Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11.8K

Unrealized P&L

-$3.38K

Hit rate

35.0%

Resolved

Trades

212

lifetime

Volume

$108.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$512

Open exposure

$33.9K

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-12

last 10-24 02:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

42% 0% -$525

Other

38% 0% -$13,910

Crypto

21% 48% +$2,681

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 149 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+97,215	$35,869	34¢	$33.5K	-$2,330	10-23 22:47
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes		+9,196	$1,464	4¢	$409	-$1,055	10-24 02:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	25	$43.6K	107,999	10,784	+97,215	open	—	10-23 22:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	5	$16.3K	15,502	15,502	+0	open	—	10-01 16:06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	15	$16.0K	85,428	5,259	+80,169	No	-$13,882	09-15 21:58
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$9.1K	15,165	15,165	+0	open	—	10-09 00:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$6.9K	10,503	10,503	+0	open	—	10-14 12:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 16:55 UTC	12	$2.3K	1,768	1,768	+0	Up	+$1,161	10-17 16:59
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	8	$1.6K	25,804	25,804	+0	Yes	-$525	09-13 00:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:45 UTC	8	$1.5K	1,140	1,140	+0	Up	+$333	10-17 17:45
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	6	$1.5K	9,196	0	+9,196	open	—	10-24 02:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:25 UTC	8	$1.4K	1,486	1,486	+0	Down	+$370	10-17 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	7	$1.4K	937	937	+0	Up	+$355	10-17 17:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:55 UTC	18	$1.2K	2,163	0	+2,163	Down	+$968	10-17 19:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:40 UTC	5	$1.1K	700	700	+0	Down	+$293	10-17 17:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:55 UTC	7	$700	1,266	0	+1,266	Up	+$566	10-17 17:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:55 UTC	6	$600	1,149	0	+1,149	Down	+$549	10-17 20:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 16:45 UTC	9	$442	1,534	0	+1,534	Up	-$442	10-17 16:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:20 UTC	8	$415	1,704	0	+1,704	Up	-$415	10-17 17:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:10 UTC	7	$399	2,188	236	+1,953	Up	-$116	10-17 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	4	$325	689	0	+689	Up	-$325	10-18 18:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 16:30 UTC	5	$290	1,025	115	+910	Down	-$60	10-17 16:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:00 UTC	2	$264	227	227	+0	Down	+$64	10-17 19:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:05 UTC	2	$252	175	175	+0	Up	+$53	10-17 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	8	$175	655	0	+655	Up	-$175	10-18 02:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:15 UTC	5	$160	2,817	0	+2,817	Down	-$160	10-17 17:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 16:35 UTC	3	$130	1,744	0	+1,744	Down	-$130	10-17 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	3	$130	224	0	+224	Up	+$94	10-17 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	4	$115	688	0	+688	Up	-$115	10-17 18:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:30 UTC	6	$90	324	0	+324	Up	-$90	10-17 17:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 16:50 UTC	5	$61	1,977	0	+1,977	Down	-$61	10-17 16:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 16:40 UTC	3	$35	211	0	+211	Up	-$35	10-17 16:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 02:56:32	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	63	6¢	$4	0xd19ab0…
10-23 22:48:06	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	1,895	17¢	$320	0xe2b254…
10-23 22:47:38	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	982	32¢	$314	0xe67799…
10-23 17:57:35	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2,999	33¢	$1,000	0x3f74fd…
10-23 17:57:12	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	4,033	20¢	$800	0xd8304e…
10-23 17:54:45	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	1,677	12¢	$200	0x7914a7…
10-23 17:54:03	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	1,342	10¢	$130	0x715bd4…
10-22 20:20:39	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	184	5¢	$10	0x602395…
10-22 02:50:15	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10,941	34¢	$3,720	0xa08aed…
10-20 12:36:48	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	12,107	37¢	$4,480	0x48b000…
10-18 18:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x8a6e03…
10-18 18:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	171	59¢	$100	0x446900…
10-18 18:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x65050b…
10-18 18:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	226	44¢	$100	0xb245b8…
10-18 02:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x8c346c…
10-18 02:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xeac856…
10-18 02:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xcc3b9d…
10-18 02:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x59ac0e…
10-18 02:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xaf398e…
10-18 02:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x98cb2c…
10-18 02:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x4515c5…
10-18 02:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	302	33¢	$100	0xe8efc3…
10-18 02:26:57	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2,632	38¢	$1,000	0xbf879c…
10-17 20:05:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x7dcced…
10-17 20:05:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0x3d77af…
10-17 20:05:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	190	53¢	$100	0x968bcb…
10-17 20:04:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0xfa4db2…
10-17 20:04:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x333f80…
