Incredible-Complex — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$821

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.3%

Resolved

598

Trades

2,728

lifetime

Volume

$7.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 08-02 08:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 128 days

Categories

Other

60% 27% -$500

Politics

23% 29% -$104

Crypto

9% 39% -$60

Sports

6% 16% -$119

Tech

2% 8% -$36

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	74	$167	817	766	+51	No	+$37	05-25 02:14
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	196	$156	583	277	+306	Yes	-$54	07-31 06:29
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	7	$113	437	222	+215	No	+$23	05-26 18:24
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	5	$87	176	176	+0	Yes	+$37	05-21 19:32
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	17	$85	229	229	+0	No	-$10	05-21 19:32
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	8	$84	137	137	+0	No	+$14	06-02 03:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 20:30 UTC	5	$70	71	70	+1	Up	-$2	03-13 20:36
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	8	$69	217	120	+96	No	-$11	05-29 06:42
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	3	$61	98	98	+0	No	+$31	05-21 19:31
bun uni ein 2026 02 06 uni	10	$61	55	55	+0	No	+$1	02-06 19:57
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	11	$57	276	197	+79	No	-$13	06-08 09:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 20:30 UTC	2	$56	37	36	+1	Up	+$17	03-13 20:36
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?	22	$56	115	115	+0	Yes	-$4	06-16 10:27
nba lac sac 2026 02 06	14	$56	53	53	+0	Clippers	+$2	02-07 07:24
iran closes its airspace by june 15	40	$55	62	62	+0	Yes	+$15	06-04 21:28
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	4	$54	56	56	+0	Yes	+$14	03-20 07:17
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	11	$54	200	108	+91	No	-$3	04-22 15:23
cbb cabap kan 2026 03 20 total 138pt5	4	$53	54	54	+0	Under	-$1	03-20 07:18
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	2	$52	49	49	+0	No	+$12	03-20 07:17
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	12	$51	131	58	+73	No	-$17	05-21 03:35
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	14	$50	159	159	+0	No	+$7	04-17 11:05
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C or below on June 22?	3	$50	40	40	+0	Yes	+$30	06-23 01:14
atp kouame svajda 2026 03 18	14	$46	162	0	+162	Moise Kouame	+$62	03-19 16:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 11:00 UTC	6	$45	53	52	+1	Down	-$15	03-11 11:14
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	8	$43	302	302	+0	No	-$7	05-02 10:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 08:00 UTC	6	$42	65	47	+18	Down	-$1	03-11 08:11
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	2	$41	34	34	+0	Yes	+$1	03-20 07:18
wta parks kraus 2026 03 18	3	$40	83	27	+56	Alycia Parks	-$19	03-19 15:48
atp zhang mannari 2026 03 18	4	$40	80	0	+80	Adrian Mannarino	+$0	03-19 16:04
atp neumaye fatic 2026 03 19	5	$40	87	0	+87	Lukas Neumayer	+$5	03-19 12:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 08:10:42	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x587781…
07-31 06:29:54	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x91cf22…
07-31 00:56:24	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xb5e54e…
07-31 00:56:21	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xbf11b5…
07-31 00:56:17	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xac4124…
07-31 00:56:14	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x0eb76a…
07-31 00:56:11	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x584695…
07-31 00:56:06	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x8891a5…
07-31 00:56:03	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x203b9e…
07-31 00:56:00	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xdc267e…
07-31 00:55:57	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x10778e…
07-31 00:55:54	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xbd1708…
07-31 00:55:50	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x0d3f3d…
07-31 00:55:45	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xe446ed…
07-31 00:55:42	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x1d1503…
07-31 00:55:39	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x159c8a…
07-31 00:55:36	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x7ff0d3…
07-31 00:55:32	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xae65b2…
07-31 00:55:29	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x0905e0…
07-31 00:55:26	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x1937ec…
07-31 00:55:23	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x3bc308…
07-31 00:55:18	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x23dc47…
07-31 00:55:15	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x793565…
07-31 00:55:12	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xe727ae…
07-31 00:55:09	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x951e69…
07-31 00:55:06	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x31a520…
07-31 00:55:02	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xb8bd22…
07-31 00:54:59	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xb12f70…
07-31 00:54:56	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x77829e…
07-31 00:54:51	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x8fd2b7…
07-31 00:54:48	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x9a42cb…
07-31 00:54:45	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x7645ec…
07-31 00:54:42	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x143cdc…
07-31 00:54:39	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xf823ef…
07-31 00:54:35	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x6ac905…
07-31 00:54:32	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xc8b60f…
07-31 00:54:29	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x16db71…
07-31 00:54:26	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x423d09…
07-31 00:54:23	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x20ea92…
07-31 00:54:18	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x601083…
07-31 00:54:15	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x418fa7…
07-31 00:54:11	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xb2678c…
07-31 00:54:08	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x0237a8…
07-31 00:54:05	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xcf8611…
07-31 00:54:02	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xa0dc40…
07-31 00:53:59	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x20d2c2…
07-31 00:53:54	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x6edfaf…
07-31 00:53:51	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x46d1a2…
07-31 00:53:48	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x38cbcc…
07-31 00:53:45	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x08b5fd…
07-31 00:53:41	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xc2926a…
07-31 00:53:39	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x7df5ed…
07-31 00:53:35	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x6019e8…
07-31 00:53:32	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xfc0c48…
07-31 00:53:29	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x9072dc…
07-31 00:53:24	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x45a97a…
07-31 00:53:21	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x1726f1…
07-31 00:53:18	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x6bd237…
07-31 00:53:15	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x59201d…
07-31 00:53:11	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xd371b1…
07-31 00:53:08	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x7e3bac…
07-31 00:53:05	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xf77d7a…
07-31 00:53:00	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xceb6a5…
07-31 00:52:57	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xc888cb…
07-31 00:52:54	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x2ea58c…
07-31 00:52:51	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xded27f…
07-31 00:52:47	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x25514d…
07-31 00:52:44	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x2c20aa…
07-31 00:52:41	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x71b6df…
07-31 00:52:38	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x226362…
07-31 00:52:33	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xa30741…
07-31 00:52:30	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xe9f7fe…
07-31 00:52:27	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x33da3c…
07-31 00:52:24	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xb599ad…
07-31 00:52:20	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xcf02b6…
07-31 00:52:17	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x550b7b…
07-31 00:52:14	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x4a8185…
07-31 00:52:11	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xba5ff4…
07-31 00:52:06	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x348d6d…
07-31 00:52:03	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xbbedfe…
07-31 00:52:00	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x95ca8f…
07-31 00:51:57	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xe11639…
07-31 00:51:53	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x5479a6…
07-31 00:51:50	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x345b35…
07-31 00:51:47	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xa4c41c…
07-31 00:51:42	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x7555d6…
07-31 00:51:39	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xa1f350…
07-31 00:51:36	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xa3826a…
07-31 00:51:33	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x2e540d…
07-31 00:51:30	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x01394f…
07-31 00:51:27	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xea1dff…
07-31 00:51:23	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x4b2821…
07-31 00:51:20	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xff9830…
07-31 00:51:17	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x3b8d6c…
07-31 00:51:12	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xd1a0bf…
07-31 00:51:09	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x4e9aec…
07-31 00:51:06	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x22dbd6…
07-31 00:51:03	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x38361a…
07-31 00:50:59	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x0ca97a…
07-31 00:50:56	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x2c156a…