Watchful-Dock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.2%

Resolved

Trades

170

lifetime

Volume

$611

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 05-11 07:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 65% +$3

Other

46% 50% $-2

Politics

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	7	$41	27	27	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 05:43
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 5, 2026?	7	$33	43	43	+0	open	—	04-05 12:51
epl bur mac 2026 04 22 mac	2	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	04-22 21:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	7	$27	19	18	+1	Down	+$2	05-10 08:54
sea udi com 2026 04 06 draw	2	$25	14	14	+0	open	—	04-06 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	5	$24	17	17	+0	Down	+$6	05-10 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	6	$19	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	6	$18	45	13	+32	Down	$-8	05-10 09:14
lal get bil 2026 04 05 get	2	$18	11	11	+0	open	—	04-05 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	4	$17	19	10	+9	Up	$-1	05-10 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	3	$15	15	7	+8	open	—	05-04 06:00
epl che mac 2026 04 12 mac	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-12 17:51
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 btts	2	$14	10	9	+0	open	—	04-19 15:52
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	04-08 21:03
ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 ars	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	04-07 21:53
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 spread home 1pt5	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	04-08 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	4	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 08:43
aus per mac 2026 04 12 spread away 1pt5	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	04-12 11:07
atp machac baez 2026 04 13	3	$11	12	3	+8	open	—	04-14 15:15
atp machac sinner 2026 04 09	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	04-09 13:11
atp bergs zverev 2026 04 09	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-09 11:30
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-12 17:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 29?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	04-29 13:56
bitcoin above 72k on april 9	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	04-09 13:07
sea cre tor 2026 04 19 draw	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-19 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 07:09
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	04-26 18:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$9	0	9	-9	open	—	05-04 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	8	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	05-03 09:20
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	04-16 12:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 07:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc19302…
05-11 07:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x8b2b0b…
05-11 07:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x34f11d…
05-11 06:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x51f1c2…
05-10 09:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x4a1f1c…
05-10 09:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x5298e6…
05-10 09:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x030df5…
05-10 09:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x050cec…
05-10 09:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x45fa40…
05-10 09:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xbf9eca…
05-10 09:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb32f47…
05-10 09:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x0f6d58…
05-10 09:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x581993…
05-10 09:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x7c2e7b…
05-10 09:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x828357…
05-10 09:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0x7c2342…
05-10 09:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0708ad…
05-10 09:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x95b53a…
05-10 08:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x7799b0…
05-10 08:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x099aec…
05-10 08:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaec772…
05-10 08:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0xc22e9e…
05-10 08:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x19837e…
05-10 08:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x68616d…
05-10 08:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xac0d74…
05-10 08:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x27a6d5…
05-10 08:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x40ed87…
05-10 08:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9ec371…
05-10 08:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xb4ad69…
05-10 08:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x755727…
05-10 08:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1e22be…
05-10 08:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x94f38e…
05-10 08:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xac8efe…
05-10 08:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xfd829c…
05-10 08:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x083c7c…
05-10 08:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0xfe2e2f…
05-10 08:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xf34dec…
05-10 08:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x74c4e5…
05-10 08:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x4ff44a…
05-10 08:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xd247af…
05-10 08:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xbee5cf…
05-10 07:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x9332ce…
05-10 07:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x21dc20…
05-10 07:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xe1135a…
05-10 07:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x02e761…
05-10 07:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbfbab7…
05-10 06:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x6d5cb8…
05-10 06:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfe6501…
05-10 06:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x50d194…
05-10 06:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xdea8e7…
05-10 06:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x930cbd…
05-10 06:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x705f21…
05-10 06:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0xfedad7…
05-10 06:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x06b334…
05-06 05:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0xe74942…
05-06 05:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xb5d945…
05-06 05:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xa7c232…
05-06 05:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x439e7b…
05-06 05:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb7970b…
05-06 05:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0x491664…
05-06 05:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x010964…
05-05 13:15:58	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc68274…
05-04 12:41:12	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x5d0c2a…
05-04 06:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0xe36ce6…
05-04 06:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x62a514…
05-04 06:15:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x514f0e…
05-04 06:14:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0xe474b0…
05-04 06:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x3d966a…
05-04 06:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x56d170…
05-04 06:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc38f61…
05-04 06:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x7ba407…
05-04 06:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x8f5f17…
05-04 05:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x2b4d0f…
05-04 05:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x232749…
05-03 14:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x08a33a…
05-03 14:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xa2e48a…
05-03 09:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xca1227…
05-03 09:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0c91ba…
05-03 09:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x50f1f0…
05-03 09:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xb555f3…
05-03 09:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2492d7…
05-03 09:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xaed859…
05-03 09:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5b5c61…
05-03 09:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x797652…
05-03 09:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x140a5b…
05-03 09:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xbf8a27…
05-03 09:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x3f1f10…
05-03 09:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9dd2e8…
05-03 09:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x863ff8…
05-03 09:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x7b210d…
05-03 09:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4fbd8a…
05-03 09:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf648c6…
04-30 10:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xb83039…
04-30 10:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xad6f92…
04-29 13:56:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 29?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0x9f22b1…
04-29 09:20:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x6ccfe1…
04-29 06:01:20	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xb1c369…
04-27 09:36:18	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xd706e0…
04-26 18:13:16	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x64ab0e…
04-26 10:37:10	Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	Aurora	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb0a7b1…