Gullible-Musician — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$165

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

3.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$754

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 05-19 21:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

57% 0% -$93

Crypto

32% 0% -$20

Other

11% 20% -$52

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	12	$423	9,058	9,500	-442	Yes	-$88	01-29 18:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 21:30 UTC	4	$228	148	147	+1	Down	-$12	02-10 21:42
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	1	$39	100	0	+100	No	-$39	02-02 00:21
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	2	$14	6,000	0	+6,000	Yes	-$14	01-31 00:23
will any of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	2	$14	9	9	+0	No	+$4	01-29 00:33
will josh safdie be nominated for best director at the 98th academy awards	1	$10	14	0	+14	Yes	+$4	01-21 14:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 21:15 UTC	2	$6	10	10	+0	Down	$0	02-10 21:24
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	1	$5	72	0	+72	No	-$5	05-16 21:12
bitcoin above 90k on january 21	1	$5	15	0	+15	No	-$5	01-21 14:18
will dwayne johnson be nominated for best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$2	36	0	+36	No	-$2	01-21 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Up	-$2	05-19 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$1	2	2	+0	Up	-$1	05-19 21:14
will paul mescal win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$1	33	0	+33	No	-$1	01-21 14:29
will weapons be nominated for best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	-$1	01-22 13:14
will in your dreams be nominated for best animated feature at the 98th academy awards	1	$1	7	0	+7	No	-$1	01-22 13:41
will avatar fire and ash be nominated for best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$1	30	0	+30	No	-$1	01-22 13:14
will wake up dead man a knives out mystery be nominated for best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$1	45	0	+45	No	-$1	01-22 13:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 21:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xfbd197…
05-19 21:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x85c710…
05-19 20:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5693d4…
05-19 20:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x741105…
05-16 21:12:09	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0x2e96cb…
02-10 21:42:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 21:30 UTC	Down	SELL	102	97¢	$99	0xaea39b…
02-10 21:41:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xd9b8b8…
02-10 21:35:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	45	21¢	$9	0xb49b8c…
02-10 21:30:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	46	44¢	$20	0x55e8a4…
02-10 21:24:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 21:15 UTC	Up	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x4b04a8…
02-10 21:24:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x7d13ad…
02-02 00:21:44	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x8cbd85…
01-31 00:23:10	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0x806a01…
01-30 12:12:06	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xb5372f…
01-29 18:11:56	will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	No	BUY	1,666	1¢	$10	0x92887d…
01-29 17:14:04	will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	No	BUY	1,215	1¢	$9	0x3b479e…
01-29 17:11:02	will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	No	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xef4878…
01-29 17:10:14	will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	No	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0xfdd9d8…
01-29 02:26:58	will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	No	SELL	9,500	2¢	$168	0xa40354…
01-29 02:04:32	will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	No	BUY	4,167	2¢	$100	0x2dd681…
01-29 00:41:52	will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	No	BUY	261	3¢	$9	0xcb53ae…
01-29 00:33:48	will any of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x1d8907…
01-28 19:24:08	will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	No	BUY	480	2¢	$11	0x29859a…
01-28 19:24:02	will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	No	BUY	600	2¢	$14	0x87e04e…
01-28 17:13:16	will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3bd757…
01-28 17:13:12	will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x82f138…
01-22 17:10:32	will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	No	BUY	255	39¢	$100	0x027f5f…
01-22 13:41:22	will in your dreams be nominated for best animated feature at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xec2a70…
01-22 13:14:54	will wake up dead man a knives out mystery be nominated for best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x3bef20…
01-22 13:14:42	will avatar fire and ash be nominated for best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xed17a3…
01-22 13:14:32	will weapons be nominated for best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8bdfde…
01-21 14:29:00	will paul mescal win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x05c2e6…
01-21 14:24:36	will josh safdie be nominated for best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x5e63b1…
01-21 14:24:08	will dwayne johnson be nominated for best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	36	6¢	$2	0x977fa3…
01-21 14:22:30	will any of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x06aa4d…
01-21 14:18:26	bitcoin above 90k on january 21	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xab8758…