Similar-Activist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$175

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.0%

Resolved

Trades

12,143

lifetime

Volume

$112.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-02 12:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

92% 80% +$230

Sports

4% 0% $-55

Politics

4% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 390m by january 31 726	7	$1.7K	915	915	+0	open	—	01-28 22:46
highest temperature in madrid on march 17 2026 19c	3	$1.7K	873	873	+0	open	—	03-17 14:34
fnatic mergeracquisition announced by september 1 2026	17	$1.6K	1,315	1,053	+262	open	—	07-20 16:28
highest temperature in chicago on april 5 2026 48 49f	5	$1.5K	793	790	+3	open	—	04-05 20:49
highest temperature in lucknow on march 12 2026 35corbelow	33	$1.5K	1,061	1,018	+43	open	—	03-12 11:39
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	516	$1.3K	100,434	46,108	+54,326	open	—	04-09 03:37
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-17 18:51
will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	3	$1.1K	690	690	+0	open	—	01-29 11:00
Will Team Liquid qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?	6	$1.1K	543	643	-100	open	—	04-06 12:08
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	17	$974	3,717	717	+3,000	open	—	03-27 07:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	5	$920	1,200	550	+650	open	—	06-26 10:49
highest temperature in nyc on april 3 2026 59forbelow	24	$920	502	499	+3	open	—	04-03 18:54
will mrbeast hit 109 billion views by january 31	12	$903	551	618	-67	open	—	01-23 17:30
will melania opening weekend box office be greater than 3m	2	$889	470	470	+0	open	—	01-30 06:48
Will FalleN retire by June 1?	8	$885	779	779	+0	open	—	04-17 18:39
will the government shutdown last 30 days or more 558 354 297 785 675	2	$864	450	450	+0	open	—	01-30 16:39
will mrbeast hit 109pt5 billion views by january 31	6	$845	694	694	+0	open	—	01-28 12:57
highest temperature in nyc on march 16 2026 54 55f	9	$820	855	955	-100	open	—	03-17 01:36
Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July?	4	$811	857	0	+857	open	—	06-21 19:14
will avatar fire and ash 6th weekend box office be less than 8pt5m	4	$810	450	450	+0	open	—	01-24 15:26
f1 hungarian grand prix driver podium antonelli 2026 07 26	14	$799	1,595	0	+1,595	open	—	07-26 14:27
will falcons make a roster change before august 20260610174825288	2	$792	450	450	+0	open	—	06-25 15:26
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	2	$785	400	400	+0	open	—	01-23 22:18
will heroic make a roster change before august 20260610155544674	2	$778	407	407	+0	open	—	07-27 22:45
will greenland 2 migration make 25 million or more domestically by january 31	9	$726	246	516	-270	open	—	01-21 18:51
highest temperature in ankara on march 2 2026 10c	9	$719	379	379	+0	open	—	03-02 10:30
will avatar fire and ash be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on march 15	2	$677	350	350	+0	open	—	01-26 17:44
highest temperature in nyc on march 1 2026 38 39f	13	$624	415	490	-75	open	—	03-01 19:59
highest temperature in nyc on april 3 2026 60 61f	8	$621	642	11	+631	open	—	04-03 20:50
will avatar fire and ash 5th weekend box office be between 14pt5m and 16m	6	$602	498	498	+0	open	—	01-20 23:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 12:33:50	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02	Spirit	BUY	150	29¢	$44	0x268d02…
07-27 22:45:12	will heroic make a roster change before august 20260610155544674	Yes	SELL	407	100¢	$405	0xd7db59…
07-26 14:27:42	f1 hungarian grand prix driver podium antonelli 2026 07 26	No	BUY	118	18¢	$21	0x386374…
07-26 14:21:58	f1 hungarian grand prix driver podium antonelli 2026 07 26	No	BUY	155	76¢	$118	0x168354…
07-26 14:21:03	f1 hungarian grand prix driver podium antonelli 2026 07 26	No	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xf756d0…
07-26 14:16:51	f1 hungarian grand prix driver podium piastri 2026 07 26	Yes	BUY	75	66¢	$50	0x164085…
07-26 14:11:25	f1 hungarian grand prix driver podium antonelli 2026 07 26	No	BUY	120	55¢	$66	0x7c2fd0…
07-26 14:10:27	f1 hungarian grand prix driver podium antonelli 2026 07 26	No	BUY	191	51¢	$97	0xbe8235…
07-26 14:05:18	f1 hungarian grand prix driver podium antonelli 2026 07 26	No	BUY	52	49¢	$26	0x5873be…
07-26 14:05:09	f1 hungarian grand prix driver podium antonelli 2026 07 26	No	BUY	148	45¢	$67	0x5c2a18…
07-26 14:02:24	f1 hungarian grand prix driver podium antonelli 2026 07 26	No	BUY	260	47¢	$122	0x38054e…
07-26 14:01:36	f1 hungarian grand prix driver podium antonelli 2026 07 26	No	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0xfdd2f7…
07-26 13:58:48	f1 hungarian grand prix driver podium antonelli 2026 07 26	No	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xd51805…
