Adorable-Lighting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$52

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.9%

Resolved

268

Trades

387

lifetime

Volume

$3.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 10-28 06:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 96% $0

Sports

14% 37% -$34

Other

14% 54% -$13

Politics

10% 69% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	18	$118	72	82	-10	Yes	-$4	03-19 20:11
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	16	$110	67	67	+0	No	$0	03-20 03:13
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	6	$58	32	32	+0	Yes	+$0	02-04 15:33
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	7	$53	54	42	+12	Yes	-$7	02-09 19:44
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	6	$52	27	27	+0	No	$0	03-03 08:56
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	6	$48	26	26	+0	No	$0	03-09 15:24
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	7	$42	27	27	+0	No	$0	03-07 02:45
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	6	$40	24	24	+0	Yes	+$0	02-04 05:22
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$38	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-16 09:28
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$28	16	16	+0	No	$0	02-10 03:55
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 2pm et	2	$26	16	16	+0	Up	-$5	03-25 18:56
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	5	$26	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	02-22 12:48
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$22	13	13	+0	No	$0	03-19 15:36
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$20	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	02-23 11:26
bitcoin up or down march 6 4pm et	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	$0	03-06 21:58
iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-05 01:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1AM ET	1	$19	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	05-26 05:51
bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 9am et	1	$19	19	0	+19	Down	+$0	04-12 13:56
por ben alv 2026 02 08 alv	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	$0	02-08 22:01
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 10am et	1	$19	19	0	+19	Down	+$0	03-25 14:55
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 3pm et	1	$18	18	0	+18	Down	+$0	03-24 19:58
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 10pm et	1	$18	18	0	+18	Down	+$0	03-28 02:50
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$18	9	9	+0	No	+$0	03-01 14:23
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$18	11	11	-0	open	—	04-29 12:53
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	2	$18	9	9	+0	No	+$0	02-01 00:19
cbb pur mary 2026 02 01	3	$18	13	6	+7	Purdue Boilermakers	+$1	02-01 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3AM ET	1	$17	17	0	+17	Down	+$0	05-31 07:50
bitcoin up or down april 11 2026 10pm et	1	$17	17	0	+17	Up	+$0	04-12 02:50
mwoh swe ita 2026 02 11	2	$17	9	9	+0	Sweden	-$1	02-11 20:12
bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 1am et	1	$17	17	0	+17	Up	+$0	04-12 05:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 06:12:14	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	2¢	$1	0x8cc096…
10-28 06:09:23	Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?	No	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x10b9e3…
08-05 03:06:42	Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$6	0xd7366e…
08-05 01:02:21	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x303329…
07-12 08:05:43	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	No	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x5646e7…
07-08 19:07:31	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0xc102c8…
07-06 02:38:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x6956df…
07-05 21:57:31	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	No	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x4bb2e9…
07-05 01:30:40	Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$3	0xaf4be2…
07-05 01:22:52	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x9abd5c…
07-03 05:10:28	Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$3	0x2f739d…
07-03 04:21:53	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5b0981…
06-08 03:18:16	mlb sf chc 2026 06 07	Chicago Cubs	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x1d249d…
06-07 20:45:33	mlb nym sd 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	San Diego Padres	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xe24428…
06-07 20:02:13	mlb sea det 2026 06 07	Seattle Mariners	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x2acfc7…
06-07 18:56:46	mlb bal tor 2026 06 07 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x3681d9…
06-06 17:19:09	wnba sea min 2026 06 06 total 159pt5	Over	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0x753d21…
06-05 02:33:40	mlb lad ari 2026 06 04	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x072222…
06-05 01:32:34	wnba gsv min 2026 06 04 total 165pt5	Over	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x689314…
06-05 01:32:33	wnba gsv min 2026 06 04 total 165pt5	Over	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xd04a4b…
06-05 01:32:33	wnba gsv min 2026 06 04 total 165pt5	Over	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x2e557f…
06-04 02:32:19	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 total 203pt5	Over	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xa76c94…
06-02 20:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4a0ce1…
06-01 07:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x73accb…
05-31 23:36:25	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xeb9aab…
05-31 21:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9b5142…
05-31 19:08:40	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc6d8ff…
05-31 19:08:40	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x9c38ba…
05-31 19:06:15	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x94c94f…
05-31 07:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x44c122…
05-30 16:07:44	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 3 Arsenal FC?	No	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x64b803…
05-30 11:02:00	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 3 Arsenal FC?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x94aaad…
05-30 03:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x815acc…
05-30 01:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbfe31e…
05-29 03:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa5ae05…
05-29 01:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xfb0c53…
05-28 19:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xa88b60…
05-26 05:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0xbbdb7a…
05-23 22:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x22b596…
05-22 22:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf64949…
05-22 11:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbfed1f…
05-22 10:40:44	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb7f680…
05-20 11:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9cb8c2…
05-19 20:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x32e0bd…
05-19 15:14:53	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xfab3c5…
05-19 11:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x88e46a…
05-19 03:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5ce070…
05-18 21:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1bb76d…
05-18 19:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc34e7e…
05-18 10:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f32b9…
05-18 03:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	13	97¢	$12	0xf79002…
05-17 22:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x73a451…
05-17 10:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x5828dc…
05-15 17:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x570a31…
05-15 12:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x62cc4a…
05-15 10:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x78253c…
05-15 08:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b7105…
05-15 05:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd61ea6…
05-15 04:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6ba39b…
05-15 01:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$13	0x31eed9…
05-15 00:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfa093d…
05-14 18:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xf0ee2c…
05-14 05:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xcb5f9f…
05-13 21:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfda147…
04-29 12:53:56	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	11	78¢	$9	0xfda50b…
04-29 11:42:58	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	11	78¢	$9	0x2027c9…
04-26 13:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0xcee0af…
04-26 04:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x67e5e3…
04-26 03:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x7f1f1d…
04-25 20:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xcf866c…
04-25 13:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x490fa8…
04-25 13:12:58	Will Angers SCO win on 2026-04-25?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xcc2605…
04-25 11:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6798d3…
04-25 05:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x915475…
04-24 23:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$12	0x953c12…
04-24 16:50:34	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x426194…
04-24 11:50:34	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x5bc83f…
04-24 09:51:12	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x42329c…
04-23 10:50:40	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5d3593…
04-23 05:56:58	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x48d46e…
04-23 03:50:36	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4499a9…
04-23 00:56:24	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xb3715c…
04-22 23:50:42	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xceb03d…
04-22 21:51:24	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xe0c760…
04-22 19:55:54	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$9	0x330e99…
04-21 21:50:48	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xdd6183…
04-21 17:55:20	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xc681b1…
04-21 13:55:24	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x9bfd21…
04-21 10:50:46	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6dcf95…
04-21 09:50:18	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8e7427…
04-21 07:50:44	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x88e469…
04-21 03:57:28	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x78dbdd…
04-21 00:51:34	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	12	94¢	$12	0xeaf286…
04-20 23:50:24	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	13	97¢	$12	0xae7d0b…
04-20 18:56:00	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc3980f…
04-20 14:55:18	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x2b2731…
04-20 11:54:44	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x345217…
04-20 08:54:24	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x6bab8d…
04-15 08:50:14	bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x76616e…
04-15 05:50:34	bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xed3b33…