Criminal-Object — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.11K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

95.7%

Resolved

1,030

Trades

22,813

lifetime

Volume

$1.31M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 10-10 17:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 126 days

Categories

Other

65% 94% +$49

Politics

19% 94% -$1,482

Crypto

12% 92% +$235

Tech

3% 93% +$80

Sports

0% 82% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No		+5	$4	100¢	$5	+$0	07-30 01:09
Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?	No		+0	$0	100¢	$0	+$0	07-04 19:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	368	$17.5K	10,472	7,303	+3,170	Yes	+$68	04-12 22:17
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	224	$17.0K	9,725	7,512	+2,213	No	+$45	03-28 01:41
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	184	$14.2K	8,176	6,236	+1,941	No	+$30	03-30 17:25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	168	$14.1K	7,812	6,529	+1,283	No	+$21	04-14 15:41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	198	$13.4K	7,955	5,726	+2,229	Yes	+$48	04-18 08:10
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	160	$13.1K	7,346	5,879	+1,467	No	+$22	03-27 15:11
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	238	$13.0K	6,969	6,184	+785	No	+$17	04-04 11:46
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	138	$12.2K	6,933	5,446	+1,486	No	+$24	03-30 12:22
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	186	$11.9K	6,616	5,500	+1,116	No	+$22	04-21 19:58
Netanyahu out by April 30?	214	$11.8K	7,143	4,867	+2,277	No	+$43	04-26 15:49
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	274	$11.7K	6,768	5,089	+1,679	Yes	+$34	02-27 13:42
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	127	$11.3K	6,796	4,736	+2,060	No	+$40	04-15 11:43
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	156	$10.5K	5,571	5,074	+497	No	+$15	03-30 10:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	121	$10.4K	5,636	4,886	+750	No	+$13	04-20 11:15
will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	140	$10.2K	5,916	4,457	+1,458	No	+$27	03-18 13:54
netanyahu out by march 31 854	136	$9.7K	5,356	4,441	+916	No	+$12	03-31 06:12
Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?	144	$9.7K	4,993	4,768	+225	No	+$12	04-12 18:46
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	95	$9.6K	4,996	4,718	+278	No	+$5	03-29 09:51
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	138	$9.4K	5,053	4,412	+641	No	+$8	04-01 21:20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	103	$9.2K	5,314	4,028	+1,287	No	+$19	04-14 13:09
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	238	$9.2K	4,975	4,274	+701	No	+$12	02-27 13:42
will gta 6 cost 100	122	$8.9K	4,902	4,005	+897	No	+$7	02-28 13:40
GTA VI released before June 2026?	181	$8.8K	4,473	4,447	+27	No	+$3	04-16 15:03
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	123	$8.7K	4,598	4,209	+389	Yes	+$7	03-31 06:45
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	110	$8.7K	4,556	4,250	+305	No	+$7	03-30 04:22
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	165	$8.5K	5,141	3,482	+1,659	No	+$19	03-31 16:46
will jordan spieth win the 2026 masters tournament	131	$8.5K	4,424	4,240	+184	No	+$8	03-19 12:32
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 0 39	100	$8.4K	4,574	3,932	+642	No	+$19	03-25 05:12
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	94	$8.2K	4,722	3,594	+1,127	No	+$12	04-01 01:26
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	117	$8.2K	4,378	3,935	+443	No	+$2	04-02 16:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 17:09:55	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xa1c743…
10-10 17:09:51	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x357d04…
10-10 17:09:46	Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	No	SELL	52	84¢	$44	0xf9ef10…
10-06 15:46:44	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xb0d71b…
09-28 06:16:24	Will Corey Seager win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xf7c7ce…
09-07 00:28:19	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x7ee314…
09-05 21:59:28	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x15832d…
09-04 10:12:09	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x4c890d…
08-28 14:17:24	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x0e6597…
08-26 18:25:22	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc08960…
08-26 13:30:09	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x21eff5…
08-24 14:38:06	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x70f23d…
08-22 06:19:12	Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x7ed3af…
08-20 21:47:04	Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6f6a5c…
08-18 12:09:21	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x76b6ca…
08-17 23:16:12	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xb67a44…
08-17 16:26:06	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	SELL	79	99¢	$78	0xda29bd…
08-17 15:53:49	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xf462d3…
08-17 15:53:06	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7b730a…
08-17 15:53:06	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x79a502…
08-17 15:52:55	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x0ba4df…
08-17 09:47:51	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x062eeb…
08-17 07:34:42	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$12	0x0ceba3…
08-17 07:34:30	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x44c60c…
08-17 07:34:21	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdf6b72…
08-17 06:53:19	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x2c4392…