10-17 20:04:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	197	51¢	$100	0x4638a7…
10-17 20:03:05	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	4,054	37¢	$1,500	0xe402e1…
10-17 19:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	41	60¢	$25	0x869795…
10-17 19:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	41	60¢	$25	0x0649db…
10-17 19:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	166	60¢	$100	0xbbb870…
10-17 19:01:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:00 UTC	Up	SELL	227	72¢	$164	0x8327a0…
10-17 19:00:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x1d972a…
10-17 18:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x69d147…
10-17 18:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x8fe63b…
10-17 18:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x12a5d2…
10-17 18:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	583	17¢	$100	0xc1b6c7…
10-17 18:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xdff8b5…
10-17 18:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x3feace…
10-17 18:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xdd12eb…
10-17 18:06:21	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	811	37¢	$300	0x3e6b0b…
10-17 18:05:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	168	59¢	$100	0xdac45b…
10-17 18:05:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	171	58¢	$100	0x644660…
10-17 18:05:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	174	57¢	$100	0xd0ff26…
10-17 18:05:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	177	56¢	$100	0xc2c63c…
10-17 18:05:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	181	55¢	$100	0xa90bd5…
10-17 18:05:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	184	54¢	$100	0x27a1e8…
10-17 18:05:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	191	52¢	$100	0xafa943…
10-17 18:05:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	187	53¢	$100	0xa51469…
10-17 17:53:30	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2,237	37¢	$828	0x0dca4b…
10-17 17:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	686	92¢	$629	0xe53543…
10-17 17:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	251	90¢	$226	0x5034ee…
10-17 17:52:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb7ab0c…
10-17 17:52:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7cec8f…
10-17 17:52:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2ef4f9…
10-17 17:52:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xee2344…
10-17 17:52:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x0b02cd…
10-17 17:52:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	197	51¢	$100	0x74c38b…
10-17 17:52:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x6b66a9…
10-17 17:50:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xc9e4b9…
10-17 17:50:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	170	59¢	$100	0xabcad4…
10-17 17:50:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	174	58¢	$100	0xd136f2…
10-17 17:50:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	184	54¢	$100	0xc9b14b…
10-17 17:50:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x7cfe5b…
10-17 17:50:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x53f438…
10-17 17:50:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	195	51¢	$100	0x382a82…
10-17 17:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0xfbe74e…
10-17 17:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	183	55¢	$100	0x9f61eb…
10-17 17:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xda66b0…
10-17 17:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0xbe101f…
10-17 17:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0xb1746e…
10-17 17:45:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:45 UTC	Up	SELL	763	82¢	$628	0xb876d5…
10-17 17:45:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:45 UTC	Up	SELL	377	81¢	$304	0x582d9f…
10-17 17:45:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xfe44b8…
10-17 17:45:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x937de6…
10-17 17:45:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	191	52¢	$100	0x9c21ce…
10-17 17:44:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:40 UTC	Down	SELL	700	99¢	$693	0xfc6962…
10-17 17:42:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0xdbb45d…
10-17 17:42:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xb3c5ca…
10-17 17:42:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x1309f7…
10-17 17:41:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	174	57¢	$100	0xec3369…
10-17 17:41:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	170	59¢	$100	0xe6a428…
10-17 17:41:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	177	56¢	$100	0xbcdd70…
10-17 17:41:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x189411…
10-17 17:41:00	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	2,601	36¢	$936	0xd9a67d…
10-17 17:31:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x95820e…
10-17 17:30:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x49c524…
10-17 17:30:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x066b94…
10-17 17:30:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	101	25¢	$25	0xfb6e97…
10-17 17:30:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	90	28¢	$25	0x0bc788…
10-17 17:30:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	77	32¢	$25	0x39f206…
10-17 17:29:30	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x9fcec6…
10-17 17:29:14	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	264	37¢	$98	0x42a136…
10-17 17:28:48	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	239	37¢	$89	0x6c0895…
10-17 17:28:24	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,622	37¢	$600	0xaa3f8b…
10-17 17:27:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:25 UTC	Down	SELL	801	62¢	$495	0x3e3bfb…
10-17 17:27:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:25 UTC	Down	SELL	684	59¢	$405	0x17d3e5…
10-17 17:26:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x65a61c…