07-26 13:36:16	f1 hungarian grand prix driver podium antonelli 2026 07 26	No	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x272787…
07-26 13:35:51	f1 hungarian grand prix driver podium antonelli 2026 07 26	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x65b146…
07-26 13:35:30	f1 hungarian grand prix driver podium antonelli 2026 07 26	No	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x54227a…
07-26 13:35:24	f1 hungarian grand prix driver podium antonelli 2026 07 26	No	BUY	88	50¢	$44	0x0a257c…
07-26 13:23:51	f1 hungarian grand prix driver podium piastri 2026 07 26	Yes	BUY	43	80¢	$34	0x613e0c…
07-26 13:22:58	f1 hungarian grand prix driver podium piastri 2026 07 26	Yes	BUY	47	81¢	$38	0x690950…
07-25 12:57:04	cs2 tl1 g2 2026 07 25	G2	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xd18e4e…
07-24 17:25:54	will zywoo reach 36 hltv mvp awards by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	467	23¢	$106	0x739adb…
07-22 09:39:12	will zywoo reach 36 hltv mvp awards by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	54	21¢	$11	0xc1205d…
07-22 03:10:09	will zywoo reach 36 hltv mvp awards by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x676ad0…
07-21 17:58:15	cs2 all wc1 2026 07 21 map handicap away 1pt5	Alliance	BUY	32	36¢	$12	0x65866e…
07-21 17:25:06	cs2 all wc1 2026 07 21 map handicap away 1pt5	Alliance	BUY	110	36¢	$40	0x82492b…
07-21 15:16:27	cs2 all wc1 2026 07 21 map handicap away 1pt5	Alliance	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0xf2fcd9…
07-21 08:00:30	cs2 hotu hero 2026 07 21 map handicap home 1pt5	Heroic	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xad8d3a…
07-21 07:27:24	cs2 all wc1 2026 07 21	Alliance	BUY	84	63¢	$53	0x17a8ba…
07-21 07:18:33	cs2 all wc1 2026 07 21	Alliance	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0x4653ab…
07-21 07:17:22	cs2 all wc1 2026 07 21	Alliance	BUY	195	63¢	$123	0x7c1859…
07-21 03:13:30	will betboom make a roster change before september 20260623161949704	No	BUY	185	69¢	$128	0xdc8799…
07-20 16:28:54	fnatic mergeracquisition announced by september 1 2026	No	BUY	262	50¢	$130	0xc0a62a…
07-14 18:21:58	will zywoo reach 36 hltv mvp awards by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	346	21¢	$73	0x4f7d4f…
07-14 18:21:41	will zywoo reach 36 hltv mvp awards by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	81	16¢	$13	0x52d215…
07-14 15:48:43	will natus vincere make a roster change before september 20260623155546119	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x69fc7a…
07-14 09:48:56	will 9z make a roster change before september 20260623161310393	No	BUY	51	64¢	$33	0x7590c6…
07-14 08:16:25	will b8 make a roster change before september 20260623165506877	No	BUY	170	68¢	$116	0x4342dd…
07-14 07:11:58	will 9z make a roster change before september 20260623161310393	No	BUY	106	65¢	$68	0x27c52c…
07-11 19:31:16	will zywoo reach 36 hltv mvp awards by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	725	7¢	$51	0x09e633…
07-11 05:42:53	will zywoo reach 36 hltv mvp awards by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	26	7¢	$2	0x6ebdc6…
07-07 19:09:32	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	500	27¢	$135	0xabc7df…
07-06 18:54:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xb504cb…
07-06 18:53:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xa87d3b…
07-06 18:53:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0xb15fb4…
07-06 18:53:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xb28e8a…
07-06 18:53:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	16	67¢	$11	0x9869fd…
07-06 18:52:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	129	67¢	$87	0xfc3e1c…
07-06 18:48:47	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0xb6439c…
07-04 00:57:25	will zywoo reach 36 hltv mvp awards by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	239	7¢	$17	0xee5781…
07-02 16:18:37	will team aurora make a roster change before september 20260623160619339	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$11	0x05fd75…
07-02 15:41:40	will zywoo reach 36 hltv mvp awards by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x82fec8…
06-30 19:29:55	Will Aurora make a roster change before July?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0x9fb696…
06-29 19:07:25	will natus vincere make a roster change before september 20260623155546119	No	BUY	120	39¢	$47	0x36454d…
06-29 17:47:44	fnatic mergeracquisition announced by september 1 2026	Yes	SELL	293	77¢	$227	0xd0b97d…
06-29 17:24:17	will natus vincere make a roster change before september 20260623155546119	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xaf1991…
