Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$49

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.8%

Resolved

107

Trades

267

lifetime

Volume

$1.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-15

last 11-04 15:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

59% 32% -$10

Crypto

41% 62% -$39

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 126 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	7	$169	118	118	+0	Yes	+$66	10-20 16:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:55 UTC	4	$76	88	24	+64	Up	-$30	10-16 13:00
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	4	$72	174	35	+139	No	-$4	10-28 11:54
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	3	$72	77	77	+0	Yes	+$7	10-17 13:58
India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	2	$61	86	0	+86	India	+$25	10-24 10:38
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	8	$58	112	0	+112	No	-$58	10-21 14:26
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	4	$57	85	0	+85	Yes	+$28	10-26 13:06
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	4	$50	188	188	+0	No	-$2	10-21 05:35
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	6	$50	235	235	+0	No	-$17	10-22 18:34
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	2	$48	42	42	+0	No	+$33	10-23 19:13
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	4	$47	45	45	+0	No	+$13	10-18 20:47
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	6	$45	134	134	+0	No	-$34	10-23 19:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:30 UTC	4	$43	29	29	+0	Down	+$3	10-16 13:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 12:15 UTC	4	$43	25	25	+0	Up	+$3	10-16 12:28
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	3	$35	21	21	+0	Yes	+$7	10-16 17:26
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	4	$33	195	195	+0	No	-$13	10-22 15:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:00 UTC	2	$30	17	17	+0	Up	+$0	10-16 18:12
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	1	$26	52	0	+52	No	-$26	10-28 07:13
Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $11M and $14M?	2	$25	15	15	+0	No	+$5	10-25 11:55
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	2	$23	35	0	+35	Yes	+$12	10-26 13:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:00 UTC	2	$23	14	14	+0	Down	+$3	10-16 13:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 11:30 UTC	2	$21	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	10-16 11:38
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	6	$21	395	0	+395	No	-$21	10-27 06:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:25 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	10-16 11:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:50 UTC	2	$21	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	10-16 12:52
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	2	$20	15	15	+0	No	+$10	10-20 16:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:50 UTC	3	$18	25	0	+25	Up	-$18	10-16 13:53
elon musk of tweets october 17 october 19 2026 90 114	3	$16	43	43	+0	No	-$2	10-18 20:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:40 UTC	2	$15	24	0	+24	Down	-$15	10-16 12:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:55 UTC	2	$15	11	11	+0	Down	+$4	10-16 17:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 15:15:03	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	11¢	$3	0x655fde…
11-04 08:25:12	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0x1ba7af…
10-28 11:54:11	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	7¢	$4	0xa48f29…
10-28 08:44:29	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	6¢	$5	0x2d47b5…
10-28 07:13:22	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	50¢	$26	0x175a47…
10-28 03:11:29	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x23a896…
10-27 19:00:57	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	35	83¢	$29	0xc60e12…
10-27 06:30:33	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	3¢	$2	0x7e82a7…
10-27 05:27:35	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x5ff608…
10-26 20:32:56	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xd080db…
10-26 20:32:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0xc44912…
10-26 20:31:23	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x126803…
10-26 20:31:12	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xd7d2ce…
10-26 13:26:00	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	66¢	$16	0xd9af26…
10-26 13:20:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x1ef5f8…
10-26 13:06:50	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x2d7cfe…
10-26 11:27:41	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$3	0x01ef7e…
10-26 06:40:18	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0xfc7b0d…
10-26 06:28:00	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0xe57294…
10-25 11:55:47	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $11M and $14M?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x8a354c…
10-25 01:20:56	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	52	1¢	$0	0x4d3400…
10-25 00:36:20	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	156	1¢	$1	0xfa72fb…
10-25 00:36:18	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xbf6862…
10-25 00:33:59	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x48da0d…
10-25 00:32:33	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	41	1¢	$0	0x757345…
10-25 00:28:00	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	380	0¢	$0	0x640d34…
10-24 10:38:26	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	37	83¢	$31	0xb0f0a8…
10-24 10:36:44	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x0ade6b…
10-24 03:38:45	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	108	0¢	$0	0x997e14…
10-24 03:21:26	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xd3f584…
