Somber-Seizure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.67K

Unrealized P&L

-$63

Hit rate

52.8%

Resolved

597

Trades

3,827

lifetime

Volume

$78.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$43

1 position

First seen

2026-05-02

last 10-30 21:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

99% 37% +$1,577

Tech

1% 83% +$77

Politics

0% — —

Crypto

0% 100% +$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 855 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes		+4,494	$105	1¢	$43	-$63	10-15 11:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Hamburg European Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ignacio Buse	32	$15.3K	10,387	10,387	+0	Ignacio Buse	+$82	05-19 11:39
Hamburg European Open: Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanov	12	$14.1K	12,969	12,969	+0	Karen Khachanov	-$38	05-19 14:11
Will AZ win on 2026-05-17?	28	$6.1K	18,315	18,315	+0	No	+$1,406	05-17 14:17
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Vit Kopriva	10	$4.1K	2,429	2,429	+0	Felix Auger-Aliassime	-$38	05-19 12:56
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-06-06?	18	$3.7K	2,206	2,206	+0	Yes	-$182	06-06 06:14
Will AZ vs. NAC Breda end in a draw?	27	$3.1K	12,499	12,499	+0	Yes	+$321	05-17 14:17
Will Germany win on 2026-09-24?	10	$2.4K	2,178	2,178	+0	No	+$1,170	09-24 20:39
Will NAC Breda win on 2026-05-17?	24	$2.0K	1,256	1,256	+0	No	-$224	05-17 14:16
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-06-06?	12	$1.3K	1,511	1,511	+0	No	-$320	06-06 05:13
Will AZ win on 2026-09-11?	17	$1.3K	4,149	4,148	+1	No	+$198	09-11 19:38
Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-24?	9	$1.2K	1,797	1,797	+0	No	+$37	09-24 19:32
AZ vs. Willem II Tilburg: O/U 1.5	12	$1.2K	883	665	+217	Over	+$61	09-11 19:37
AZ vs. Willem II Tilburg: O/U 2.5	13	$1.2K	1,348	1,348	-0	Under	+$60	09-11 19:39
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Roman Andres Burruchaga	2	$917	524	524	+0	Luciano Darderi	+$26	05-19 13:00
Will NEC win on 2026-08-29?	24	$903	1,415	1,415	+1	Yes	+$65	08-29 20:43
AZ vs. Willem II Tilburg: O/U 3.5	17	$835	2,668	2,668	+0	Under	-$99	09-11 19:47
Will AZ vs. Willem II Tilburg end in a draw?	14	$791	3,977	3,977	+0	Yes	-$52	09-11 19:23
Will Willem II Tilburg win on 2026-09-11?	22	$767	11,093	11,093	+0	No	-$141	09-11 19:43
Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win on 2026-09-19?	12	$626	962	962	+0	No	+$3	09-19 16:08
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	8	$607	11,851	7,356	+4,494	open	—	10-15 11:27
Will ADO Den Haag win on 2026-09-19?	6	$576	555	555	+0	No	-$7	09-19 14:35
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	8	$478	465	465	+0	No	+$19	09-10 17:10
ADO Den Haag vs. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden: O/U 2.5	11	$443	369	369	+0	Under	-$27	09-19 16:11
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 6.5	12	$434	916	514	+402	Under	-$204	09-20 12:02
AFC Ajax vs. Willem II Tilburg: O/U 5.5	18	$418	443	219	+223	Over	+$19	09-15 19:43
Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?	5	$368	342	342	+0	Yes	-$32	08-25 10:10
AFC Ajax vs. Willem II Tilburg: O/U 4.5	14	$292	434	176	+258	Over	+$35	09-15 19:33
AZ vs. Willem II Tilburg: O/U 4.5	12	$286	1,545	1,545	+0	Under	-$95	09-11 19:24
Will PEC Zwolle vs. NEC end in a draw?	16	$266	397	397	+0	No	+$15	08-29 20:43
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	3	$260	1,398	1,398	+0	Yes	+$24	09-29 13:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 21:08:54	Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)	Villarreal CF	SELL	23	8¢	$2	0xdf06e5…
10-30 21:08:54	Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x705c6f…
10-30 21:08:54	Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)	Villarreal CF	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0x31798e…
10-30 21:08:54	Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	21	8¢	$2	0x2bc4f4…
10-30 21:08:52	Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	7	51¢	$3	0xde85a5…
10-30 21:08:52	Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0xcb096a…
10-30 21:07:52	Will Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?	No	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0xc68e6a…
10-30 21:07:51	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0xbea5bc…
10-30 21:07:51	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-10-30?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$5	0x599f78…
10-30 21:03:49	Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)	Villarreal CF	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xdcab8e…
10-30 21:03:49	Spread: Villarreal CF (-3.5)	Villarreal CF	BUY	78	3¢	$2	0xca3e4b…
10-30 21:03:49	Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xb0b8b8…
10-30 21:03:49	Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)	Villarreal CF	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0x958b06…
10-30 21:03:49	Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x933672…
10-30 21:03:49	Will Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x8f8b5b…
10-30 21:03:49	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x62b1b5…
10-30 21:03:49	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-10-30?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0x5d2a84…
10-30 21:03:49	Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x3c7b78…
10-30 21:03:49	Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x04517d…
10-15 18:11:37	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	331	3¢	$10	0xa57d3f…
10-15 18:05:46	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	164	4¢	$7	0x685f2d…
10-15 18:05:04	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	Yes	SELL	234	1¢	$3	0x59c926…
10-15 12:14:22	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x199942…
10-15 12:14:19	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	18¢	$11	0xf5f253…
10-15 12:14:19	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x30f9f4…
10-15 12:07:59	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xa19fbd…
