran on january 14 2026 et 369	10	$4.6K	2,379	2,379	+0	open	—	01-15 06:07
Over $14M committed to the Space public sale?	3	$4.3K	2,312	2,312	+0	open	—	01-13 12:19
Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?	2	$4.2K	2,100	2,100	+0	open	—	01-24 23:23
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	3	$4.1K	2,100	2,100	+0	open	—	01-24 04:59
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	2	$4.0K	2,011	2,011	+0	open	—	01-25 04:44
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	12	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	01-27 00:53
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 65 89	9	$3.7K	1,854	1,854	-0	open	—	01-26 05:55
highest temperature in london on january 15 11c	7	$3.4K	1,734	1,739	-5	open	—	01-15 20:52
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	4	$3.4K	1,704	1,704	+0	open	—	02-10 08:51
will the us next strike iran on january 13 2026 et 111	9	$3.3K	1,687	1,714	-26	open	—	01-14 04:36
will the us next strike iran on february 10 2026 et	2	$3.3K	1,668	1,668	+0	open	—	02-11 06:08
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	5	$3.3K	1,984	1,984	+0	open	—	02-07 03:24
will the us next strike iran on february 6 2026 et	3	$3.3K	1,653	1,653	+0	open	—	02-07 12:45
will the us next strike iran on february 9 2026 et	9	$3.3K	1,664	1,664	+0	open	—	02-10 05:41
will israel strike lebanon on february 7 2026	2	$3.3K	1,633	1,633	+0	open	—	02-09 17:30
will israel strike lebanon on february 6 2026	4	$3.3K	1,630	1,630	+0	open	—	02-08 22:08
us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	4	$3.0K	2,255	820	+1,435	open	—	01-26 04:50
us strikes iran by january 27 2026 458 884 547 617 932	2	$3.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	01-28 02:40
will joo cotrim de figueiredo win between 16 and 18 of votes in the first round	3	$3.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	01-23 11:46
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 340 359	8	$2.9K	1,459	1,459	+0	open	—	01-30 08:19
highest temperature in london on january 18 9c	25	$2.7K	1,366	1,366	+0	open	—	01-18 12:54
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	3	$2.6K	1,312	1,312	+0	open	—	02-02 01:58
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	2	$2.6K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	02-03 03:01
bitcoin above 94k on january 13	2	$2.5K	1,305	1,305	+0	open	—	01-13 12:39
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility	5	$2.5K	1,276	1,276	+0	open	—	02-01 06:46
us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	8	$2.4K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	01-30 05:00
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 0 39	4	$2.3K	1,141	1,141	+0	open	—	02-15 12:25
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	2	$2.3K	1,130	1,130	+0	open	—	02-16 02:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 10:36:15	LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs	GAM Esports	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb744ae…
05-28 04:03:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa9a5cc…
05-28 04:02:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe2b2de…
04-05 08:41:37	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x40a269…
04-05 07:48:39	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0xf9143c…
04-05 00:59:57	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xbc938e…
04-04 23:48:47	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	Yes	BUY	99	15¢	$15	0x63bd07…
04-04 22:12:03	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x154c81…
04-04 07:07:29	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	Yes	SELL	31	23¢	$7	0x444ce9…
04-04 07:06:45	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	Yes	SELL	69	23¢	$16	0x40ce50…
04-04 06:59:55	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	SELL	25	17¢	$4	0x1dd6cd…
04-04 06:58:43	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x165389…
04-04 06:57:55	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	SELL	29	17¢	$5	0xd4ddea…
04-04 06:52:27	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	SELL	39	17¢	$7	0x44ad5f…
04-04 06:01:53	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 90 114	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x748944…
04-04 06:01:41	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 90 114	Yes	SELL	11	40¢	$5	0x3e16d8…
04-04 03:52:27	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 90 114	Yes	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x0762c7…
04-04 03:52:11	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 90 114	Yes	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0x98c910…
04-04 03:48:17	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 90 114	Yes	BUY	12	29¢	$3	0xfd66ab…
04-03 23:47:11	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x82ff2e…
04-03 17:00:41	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	Yes	BUY	71	20¢	$14	0x8760bf…
04-03 16:48:13	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	Yes	BUY	29	20¢	$6	0x311eb8…
04-03 15:30:13	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	BUY	54	17¢	$9	0xa0b24a…
04-03 15:27:23	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x9a8558…
04-03 15:25:21	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x22caad…
04-03 15:20:49	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x554b7e…
04-03 14:46:15	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	Yes	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0x37af3d…
04-03 14:45:23	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xc08048…
04-03 14:43:33	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x35a2e1…
04-03 14:43:21	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xeba5a1…
04-03 14:42:07	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	Yes	BUY	46	15¢	$7	0xb07c4e…
04-03 12:19:01	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x5dcfb4…
04-03 12:18:01	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x2a529c…
04-03 07:16:17	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 220 239	Yes	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0x0b86fe…
04-03 05:46:07	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x07cef7…
04-03 05:24:19	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	No	SELL	100	38¢	$38	0x6598c8…
