Incredible-Complex — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,034

lifetime

Volume

$5.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 07-24 20:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

55% 0% $-2

Politics

24% 0% $-14

Crypto

12% — —

Sports

8% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	74	$167	817	766	+51	open	—	05-25 02:14
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	8	$84	137	137	+0	open	—	06-02 03:11
btc updown 15m 1773433800	5	$70	71	70	+1	open	—	03-13 20:36
bun uni ein 2026 02 06 uni	10	$61	55	55	+0	open	—	02-06 19:57
btc updown 5m 1773433800	2	$56	37	36	+1	open	—	03-13 20:36
nba lac sac 2026 02 06	14	$56	53	53	+0	open	—	02-07 07:24
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	4	$54	56	56	+0	open	—	03-20 07:17
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	11	$54	200	108	+91	open	—	04-22 15:23
cbb cabap kan 2026 03 20 total 138pt5	4	$53	54	54	+0	open	—	03-20 07:18
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	2	$52	49	49	+0	open	—	03-20 07:17
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	14	$50	159	159	+0	open	—	04-17 11:05
atp kouame svajda 2026 03 18	14	$46	162	0	+162	open	—	03-19 16:00
btc updown 15m 1773226800	6	$45	53	52	+1	open	—	03-11 11:14
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	17	$44	115	87	+28	open	—	06-16 10:27
btc updown 15m 1773216000	6	$42	65	47	+18	open	—	03-11 08:11
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	2	$41	34	34	+0	open	—	03-20 07:18
wta parks kraus 2026 03 18	3	$40	83	27	+56	open	—	03-19 15:48
atp zhang mannari 2026 03 18	4	$40	80	0	+80	open	—	03-19 16:04
atp neumaye fatic 2026 03 19	5	$40	87	0	+87	open	—	03-19 12:57
nba cle dal 2026 03 13 total 237pt5	2	$40	39	39	+0	open	—	03-13 20:36
lal sev val 2026 03 21 draw	7	$39	65	65	+0	open	—	03-20 07:17
nba nyk det 2026 02 06	6	$39	53	38	+16	open	—	02-07 00:23
atp bergs brooksb 2026 03 18	7	$39	106	0	+106	open	—	03-19 15:46
cbb dxst cabap 2026 03 13 total 142pt5	2	$39	43	42	+0	open	—	03-13 20:36
wta andrees lamens 2026 03 15	2	$39	53	53	+0	open	—	03-16 19:14
cbb mia vir 2026 03 13 total 143pt5	2	$39	43	43	+0	open	—	03-13 20:36
lol g2 fox1 2026 03 20 total games 3pt5	2	$38	54	54	+0	open	—	03-20 07:17
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	14	$37	192	17	+175	open	—	06-21 21:57
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	3	$36	90	90	+0	open	—	03-19 19:38
nba mia bos 2026 02 06	4	$35	26	26	+0	open	—	02-07 00:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 20:14:13	will trump say marijuana weed or cannabis this week 20260719005322455	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x4c854c…
07-22 14:15:48	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0xfecd9c…
07-22 14:15:43	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x7cc6ff…
07-22 14:15:40	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x0c07ef…
07-22 14:15:37	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x591247…
07-22 13:52:30	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x24177f…
07-22 13:17:06	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0xd13a2e…
07-22 12:54:00	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0x2e3950…
07-22 12:41:06	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x7dff34…
07-22 12:30:13	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x778ef7…
07-22 12:30:09	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x7400b2…
07-22 12:30:03	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x4bc9de…
07-22 12:30:00	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xd8a011…
07-22 12:29:57	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xf918b9…
07-22 08:48:16	tmus quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 23 2026 2pt58	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xbf83c1…
07-21 09:32:07	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0xec7aba…
07-21 08:13:48	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0xaa2cfb…
07-21 08:02:52	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x60d67e…
07-20 10:13:00	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x95f9f1…
07-20 08:43:55	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	4	13¢	$1	0xe53898…
07-20 08:11:00	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x109fa2…
07-19 03:21:49	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x2c0854…
07-15 22:01:52	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xa5212d…
07-15 08:37:17	nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 16 2026 0pt79	No	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x486aac…
07-14 17:01:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x5635b3…
07-14 15:19:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x424e49…
07-14 02:55:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x320478…
07-14 02:34:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xebb45f…
07-13 22:04:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x751c7a…
07-13 21:34:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xa0d2a4…
07-13 21:14:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xdd8c66…
07-13 15:25:17	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x4c85bd…
07-12 10:16:16	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x67a6d2…
07-12 08:59:22	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	48	10¢	$5	0x4b0fcd…