10-15 12:04:52	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x4785af…
10-15 11:44:49	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0xe9a02b…
10-15 11:44:00	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x937e21…
10-15 11:27:43	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	96	3¢	$3	0x6630f4…
10-15 11:23:33	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x6388e9…
10-15 11:09:30	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	304	3¢	$10	0x2516de…
10-15 11:08:39	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	3¢	$13	0x811570…
10-15 11:06:28	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x833510…
10-15 10:52:36	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	124	17¢	$21	0x09a8d5…
10-15 10:44:17	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xcc29a6…
10-15 10:41:59	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xf27325…
10-15 10:41:52	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x553545…
10-15 10:41:32	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	176	17¢	$30	0x60fdcd…
10-15 10:41:16	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xfd47a5…
10-13 21:33:06	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,696	3¢	$194	0xfa3012…
10-13 14:25:32	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	402	3¢	$12	0x7ae292…
10-13 14:25:05	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x5e09a9…
10-13 14:20:25	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	90¢	$24	0xe5c7f5…
10-13 14:20:01	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,869	1¢	$21	0x0950cf…
10-13 14:19:50	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	90¢	$89	0x0cc95e…
10-13 10:41:58	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	458	4¢	$18	0x7b63a1…
10-13 10:31:28	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	314	2¢	$5	0xe2f17f…
10-13 08:33:49	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	126	81¢	$103	0x092bcf…
10-12 20:20:21	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	420	3¢	$13	0x25c55c…
10-12 20:19:29	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	624	3¢	$21	0x3dd7de…
10-12 20:09:05	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	624	4¢	$24	0xabdde2…
10-12 19:25:24	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	11,430	3¢	$343	0x41f671…
10-12 19:24:35	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	315	4¢	$13	0xc20695…
10-12 19:24:18	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	619	4¢	$24	0x174ef1…
10-05 03:42:10	Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x2e9afc…
10-05 03:37:53	Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x201dd6…
10-05 03:35:53	Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x7a68bd…
10-05 03:34:25	Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6273cc…
10-05 03:33:25	Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xbd63f3…
10-05 03:33:23	Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x97e376…
10-05 03:33:22	Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x0b93f2…
10-05 03:32:13	Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7b87ac…
10-05 03:27:34	Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xea6d40…
10-05 03:24:25	Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xbac635…
10-05 03:24:19	Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf92f4a…
10-05 03:24:14	Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc19358…
10-05 03:23:11	Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x20de69…
10-05 03:21:43	Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x696532…
10-05 03:21:34	Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x7ab0ab…
10-05 03:21:26	Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7bfaa9…
10-05 03:20:59	Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x41c371…
10-05 03:15:25	Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x560fd4…
10-05 03:14:59	Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x059623…
10-05 03:14:04	Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x5411a2…
10-05 03:13:52	Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xa90f50…
10-05 03:13:46	Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x0abb31…
10-05 03:13:43	Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xfc33fb…
10-05 03:10:22	Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xf2fc04…
10-05 03:09:58	Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	2	31¢	$0	0x891d0d…
10-05 03:06:10	Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x68cd9b…
10-05 03:06:02	Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x80d669…
10-05 03:01:11	Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xbb697d…
10-05 03:01:11	Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9b162d…
10-05 03:00:58	Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc06831…
10-05 03:00:28	Llaneros FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x8052ed…
10-05 03:00:14	Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc09a6e…
10-05 02:58:35	Llaneros FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xd3987f…
10-05 02:58:02	Llaneros FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x7a0ee6…
10-05 02:57:46	Llaneros FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xe1eb58…
10-05 02:57:19	Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x4893b5…
10-05 02:54:43	Llaneros FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x2962a5…
10-05 02:53:22	Llaneros FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x999438…
10-05 02:53:16	Llaneros FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb46bf9…
10-05 02:52:56	Llaneros FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x446e0b…
10-05 02:50:17	Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x434c37…
10-05 02:48:14	Llaneros FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x9c2dda…
10-05 02:47:58	Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x093788…
10-05 02:47:55	Llaneros FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x2f8a6e…
10-05 02:44:16	Llaneros FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xfe1dce…