08-17 06:53:04	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x09e004…
08-17 06:13:13	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xfbdd72…
08-17 06:07:04	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xcc09f4…
08-17 01:03:49	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x569ee2…
08-14 19:56:57	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x79686a…
08-14 17:15:36	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0x84b407…
08-14 16:10:46	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0xa8f75d…
08-14 16:09:25	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0xd389ab…
08-14 14:14:18	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0x002638…
08-14 06:51:31	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0x407bf0…
08-14 02:33:43	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0x19ad05…
08-13 01:26:31	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xb18aaa…
08-13 01:26:28	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x7db2be…
08-13 01:24:46	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0xce1a36…
08-13 00:20:16	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0x1e8172…
08-13 00:12:07	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0x16c104…
08-12 13:53:28	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2099e…
08-12 13:14:21	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x287e08…
08-12 12:58:37	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xc951c5…
08-12 12:18:12	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe33268…
08-12 11:18:22	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x773910…
08-11 09:37:48	Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6017a8…
08-11 09:37:45	Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x80aca9…
08-11 09:37:40	Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5370fe…
08-10 21:48:15	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xc48bb9…
08-10 14:32:34	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xb662ef…
08-10 13:00:58	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x2034ad…
08-10 13:00:16	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x763389…
08-10 08:42:01	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xcff52e…
08-10 07:58:13	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xc4be89…
08-10 07:03:30	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xb2fe24…
08-10 07:02:57	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xdbe364…
08-10 07:02:40	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf78cbb…
08-10 06:36:16	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x449871…
08-10 06:35:57	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x7be0c6…
08-10 06:01:57	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x72df18…
08-09 20:24:52	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xcf67f9…
08-09 19:09:24	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x086414…
08-08 20:48:18	Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x935bd5…
08-08 20:45:06	Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xc5e59a…
08-07 01:44:58	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x38a987…
08-07 00:31:57	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x63338e…
08-07 00:31:18	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x4bdc2b…
08-07 00:31:18	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x073d52…
08-07 00:30:38	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xce46af…
08-07 00:29:57	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0xe7eb9b…
08-04 01:07:45	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xd05d74…
08-02 05:25:47	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xb654e9…
08-02 04:23:17	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xcfa62a…
08-02 03:58:32	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xbe2f0c…
08-02 02:11:56	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0xd51120…
07-30 19:24:03	Will Nicolai Højgaard win the 2026 TOUR Championship?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xf1fbe9…
07-30 01:09:05	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x6335cd…
07-29 23:41:59	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x450dc4…
07-29 15:18:20	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xab68cf…
07-27 14:42:36	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x0fa6e5…
07-27 09:29:24	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x1221f8…
07-27 09:27:33	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x3d3378…
07-27 08:11:19	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb944ae…
07-27 08:09:06	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x073bfd…
07-27 08:07:13	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x9ec644…
07-27 00:08:52	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x4e30e4…
07-26 23:08:33	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xec0836…
07-26 21:18:24	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x04b9bc…
07-26 21:16:16	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x3663aa…
07-26 21:14:10	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x2d8701…
07-26 21:12:04	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x066587…
07-24 18:22:07	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x836944…
07-24 18:21:27	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x91c412…
07-24 16:53:21	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x62cced…
07-24 13:29:07	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x23c920…
07-23 00:40:42	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0dee10…
07-23 00:25:30	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfa1623…
07-22 23:28:18	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x51aafb…