10-24 03:21:26	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	177	0¢	$1	0x47f372…
10-24 03:21:26	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x23feb7…
10-23 23:34:50	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf74994…
10-23 23:34:50	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xdf55ae…
10-23 20:42:17	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x3627a2…
10-23 20:42:17	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x14bdfb…
10-23 19:29:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x785891…
10-23 19:29:50	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x9687ce…
10-23 19:29:23	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0xab7692…
10-23 19:26:00	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?	No	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0xf8c843…
10-23 19:20:24	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xced35c…
10-23 19:13:56	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0x320037…
10-23 19:08:17	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	134	4¢	$6	0x2dcbe8…
10-23 12:25:57	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than $8M?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x96aca6…
10-23 06:17:26	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than $8M?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x358b82…
10-23 06:17:15	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than $8M?	Yes	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0x42baa5…
10-23 06:16:12	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xf5f7c9…
10-23 06:04:47	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	92	0¢	$0	0x2ffe63…
10-22 18:34:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xeae152…
10-22 18:34:12	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	235	7¢	$16	0x58035b…
10-22 15:32:18	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $11M and $14M?	No	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x96024c…
10-22 15:30:57	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	195	5¢	$10	0x893636…
10-22 14:40:03	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than $8M?	Yes	BUY	170	2¢	$3	0xfb39ef…
10-22 09:58:54	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	11¢	$3	0x86caa3…
10-22 09:58:41	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	7¢	$2	0x3ca698…
10-22 07:08:47	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xfba66d…
10-22 07:08:29	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xbf0797…
10-22 05:42:22	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xfd9f1f…
10-22 05:42:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0xadf317…
10-22 05:41:59	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	5¢	$4	0x69baab…
10-21 14:27:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3f8e66…
10-21 14:26:17	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0x5c4257…
10-21 14:22:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xc500fa…
10-21 11:27:32	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xbddd0f…
10-21 10:19:50	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x57f777…
10-21 06:35:45	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x34d8aa…
10-21 05:35:32	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	188	13¢	$24	0x1b0d3e…
10-20 19:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x83f98b…
10-20 19:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xbb2a35…
10-20 19:30:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	37¢	$6	0x942aac…
10-20 19:30:08	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x6166cb…
10-20 19:21:56	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0x1dc32b…
10-20 19:20:38	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xec50bd…
10-20 16:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x0c8f54…
10-20 16:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf51eb9…
10-20 16:16:24	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0xe30278…
10-20 16:16:05	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x65fa50…
10-20 16:10:51	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x792e41…
10-20 16:10:48	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xc6cf62…
10-20 16:10:11	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x8b701c…
10-20 16:10:05	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xe251dc…
10-20 16:09:56	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	13¢	$15	0x31850a…
10-20 16:05:27	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0xebfb48…
10-20 16:04:56	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xd15e1b…
10-20 11:06:32	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	28¢	$4	0x7371e7…
10-20 11:05:20	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x6f139d…
10-20 09:12:47	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xde7197…
10-20 01:03:32	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0x98e94a…
10-20 01:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x472231…
10-20 00:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdbff8a…
10-20 00:57:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x39136e…
10-20 00:56:54	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0xefd82d…
10-20 00:55:14	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xf2ed13…
10-20 00:53:35	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x38e394…
10-20 00:53:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	53¢	$19	0x970a2d…
10-20 00:52:06	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0x7f316a…
10-20 00:51:42	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x43fd4f…
10-20 00:51:23	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	6¢	$2	0xe0f72c…
10-18 20:47:33	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	16¢	$7	0x2973d2…
10-18 20:47:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	66¢	$30	0x943ba4…