Criminal-Object — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

20,933

lifetime

Volume

$1.27M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$61

Open exposure

$132

1 position

First seen

2026-01-26

last 06-30 00:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

65% 100% +$18

Politics

19% 100% +$0

Crypto

13% 100% +$0

Tech

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 533 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+132	$130	100¢	$132	+$2	06-30 00:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	368	$17.5K	10,472	7,303	+3,170	open	—	04-12 22:17
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	224	$17.0K	9,725	7,512	+2,213	open	—	03-28 01:41
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	184	$14.2K	8,176	6,236	+1,941	open	—	03-30 17:25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	168	$14.1K	7,812	6,529	+1,283	open	—	04-14 15:41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	198	$13.4K	7,955	5,726	+2,229	open	—	04-18 08:10
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	160	$13.1K	7,346	5,879	+1,467	open	—	03-27 15:11
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	238	$13.0K	6,969	6,184	+785	open	—	04-04 11:46
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	138	$12.2K	6,933	5,446	+1,486	open	—	03-30 12:22
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	186	$11.9K	6,616	5,500	+1,116	open	—	04-21 19:58
Netanyahu out by April 30?	214	$11.8K	7,143	4,867	+2,277	open	—	04-26 15:49
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	274	$11.7K	6,768	5,089	+1,679	open	—	02-27 13:42
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	127	$11.3K	6,796	4,736	+2,060	open	—	04-15 11:43
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	156	$10.5K	5,571	5,074	+497	open	—	03-30 10:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	121	$10.4K	5,636	4,886	+750	open	—	04-20 11:15
will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	140	$10.2K	5,916	4,457	+1,458	open	—	03-18 13:54
netanyahu out by march 31 854	136	$9.7K	5,356	4,441	+916	open	—	03-31 06:12
Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?	144	$9.7K	4,993	4,768	+225	open	—	04-12 18:46
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	95	$9.6K	4,996	4,718	+278	open	—	03-29 09:51
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	138	$9.4K	5,053	4,412	+641	open	—	04-01 21:20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	103	$9.2K	5,314	4,028	+1,287	open	—	04-14 13:09
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	238	$9.2K	4,975	4,274	+701	open	—	02-27 13:42
will gta 6 cost 100	122	$8.9K	4,902	4,005	+897	open	—	02-28 13:40
GTA VI released before June 2026?	181	$8.8K	4,473	4,447	+27	open	—	04-16 15:03
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	123	$8.7K	4,598	4,209	+389	open	—	03-31 06:45
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	110	$8.7K	4,556	4,250	+305	open	—	03-30 04:22
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	165	$8.5K	5,141	3,482	+1,659	open	—	03-31 16:46
will jordan spieth win the 2026 masters tournament	131	$8.5K	4,424	4,240	+184	open	—	03-19 12:32
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 0 39	100	$8.4K	4,574	3,932	+642	open	—	03-25 05:12
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	94	$8.2K	4,722	3,594	+1,127	open	—	04-01 01:26
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	117	$8.2K	4,378	3,935	+443	open	—	04-02 16:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 00:20:07	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xd4533a…
06-30 00:18:47	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x6021bd…
06-29 21:02:32	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x2f6bca…
06-29 17:26:17	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x489591…
06-29 17:20:38	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xa1a107…
06-29 17:04:32	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xcfc4af…
06-29 16:59:41	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0xbde9e8…
06-29 16:26:44	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfef264…
06-29 16:26:44	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x0db4f2…
06-29 16:26:44	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0ac862…
06-29 15:58:34	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x78e618…
06-29 15:32:04	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xff4a5b…
06-29 15:29:26	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xb739b4…
06-29 15:28:38	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xe5a214…
06-29 11:13:13	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x1ce52b…
06-29 07:56:19	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0xd01ef1…
06-29 07:47:22	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x25cab3…
06-29 07:32:55	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0xc3bcbe…
06-29 04:01:58	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x8b3b00…
06-29 04:01:56	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xc5f622…
06-29 03:28:59	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x027be4…
06-29 01:17:52	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xe59cf5…
06-28 18:19:59	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0xf92e72…
06-28 18:08:50	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0x46296f…
06-28 15:40:10	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0xa278c5…
06-28 15:28:38	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0x31bc4a…
06-28 15:27:28	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0xc9ffed…
06-28 14:58:11	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0x40cf3f…
06-28 14:52:38	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0xb56f12…
06-28 14:51:46	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0xf3f3b4…
06-28 14:47:26	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0xd9dbf2…
06-28 12:22:02	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0x7aa7c4…
06-28 12:16:46	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0xe469da…
06-28 12:13:49	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0xc3ef87…
06-28 11:25:17	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0x6b6002…
06-28 08:40:43	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0x2dd8cb…
06-28 08:33:29	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0x945529…
06-28 08:15:32	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0x23b3f1…
06-26 20:06:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x9267cb…
06-25 12:12:53	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x932a76…
06-23 21:20:23	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x3c4407…
06-22 23:37:01	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa32778…
06-22 14:31:14	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x2a9d5d…
06-22 08:34:47	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	99¢	$101	0x4abb89…
06-22 08:32:35	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1d081d…
06-22 08:32:34	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x9d44c1…
06-22 08:32:07	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x238d59…
06-22 08:31:37	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x1fc390…
06-22 08:31:01	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0xc9b525…
06-22 08:28:59	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0xb7c98f…
06-22 08:26:49	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0xeb39c5…
06-22 08:25:29	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x99ee5e…
06-22 08:25:10	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0x939929…
06-22 08:23:13	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0xf1b59a…
06-22 08:20:43	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xeff31e…
06-22 08:20:32	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x59c59b…
06-22 08:20:10	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x6aeae7…
06-22 08:18:10	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb91156…
06-22 08:15:50	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x7d85fd…
06-22 08:15:38	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x401016…
06-22 02:02:46	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x6ee88d…
06-22 01:55:58	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa4d15a…
06-22 01:47:35	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x430577…
06-22 01:42:22	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x369ec3…
06-22 01:38:41	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf3a0b2…
06-22 01:11:55	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x8cbcae…
06-22 01:11:55	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x4356d2…
06-21 23:35:38	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x9218ee…
06-21 23:33:56	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x84532e…
06-21 23:05:37	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x1f6a0f…
06-21 14:05:44	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xf5ca3e…
06-20 23:17:10	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x39326b…
06-20 23:06:19	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xd73df0…
06-20 22:50:53	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xe9b88a…
06-20 22:39:37	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xcb6d32…
06-20 03:37:08	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x7df010…
06-18 17:39:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x4f59ec…
06-18 13:12:41	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	79	99¢	$78	0xb557dc…
06-18 06:31:26	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xe9dd02…
06-18 03:37:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x114020…
06-18 03:28:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4d2b8f…
06-18 02:04:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x040cdd…
06-18 01:23:59	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x6c83e4…
06-18 01:07:11	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x5e706b…
06-18 00:20:04	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x79719a…
06-17 23:59:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xc6dae3…
06-17 23:55:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xdad4cc…
06-17 23:32:32	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xf603ed…
06-17 22:21:50	Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xbaab14…
06-17 19:35:26	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0xdf73d0…
06-17 19:35:26	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x3ddc34…
06-17 18:51:38	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x5b6d90…
06-17 18:19:01	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x436e2c…
06-17 17:11:17	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xe184e9…
06-17 17:11:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc7c827…
06-17 17:07:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x46b746…
06-17 17:04:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xfe9b00…
06-17 17:02:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$100	0x1790ae…
06-17 15:26:31	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xddc52b…
06-17 14:55:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	79	99¢	$78	0x0b5f5a…