Miserable-Coincidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$51

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.0%

Resolved

193

Trades

521

lifetime

Volume

$4.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 05-12 00:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% $-51

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	24	$112	203	+203	Up	$-112	05-08 11:00
btc updown 15m 1776744900	2	$56	473	+473	open	—	04-21 04:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$49	88	+88	Up	$-49	05-08 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	3	$49	88	+88	Up	+$40	05-07 02:30
eth updown 15m 1776747600	2	$46	276	+276	open	—	04-21 05:13
eth updown 15m 1776475800	2	$35	199	+199	open	—	04-18 01:43
eth updown 5m 1776761100	1	$34	375	+375	open	—	04-21 08:48
eth updown 5m 1776594000	2	$33	163	+163	open	—	04-19 10:23
eth updown 5m 1776432900	2	$32	128	+128	open	—	04-17 13:38
btc updown 5m 1776594000	2	$32	147	+147	open	—	04-19 10:23
btc updown 5m 1776557700	3	$32	178	+178	open	—	04-19 00:18
eth updown 15m 1776663000	2	$32	127	+127	open	—	04-20 05:43
eth updown 5m 1776557700	2	$30	95	+95	open	—	04-19 00:18
btc updown 15m 1776663000	3	$29	97	+97	open	—	04-20 05:43
eth updown 15m 1776492000	2	$29	59	+59	open	—	04-18 06:13
eth updown 5m 1776469200	3	$28	55	+55	open	—	04-17 23:43
btc updown 15m 1776654000	2	$27	79	+79	open	—	04-20 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	3	$25	45	+45	Down	+$20	05-06 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	6	$25	45	+45	Up	+$20	05-06 05:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$24	44	+44	Down	$-24	05-06 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$24	45	+45	Down	+$21	05-06 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$24	45	+45	Down	+$21	05-06 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$21	38	+38	Up	+$17	05-07 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$21	38	+38	Down	+$17	05-08 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$21	38	+38	Down	+$17	05-07 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$21	38	+38	Down	$-21	05-08 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	8	$21	38	+38	Up	$-21	05-08 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$21	38	+38	Down	$-21	05-08 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$21	38	+38	Up	+$18	05-09 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$20	38	+38	Down	+$18	05-08 16:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 00:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xddfd4a…
05-12 00:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4c3b74…
05-11 22:30:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb9fae2…
05-11 21:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x311dbc…
05-11 21:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x1b2747…
05-11 21:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x6c222b…
05-11 21:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4a8a2d…
05-11 21:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x4a47c1…
05-11 21:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa66372…
05-11 21:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x33e480…
05-11 20:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0x714163…
05-11 20:15:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa0e01b…
05-11 17:45:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x01682e…
05-11 17:40:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x6484ee…
05-11 17:40:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x1b565d…
05-11 16:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x58249d…
05-11 15:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0x13b08d…
05-11 13:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x5caff6…
05-11 13:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xd81e04…
05-11 13:35:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xfafdb1…
05-11 13:35:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xa04745…
05-11 13:35:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0e81bf…
05-11 13:00:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xc80198…
05-11 13:00:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x85dd1f…
05-11 12:55:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb3b809…
05-11 12:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xf2f491…
05-11 12:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0x7dc45b…
05-11 12:00:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x689c58…
05-11 12:00:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2508ff…
05-11 05:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xcd39cc…
05-11 05:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x193e16…
05-11 03:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe33f15…
05-11 02:40:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7ea561…
05-11 00:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6658ce…
05-11 00:45:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x47a872…
05-11 00:45:11	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xea23ca…
05-11 00:45:11	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x70a0a1…
05-11 00:45:11	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x47a973…
05-11 00:45:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xb30618…
05-11 00:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xab9780…
05-11 00:45:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa0e490…
05-11 00:45:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x01ae9f…
05-11 00:45:04	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9db2e5…
05-11 00:20:23	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x683100…
05-11 00:20:23	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x15a88f…
05-11 00:20:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x453234…
05-11 00:15:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xccc634…
05-11 00:15:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x645c83…
05-11 00:15:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3090de…
05-10 23:30:06	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xbb7f76…
05-10 23:30:06	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x310bba…
05-10 23:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x64e011…
05-10 23:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf7a9ee…
05-10 23:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3be50c…
05-10 23:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2cc870…
05-10 23:05:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf6e241…
05-10 23:05:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x63a38c…
05-10 23:05:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x2ee7ad…
05-10 23:05:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1f8e12…
05-10 23:05:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0ccbce…
05-10 23:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x39041b…
05-10 23:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1332de…
05-10 22:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x314a83…
05-10 20:50:09	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x6de2ce…
05-10 20:50:07	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xe45476…
05-10 20:50:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xcc0767…
05-10 20:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xab8e42…
05-10 20:50:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9b8465…
05-10 20:50:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x50d329…
05-10 20:45:12	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x84d09b…
05-10 20:45:06	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x484e07…
05-10 18:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x06e9cc…
05-10 17:30:22	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x668cfc…
05-10 17:30:20	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x14b9a5…
05-10 17:30:09	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9c71e3…
05-10 17:20:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xaa15b4…
05-10 17:20:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x0e12dd…
05-10 16:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x75d1fa…
05-10 15:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x532fc8…
05-10 15:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf6f6d1…
05-10 15:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1bdf3f…
05-10 15:40:12	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xbf911a…
05-10 15:40:12	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x531f31…
05-10 13:25:25	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2a65ec…
05-10 13:25:25	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x02ef49…
05-10 13:25:23	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x2f39d8…
05-10 11:25:06	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x873dc9…
05-10 11:25:05	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4b0cdb…
05-10 10:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x6b384b…
05-10 09:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf276d6…
05-10 09:35:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xbb4c22…
05-10 09:35:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4ec32c…
05-10 09:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xc7ee1e…
05-10 08:10:06	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xbe507e…
05-10 08:10:04	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xc20680…
05-10 04:35:07	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x58788d…
05-10 03:40:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x2b8619…
05-10 03:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0xe8c60c…
05-10 01:35:09	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xc4efe6…
05-10 01:35:09	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	55¢	$0	0xa76e2c…