07-12 00:49:59	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0xa00750…
07-12 00:49:55	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0xc7aa40…
07-12 00:49:52	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x622d48…
07-12 00:49:49	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0x1baf41…
07-12 00:49:44	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0x2fd14e…
07-12 00:49:41	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x0f3f6a…
07-12 00:49:38	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0xaf32e1…
07-12 00:49:35	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x0baa8e…
07-12 00:49:32	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	1	49¢	$1	0xf57868…
07-12 00:39:32	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	1	51¢	$0	0x80469b…
07-12 00:39:29	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x2643b6…
07-12 00:39:26	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0x0aa538…
07-12 00:39:23	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xe7c9d3…
07-12 00:39:19	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x394d21…
07-12 00:39:16	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x600b47…
07-12 00:39:13	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0x41e21b…
07-12 00:39:10	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0xcbbeb1…
07-12 00:39:05	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0x7f048b…
07-12 00:39:02	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	1	51¢	$0	0x5c4d88…
07-12 00:30:05	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x28d96b…
07-12 00:30:02	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xf7ae66…
07-12 00:29:59	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x4297ef…
07-12 00:09:50	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xf4decc…
07-11 23:59:46	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x7ed050…
07-11 23:59:43	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	2	31¢	$0	0xad0a2d…
07-11 16:56:34	over 16m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325648	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xec7803…
07-11 14:56:04	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x16565a…
07-11 14:45:41	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x49d2f9…
07-10 16:04:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0x52572d…
07-10 15:33:28	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x2785b1…
07-10 15:33:25	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x1cfd45…
07-10 10:37:29	over 16m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325648	No	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x8d7431…
07-10 10:28:02	over 16m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325648	No	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xcb05ac…
07-09 07:47:56	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x5e21a7…
07-09 07:47:53	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x252b4f…
07-09 07:38:55	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x06cfa7…
07-09 07:38:50	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x41903d…
07-08 18:32:26	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x420103…
07-08 18:32:23	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xf9cdea…
07-08 18:22:29	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xf52729…
07-08 18:22:26	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xcba249…
07-08 18:13:11	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x949a1e…
07-08 18:13:07	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x0f09a5…
07-08 17:55:25	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xc3dc1a…
07-08 17:55:22	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x275673…
07-08 17:36:46	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x447152…
07-08 17:36:41	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xc7f014…
07-08 17:17:49	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0x3b0aa4…
07-08 17:17:44	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x115af0…
07-08 17:07:58	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x3ec14a…
07-08 17:07:55	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xda9722…
07-08 17:07:50	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xed4acd…
07-08 17:07:47	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xeb4d10…
07-08 17:05:50	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc9dcb8…
07-08 16:58:10	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xfd5570…
07-08 16:58:07	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x48c236…
07-08 16:47:55	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc6663c…
07-08 16:47:52	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x4819a8…
07-08 15:23:32	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf81246…
07-08 15:23:29	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xcae6d4…
07-08 15:21:22	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfdb85c…
07-08 15:12:22	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	Yes	BUY	88	6¢	$5	0x15494f…
07-03 17:00:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x41e70c…
07-03 17:00:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0x8140ad…
07-03 17:00:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x76751f…
07-03 17:00:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0x924a6e…