04-03 05:17:23	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 220 239	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x2253ff…
04-03 05:06:27	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xaa3f5e…
04-03 03:31:23	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x05f0d3…
04-02 13:57:17	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 220 239	Yes	SELL	190	12¢	$23	0x4ccf33…
04-02 13:57:11	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	Yes	SELL	190	16¢	$31	0x06c4a9…
04-02 13:57:05	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	SELL	190	18¢	$34	0x681318…
04-01 15:49:17	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 90 114	Yes	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x0b7e68…
04-01 15:46:15	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 90 114	Yes	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xeb3fc4…
04-01 15:44:01	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	Yes	BUY	190	12¢	$23	0xcc180d…
04-01 15:37:09	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x1a356b…
04-01 15:35:15	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x51e41f…
04-01 15:34:53	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x085971…
04-01 15:34:25	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xdfe55b…
04-01 15:34:13	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xa7efed…
04-01 15:31:21	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x20f64a…
04-01 15:29:21	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xa9e0b3…
04-01 15:26:29	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x6c9e9c…
04-01 15:24:05	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xbc88ed…
04-01 15:24:05	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x9adca5…
04-01 15:22:03	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x6f11ee…
04-01 15:21:51	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x865673…
04-01 15:20:25	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x8d0ca0…
04-01 15:18:23	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	BUY	74	16¢	$12	0x7adcae…
04-01 15:12:23	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0xcca985…
04-01 15:09:47	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xa98517…
04-01 15:09:03	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x951e42…
04-01 14:51:17	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 220 239	Yes	BUY	190	11¢	$21	0x94baf8…
04-01 14:17:47	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 65 89	Yes	SELL	150	97¢	$145	0x76e15c…
04-01 14:14:43	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 65 89	Yes	BUY	150	97¢	$146	0x60d6b6…
04-01 07:07:49	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	Yes	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0x762293…
04-01 07:07:43	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	Yes	SELL	12	28¢	$3	0x03c222…
04-01 07:07:35	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	Yes	SELL	12	34¢	$4	0x3ede99…
04-01 05:51:01	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 65 89	No	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x0bb0b0…
04-01 03:55:15	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 65 89	No	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0xc44985…
03-31 23:45:11	Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x1eaa21…
03-31 13:08:37	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	Yes	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0xfe47e2…
03-31 13:07:49	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x6d62d1…
03-31 13:07:41	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xcbf160…
03-31 06:48:11	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	Yes	SELL	26	18¢	$5	0xc541f6…
03-31 06:48:03	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	Yes	SELL	26	18¢	$5	0x681446…
03-31 06:47:57	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	Yes	SELL	26	23¢	$6	0xa851a3…
03-31 06:34:15	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0xc0b55f…
03-31 04:09:37	Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x51ea35…
03-31 03:57:37	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xa3a313…
03-31 03:54:45	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0x6ab111…
03-31 03:36:13	Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x8eb42e…
03-31 01:38:41	will israel take military action in gaza on march 27 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x502a1b…
03-30 14:11:03	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	Yes	BUY	26	10¢	$3	0xc542d1…
03-30 14:10:55	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	Yes	BUY	26	13¢	$3	0x8c1e1a…
03-30 14:10:45	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	Yes	BUY	26	17¢	$4	0xe2943c…
03-30 12:05:28	will israel take military action in gaza on march 27 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe90848…
03-30 12:04:50	will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 28 2026	No	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0xa6ec66…
03-30 12:04:24	will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 26 2026	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x706000…
03-30 12:04:16	will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 25 2026	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x91ebd1…
03-30 12:04:08	will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 24 2026	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x68f239…
03-30 12:03:28	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 27 2026 182	No	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x695d67…
03-27 03:54:07	Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xaa8968…
03-27 02:10:31	Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	SELL	7	80¢	$5	0x669359…
03-26 02:29:43	Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xcc5653…
03-26 02:18:01	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	No	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x02a98c…
03-26 02:17:49	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x065844…
03-26 02:17:11	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	No	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x9845e2…
03-25 01:48:03	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x52f42a…
03-24 07:39:33	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x1b81a6…