Definite-Diplomacy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

17.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$27.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$427

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 05-22 09:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 42% -$21

Other

22% 25% -$2

Politics

19% 0% -$1

Sports

0% 0% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-22).

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	10	$4.3K	2,133	2,133	+0	No	-$2	04-23 11:58
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$3.1K	1,531	1,531	+0	No	-$1	04-26 09:07
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	4	$2.0K	1,012	1,012	+0	No	-$1	04-23 15:44
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	4	$2.0K	997	997	+0	No	-$1	05-13 15:24
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	2	$1.0K	511	511	+0	No	+$0	04-17 12:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	2	$1.0K	507	507	+0	No	-$1	04-21 03:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	2	$1.0K	504	504	+0	No	+$0	04-26 06:37
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$1.0K	504	504	+0	Yes	-$1	04-26 12:46
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$1.0K	503	503	+0	No	-$1	04-26 16:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	2	$1.0K	502	502	+0	No	-$1	04-27 11:43
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	2	$1.0K	502	502	+0	No	-$1	04-27 15:03
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$999	504	504	+0	open	—	04-30 15:28
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$998	507	507	+0	open	—	05-02 16:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	2	$988	494	494	+0	No	$0	05-14 11:07
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$987	495	495	+0	No	$0	05-16 14:50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$980	493	493	+0	No	+$0	05-22 09:39
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$980	493	493	+0	open	—	05-11 13:37
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	2	$979	491	491	+0	No	-$1	05-09 15:59
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$900	455	455	+0	open	—	05-10 04:01
bitcoin above 70k on april 14	1	$513	513	0	+513	Yes	+$1	04-14 12:08
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$500	0	504	-504	open	—	04-29 14:03
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	1	$499	499	0	+499	No	+$0	04-30 15:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 14:35 UTC	1	$20	21	0	+21	Up	+$1	02-14 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 14:00 UTC	1	$10	15	0	+15	Up	-$10	02-14 14:04
nba tor cle 2026 04 18 total 219pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	Over	-$5	04-14 05:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 12:50 UTC	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	-$5	04-17 12:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 02:35 UTC	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	04-17 02:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 04:00 UTC	1	$3	3	0	+3	Up	+$0	04-15 04:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 12:05 UTC	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	+$1	04-14 12:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 05:20 UTC	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	-$2	04-14 05:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 09:39:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	493	100¢	$490	0xce0c2b…
05-16 14:51:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	493	99¢	$490	0x105770…
05-16 14:50:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	495	100¢	$493	0xdf12f6…
05-14 11:08:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	495	100¢	$494	0xeeff71…
05-14 11:07:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	No	SELL	494	100¢	$494	0x6f81ea…
05-13 15:25:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	No	BUY	494	100¢	$494	0x51038d…
05-13 15:24:53	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	496	100¢	$495	0xbdec40…
05-11 13:38:30	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	496	100¢	$495	0x5f5702…
05-11 13:37:59	Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	493	99¢	$490	0x6159ca…
05-10 04:01:25	Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	493	99¢	$490	0x12f1e5…
05-10 04:01:04	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	455	99¢	$450	0xf54794…
05-09 16:04:53	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	455	99¢	$450	0x20e0c7…
05-09 15:59:52	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	SELL	491	100¢	$489	0x73c539…
05-03 11:34:22	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	BUY	491	100¢	$490	0xb39bd9…
05-03 11:31:40	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	501	100¢	$498	0xb2788a…
05-02 16:03:14	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	501	100¢	$499	0x76b06a…
05-02 16:00:48	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	507	98¢	$499	0xf65b75…
05-01 16:06:58	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	507	98¢	$499	0x0d5625…
04-30 15:32:54	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	499	100¢	$499	0x1f732f…
04-30 15:28:18	Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	504	99¢	$499	0x384636…
04-29 14:06:48	Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	504	99¢	$500	0xc63acc…
04-29 14:03:20	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	504	99¢	$500	0x12a276…
04-27 15:03:14	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	No	SELL	502	100¢	$501	0x81cdf0…
04-27 11:44:02	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	No	BUY	502	100¢	$501	0x5bad9d…
04-27 11:43:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	SELL	502	100¢	$501	0x269e23…
04-26 16:03:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	BUY	502	100¢	$502	0x5e1009…
04-26 16:01:56	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	503	100¢	$502	0x9a6048…
04-26 12:47:00	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	503	100¢	$502	0x1baa69…
04-26 12:46:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	504	100¢	$502	0x2c87ae…
04-26 09:07:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	504	100¢	$503	0xe92f33…
04-26 09:07:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	504	100¢	$503	0x5fab20…
04-26 06:38:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	504	100¢	$504	0x94dc40…
04-26 06:37:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	No	SELL	504	100¢	$504	0x46c1c2…
04-23 16:01:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	No	BUY	504	100¢	$504	0x634176…
04-23 15:44:22	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	SELL	505	100¢	$504	0x3dc35e…
04-23 11:58:40	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	BUY	505	100¢	$504	0x8d1fb9…
04-23 11:58:20	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	505	100¢	$504	0x126eb5…
04-23 06:14:14	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	505	100¢	$505	0x64bfb2…
04-22 04:57:08	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	SELL	507	100¢	$505	0x460b07…
04-21 03:14:10	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	BUY	507	100¢	$506	0xd4b674…
04-21 03:13:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	SELL	507	100¢	$506	0xecf766…
04-19 15:46:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	507	100¢	$507	0x85996d…
04-19 15:46:06	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	508	100¢	$507	0x53dc71…
04-19 07:12:50	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	508	100¢	$507	0x2b993c…
04-18 09:23:14	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	509	100¢	$508	0x81b189…
04-17 16:58:48	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	509	100¢	$509	0x279247…
04-17 16:00:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	511	100¢	$509	0xf5c6cb…
04-17 12:52:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	511	100¢	$509	0xa6deeb…
04-17 12:52:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xb8e647…
04-17 12:51:06	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	511	100¢	$509	0x2081f2…
04-17 02:38:40	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	511	100¢	$509	0x6b2463…
04-17 02:38:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc5f891…
04-17 02:37:42	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	516	100¢	$514	0xe387b9…
04-16 16:15:32	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	516	100¢	$515	0x6745b7…
04-15 04:01:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x245177…
04-15 03:59:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	516	100¢	$513	0xd29ee1…
04-15 01:18:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	516	99¢	$513	0xf9e8b1…
04-14 12:08:55	bitcoin above 70k on april 14	Yes	BUY	513	100¢	$513	0x52a821…
04-14 12:08:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xabdc30…
04-14 05:22:05	nba tor cle 2026 04 18 total 219pt5	Under	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3dfece…
04-14 05:21:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xfe5bab…
04-14 05:20:05	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$94	0xd3ac50…
04-13 15:37:25	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$94	0xdd4aab…
02-14 14:39:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xfcc639…
02-14 14:04:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x69acc0…