06-29 17:23:53	will natus vincere make a roster change before september 20260623155546119	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xbe80fc…
06-29 17:14:40	will natus vincere make a roster change before september 20260623155546119	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xa1c49b…
06-29 17:14:25	will natus vincere make a roster change before september 20260623155546119	No	BUY	597	32¢	$192	0xe0bf43…
06-29 03:33:26	fnatic mergeracquisition announced by september 1 2026	Yes	SELL	177	80¢	$142	0x7ab2fd…
06-27 22:26:32	fnatic mergeracquisition announced by september 1 2026	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x88df2f…
06-27 02:34:01	fnatic mergeracquisition announced by september 1 2026	Yes	SELL	42	89¢	$37	0x82d84e…
06-27 02:30:02	fnatic mergeracquisition announced by september 1 2026	Yes	SELL	42	89¢	$37	0xf219e6…
06-27 02:20:01	fnatic mergeracquisition announced by september 1 2026	Yes	SELL	42	89¢	$37	0x5366ca…
06-27 02:14:52	fnatic mergeracquisition announced by september 1 2026	Yes	SELL	42	89¢	$37	0xf9f6a6…
06-26 16:17:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	323	34¢	$110	0xadbb7d…
06-26 16:17:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	666	34¢	$226	0xa9c8a7…
06-26 16:17:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0x557942…
06-26 12:45:50	fnatic mergeracquisition announced by september 1 2026	Yes	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xca0fce…
06-26 10:49:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	245	57¢	$140	0x23631c…
06-26 10:44:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xbe842a…
06-26 10:40:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	396	57¢	$226	0x89ac26…
06-26 08:15:04	fnatic mergeracquisition announced by september 1 2026	Yes	SELL	107	89¢	$95	0x0f2457…
06-26 08:01:19	fnatic mergeracquisition announced by september 1 2026	Yes	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x93468c…
06-26 06:35:23	fnatic mergeracquisition announced by september 1 2026	Yes	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0x201cf9…
06-26 05:24:19	cs2 the9 cyb 2026 06 26	The Huns Esports	BUY	42	56¢	$23	0x1819b0…
06-26 05:13:40	cs2 the9 cyb 2026 06 26	The Huns Esports	BUY	258	56¢	$145	0x12f745…
06-26 01:12:59	fnatic mergeracquisition announced by september 1 2026	Yes	SELL	41	89¢	$36	0xe44c3c…
06-26 00:54:38	fnatic mergeracquisition announced by september 1 2026	Yes	SELL	39	89¢	$35	0xab54d0…
06-26 00:27:52	fnatic mergeracquisition announced by september 1 2026	Yes	SELL	81	89¢	$72	0xdfa58c…
06-26 00:09:05	fnatic mergeracquisition announced by september 1 2026	Yes	SELL	25	89¢	$22	0x87a388…
06-25 18:03:19	will heroic make a roster change before august 20260610155544674	Yes	BUY	407	92¢	$373	0xe5c2b9…
06-25 16:08:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	550	54¢	$297	0x437ef6…
06-25 15:26:05	will falcons make a roster change before august 20260610174825288	No	SELL	450	97¢	$437	0x484ead…
06-24 20:12:50	fnatic mergeracquisition announced by september 1 2026	Yes	BUY	1,053	54¢	$565	0xa3aad4…
06-23 18:53:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	550	46¢	$253	0x14f9d2…
06-23 17:17:19	Will Astralis make a roster change before July?	No	BUY	611	63¢	$382	0x29d5a2…
06-23 08:13:17	Will Valve remove Mirage from the Map Pool?	Yes	SELL	302	0¢	$1	0x93f48a…
06-22 20:27:35	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 30 2026	No	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xac80fe…
06-22 19:57:59	Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xa00fd5…
06-22 19:50:47	Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x1a6844…
06-22 19:37:04	Will Valve remove Mirage from the Map Pool?	Yes	SELL	1,196	0¢	$2	0xdf1260…
06-22 17:14:34	will natus vincere make a roster change before july 231	Yes	SELL	215	13¢	$28	0x98e3ea…
06-22 13:51:01	will natus vincere make a roster change before july 231	Yes	BUY	215	15¢	$33	0xda79f2…
06-22 13:01:22	Will Aurora make a roster change before July?	Yes	BUY	160	55¢	$87	0x016edb…
06-21 19:14:28	Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July?	No	BUY	204	93¢	$190	0x8aa92c…
06-21 19:13:55	Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July?	No	BUY	196	93¢	$183	0xf66efb…
06-21 15:48:58	will falcons make a roster change before august 20260610174825288	No	BUY	450	79¢	$355	0x2f5069…
06-21 15:27:28	will the iem cologne major 2026 grand final be a sweep 20260605195556495	No	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0x7f8984…
06-20 19:32:16	Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July?	No	BUY	207	97¢	$202	0x67b346…
06-19 21:28:11	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 28 2026	No	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x815024…