Fond-Bet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$113

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

98.0%

Resolved

149

Trades

221

lifetime

Volume

$43.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$197

Open exposure

$104

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-08 14:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 133 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 98% -$133

Other

6% 100% +$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No		+106	$104	98¢	$104	+$0	11-08 14:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 64k on april 5	4	$618	311	311	+0	Yes	+$2	04-05 05:42
bitcoin above 66k on march 26	2	$609	305	305	+0	Yes	+$0	03-26 05:51
bitcoin above 70k on march 18	10	$607	309	309	+0	Yes	-$5	03-18 14:10
bitcoin above 54k on march 3	2	$604	303	303	+0	Yes	+$1	03-03 11:21
bitcoin above 76k on march 19	2	$604	303	303	+0	No	+$1	03-19 10:18
bitcoin above 74k on february 24	2	$599	300	300	+0	No	+$0	02-24 06:04
bitcoin above 76k on february 20	2	$597	299	299	+0	No	+$1	02-20 06:14
bitcoin above 60k on february 18	2	$594	298	298	+0	Yes	+$2	02-18 04:03
bitcoin above 76k on february 11	2	$589	295	295	+0	No	+$0	02-11 12:12
bitcoin above 74k on february 10	3	$580	294	294	+0	No	+$7	02-10 13:06
bitcoin above 88k on february 5	2	$573	287	287	+0	No	+$0	02-05 01:13
bitcoin above 84k on february 4	2	$570	287	287	+0	No	+$2	02-04 02:24
bitcoin above 88k on february 3	2	$568	285	285	+0	No	+$0	02-03 11:44
bitcoin above 88k on february 2	4	$566	285	285	+0	No	+$2	02-02 02:42
bitcoin above 86k on february 1	2	$561	283	283	+0	No	+$3	02-01 10:53
bitcoin above 94k on january 31	2	$558	280	280	+0	No	+$0	01-31 14:54
bitcoin above 94k on january 30	2	$555	279	279	+0	No	+$2	01-30 05:31
bitcoin above 94k on january 28	2	$551	277	277	+0	No	+$2	01-28 06:36
bitcoin above 94k on january 27	2	$549	275	275	+0	No	+$1	01-27 15:15
bitcoin above 100k on january 18	2	$542	272	272	+0	No	+$1	01-18 10:45
bitcoin above 96k on january 13	3	$532	270	270	+0	No	+$6	01-13 04:17
bitcoin above 96k on january 10	2	$520	263	263	+0	No	+$4	01-10 02:10
will ethereum dip to 1200 in july 2026 853	2	$447	229	229	+0	No	+$3	07-13 04:46
bitcoin above 56k on june 27 2026	2	$432	218	218	+0	Yes	+$2	06-27 05:41
bitcoin above 64k on june 26 2026	2	$429	216	216	+0	No	+$1	06-26 11:03
will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	2	$427	214	214	+0	No	+$1	06-24 23:59
bitcoin above 68k on june 18 2026	2	$418	210	210	+0	No	+$1	06-18 03:26
bitcoin above 74k on june 6 2026	2	$416	209	209	+0	No	+$0	06-05 14:19
bitcoin above 96k on january 6	4	$415	212	212	+0	No	+$3	01-06 09:15
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	2	$411	207	207	+0	No	+$1	05-28 00:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 14:33:57	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	65	98¢	$63	0x99981b…
11-08 14:33:42	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$41	0xe9969b…
11-07 14:51:48	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xbaf0d6…
11-05 02:26:34	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	104	98¢	$102	0xe6821a…
11-04 23:33:19	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$102	0x82e827…
11-04 10:45:15	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0xb8c8d3…
11-03 14:01:10	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x34264c…
10-31 11:49:24	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0xd98a17…
10-29 19:22:46	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x9fad6e…
10-29 19:00:22	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	156	98¢	$153	0x378251…
10-26 14:25:24	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	163	98¢	$160	0xa217e1…
10-26 13:48:48	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	162	99¢	$160	0x78da46…
10-26 01:11:50	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	97	98¢	$96	0xaf960c…
10-26 01:11:50	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	65	98¢	$63	0xaf8758…
10-25 14:52:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	159	99¢	$157	0x87b22e…
10-24 07:33:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	157	99¢	$156	0x1b8d38…
10-22 06:21:16	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	156	99¢	$155	0x6e4764…
10-16 00:58:22	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	155	99¢	$154	0x20fe45…
10-15 13:55:16	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	154	98¢	$152	0x7aa86b…
10-15 13:51:52	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	152	100¢	$152	0x2b8c6f…
10-15 07:06:59	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0x400219…
10-15 07:04:52	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	56	99¢	$56	0x99f851…
10-13 13:53:14	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x39f2fc…
10-13 06:16:49	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xb1aa54…
10-10 00:37:02	Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xc93561…
10-06 02:13:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	246	100¢	$246	0xb175c1…
10-02 03:25:32	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	246	100¢	$245	0xc59c36…
09-26 02:14:02	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in September?	No	BUY	246	100¢	$245	0xc84759…
09-23 05:12:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	245	100¢	$244	0x4e982a…
09-21 10:24:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	244	100¢	$244	0x713544…
09-19 00:01:39	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 September 14-20?	No	BUY	243	100¢	$243	0x7150a4…
09-17 03:46:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	243	100¢	$243	0x05edaa…
09-14 13:53:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	243	100¢	$243	0xe25abe…
09-14 01:29:10	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 7-13?	No	BUY	242	100¢	$242	0x00dfd5…
09-11 14:25:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 12?	Yes	BUY	242	100¢	$241	0x49578b…
09-08 23:59:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	241	100¢	$241	0xf6dcd2…
