Cavernous-Sake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$97

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

1,019

Trades

1,915

lifetime

Volume

$5.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 06-04 05:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 56% -$95

Sports

0% 100% +$3

Other

0% 67% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-04).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes		+10	$5	26¢	$2	-$3	05-29 17:14
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	Yes		-5	-$2	48¢	$-2	$0	05-01 16:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	3	$48	41	41	+0	Down	+$18	05-11 01:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 04:50 UTC	10	$32	69	20	+49	Up	-$6	04-21 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$29	20	20	+0	Up	+$11	05-14 14:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	7	$29	72	0	+72	Up	+$3	05-18 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 05:00 UTC	6	$29	59	0	+59	Up	+$1	04-21 05:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	3	$29	20	20	+0	Down	+$11	05-14 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	3	$28	20	20	+0	Down	+$11	05-11 03:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	9	$27	46	0	+46	Down	-$17	05-04 09:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 02:25 UTC	10	$27	71	0	+71	Down	+$5	04-21 02:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 04:00 UTC	10	$26	60	21	+39	Up	+$6	04-21 04:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	9	$26	33	0	+33	Down	-$9	05-18 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	3	$25	20	20	+0	Up	+$6	05-11 05:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 04:40 UTC	6	$24	62	9	+53	Down	-$2	04-21 04:45
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	8	$23	41	0	+41	Up	-$2	05-31 06:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$23	44	29	+15	Up	+$20	05-17 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	7	$23	41	0	+41	Up	-$12	05-04 08:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 03:25 UTC	5	$22	49	0	+49	Down	-$9	04-23 03:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	4	$22	22	0	+22	Down	+$0	05-18 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 05:30 UTC	5	$21	30	19	+10	Down	-$2	04-21 05:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 03:10 UTC	3	$20	29	14	+14	Down	-$8	04-23 03:13
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	7	$20	36	0	+36	Up	+$5	05-31 06:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 02:45 UTC	5	$20	47	0	+47	Down	+$11	04-21 02:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 02:40 UTC	5	$20	42	0	+42	Down	-$9	04-21 02:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	6	$20	15	15	+0	Down	+$2	05-04 20:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 04:55 UTC	7	$19	58	20	+38	Up	-$3	04-21 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	3	$19	30	0	+30	Up	+$1	05-11 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 04:45 UTC	7	$19	40	0	+40	Up	+$1	04-21 04:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	5	$19	15	10	+5	Up	+$0	05-04 19:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 05:25 UTC	5	$19	30	19	+10	Down	+$1	04-21 05:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 15:45 UTC	5	$19	20	15	+5	Down	+$4	04-22 15:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 05:37:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0xc87da9…
06-04 05:36:52	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x40f96b…
06-04 05:32:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x6b073c…
06-04 05:32:03	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xc1d107…
06-04 05:06:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x45d12c…
06-04 05:00:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xc66222…
06-04 04:55:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x1373c9…
06-04 04:45:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x5fb356…
06-04 04:43:58	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x6c2991…
06-04 04:40:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xe104f6…
06-04 04:32:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0xcc4863…
06-04 04:31:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x2310ca…
06-04 04:31:31	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0xe651a5…
06-04 04:25:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x1809de…
06-04 04:25:36	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x1f8f30…
06-04 04:20:54	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x469c8a…
06-02 19:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$5	0x031394…
06-02 19:42:07	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$7	0xa895f4…
06-02 19:42:07	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x49d924…
06-02 19:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xee15e5…
06-02 19:26:15	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0xe2f182…
06-02 19:26:03	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x0ad311…
06-02 18:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x1ed8ac…
06-02 18:55:36	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x9df2ab…
06-02 18:52:13	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb0485c…
06-02 18:51:59	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xfd0950…
06-02 18:51:56	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x594b0f…
06-02 18:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xabf0ab…
06-02 18:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x7330f7…
06-02 13:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8a4623…
06-02 13:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xbb6992…
06-02 10:51:33	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x7fe8a2…
06-02 10:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	32¢	$3	0x454980…
06-02 10:49:04	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa88b28…
06-02 10:47:44	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x741943…
06-02 10:47:37	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xa91f37…
06-02 10:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x669407…
06-02 10:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x884748…
06-02 10:43:34	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	6¢	$1	0xf8f4d6…
06-02 10:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0xf30ed9…
06-02 10:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0xe34f54…
06-02 10:41:54	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x331ab3…
06-02 10:40:30	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	32¢	$2	0xc7dce1…
06-02 10:36:46	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa3c78d…
06-02 10:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x4f8182…
06-02 10:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3232f8…
06-02 10:36:06	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x15b6b8…
06-02 10:36:04	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x7bf7b1…
06-02 10:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x24c5fc…
06-02 10:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x0defb4…
06-02 10:32:37	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcc99ac…
06-02 10:32:37	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xb13421…
06-02 10:32:11	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x459d48…
06-02 10:32:08	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x7696ab…
06-02 10:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x028d1a…
06-02 10:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xf5667c…
06-02 10:29:20	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x8826a0…
06-02 10:29:11	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x59b7e7…
06-02 10:27:56	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xb122be…
06-02 10:27:56	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2530ce…
06-02 10:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x566580…
06-02 10:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x2dcc5d…
06-02 10:25:36	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0x4ccbf0…
06-01 03:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0xd622a6…
06-01 03:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0xadf81b…
06-01 03:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xe67b83…
06-01 03:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa6798c…
06-01 03:16:48	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x4472a6…
06-01 03:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x540d66…
06-01 03:16:04	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xc49bc3…
06-01 03:16:04	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x162dad…
06-01 03:15:50	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4cd4d3…
06-01 03:15:48	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xf7bb4f…
06-01 03:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x529e23…
06-01 03:08:55	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x2039d5…
06-01 03:07:28	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xabfc13…
06-01 03:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xe57549…
06-01 03:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xacf926…
06-01 03:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x4c7401…
06-01 03:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x3727cc…
05-31 22:29:43	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7f240d…
05-31 22:29:08	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc622ef…
05-31 22:19:41	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x842111…
05-31 22:14:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9b70e6…
05-31 18:14:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x0dd59e…
05-31 17:39:06	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x204390…
05-31 17:29:07	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1fe825…
05-31 17:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0xa77956…
05-31 15:24:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xc60f8e…
05-31 14:04:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf86408…
05-31 13:44:13	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x7eb360…
05-31 11:24:23	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeb51ce…
05-31 11:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3db6c6…
05-31 10:14:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x987760…
05-31 10:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x74f7de…
05-31 10:04:11	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4a6fe5…
05-31 06:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe860ce…
05-31 06:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x19c0c5…
05-31 06:41:56	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0xce5f17…
05-31 06:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xbd6c50…