09-07 11:47:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on September 8?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc9eedc…
09-07 11:47:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 8?	No	SELL	141	100¢	$141	0x7bc471…
09-07 00:23:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 8?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x3654b9…
09-07 00:23:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on September 8?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9abff7…
09-05 00:24:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 6?	Yes	BUY	241	100¢	$241	0xd39efd…
09-03 12:55:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	241	100¢	$241	0x88a33b…
08-31 13:14:31	will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0x6fbc4f…
08-27 23:52:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 29?	Yes	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0x86bea3…
08-22 04:19:30	bitcoin above 72k on august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	240	100¢	$239	0x72a55b…
08-21 09:55:15	bitcoin above 72k on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	239	99¢	$237	0x303e8b…
08-19 13:21:16	ethereum above 1800 on august 20 2026	Yes	BUY	237	99¢	$236	0xa4c5fd…
08-18 01:16:07	ethereum above 1700 on august 18 2026	Yes	BUY	236	100¢	$236	0xc10692…
08-17 05:59:04	ethereum above 1700 on august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	235	100¢	$235	0x5b2679…
08-14 09:11:57	will ethereum reach 2100 august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	235	100¢	$234	0x5ff327…
08-13 08:58:30	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	234	100¢	$234	0x14d0d1…
08-12 00:39:58	ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	234	100¢	$234	0x76b7c1…
08-11 09:15:06	ethereum above 1700 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	234	100¢	$234	0xdea985…
08-07 01:26:03	will bitcoin reach 72k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	234	100¢	$233	0x4a0139…
08-06 06:13:54	ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	233	100¢	$233	0xd54f4b…
08-05 05:43:12	ethereum above 1700 on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	233	100¢	$233	0xe29b46…
08-03 13:36:44	ethereum above 2000 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	229	100¢	$228	0x10cdd0…
08-03 12:44:18	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 4?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x23e603…
08-01 23:46:27	will ethereum reach 2100 july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	232	100¢	$231	0xc7a826…
08-01 07:12:50	ethereum above 1700 on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	231	100¢	$230	0xbb4608…
07-30 00:04:18	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	No	BUY	230	100¢	$229	0xfa9cd7…
07-27 23:54:01	bitcoin above 68k on july 28 2026	No	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0xb8a664…
07-25 23:56:24	ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	229	100¢	$228	0xa8f0b4…
07-22 23:50:46	bitcoin above 72k on july 24 2026	No	BUY	227	100¢	$227	0x1ec7ee…
07-20 17:27:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 21?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$209	0xb57cfa…
07-20 17:20:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 21?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa2e2ea…
07-20 17:15:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 21?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xff2158…
07-20 04:27:30	ethereum above 1700 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	226	100¢	$226	0x2a18ec…
07-18 04:29:52	will ethereum reach 2200 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	226	100¢	$226	0xa8c460…
07-16 13:48:44	ethereum above 1700 on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	226	99¢	$225	0x5aee8f…
07-13 23:41:22	bitcoin above 68k on july 15 2026	No	BUY	224	100¢	$224	0x87b0f6…
07-13 04:46:26	will ethereum dip to 1200 in july 2026 853	No	SELL	229	98¢	$225	0x358773…
07-08 04:57:55	will ethereum dip to 1200 in july 2026 853	No	BUY	229	97¢	$222	0x57a868…
07-06 01:32:46	bitcoin above 56k on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0xfba6ab…
07-02 00:19:07	ethereum above 1400 on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0x360400…
07-01 00:47:46	ethereum above 1700 on july 1 2026	No	BUY	222	99¢	$221	0x3e2f39…
06-29 10:48:13	ethereum above 1400 on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	221	99¢	$218	0x450b86…
06-28 00:57:56	will bitcoin reach 66k june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	218	100¢	$217	0x66212f…
06-27 05:41:11	bitcoin above 56k on june 27 2026	Yes	SELL	218	100¢	$217	0x78c0a2…
06-26 23:39:52	bitcoin above 56k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	218	99¢	$215	0xdfb77d…
06-26 11:03:05	bitcoin above 64k on june 26 2026	No	SELL	216	100¢	$215	0x285689…
06-26 00:01:10	bitcoin above 64k on june 26 2026	No	BUY	216	99¢	$214	0x26e0b6…
06-25 00:03:56	ethereum above 1800 on june 25 2026	No	BUY	215	100¢	$214	0xfd8069…
06-24 23:59:34	will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	No	SELL	214	100¢	$214	0xd3c279…
06-20 00:25:59	will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	No	BUY	214	99¢	$213	0x0d9d33…
06-18 03:28:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 19?	No	BUY	213	99¢	$211	0x80bd7d…
06-18 03:26:46	bitcoin above 68k on june 18 2026	No	SELL	210	100¢	$210	0x49984e…
06-18 00:49:29	bitcoin above 68k on june 18 2026	No	BUY	210	99¢	$209	0x32772a…
06-13 00:28:51	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	210	99¢	$209	0x14c74c…
06-09 08:53:07	ethereum above 1900 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	209	100¢	$209	0xc8755b…
06-05 14:20:24	bitcoin above 70k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	209	100¢	$208	0x30feda…
06-05 14:19:49	bitcoin above 74k on june 6 2026	No	SELL	209	100¢	$208	0xc9e707…
06-04 00:31:27	bitcoin above 74k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	209	100¢	$208	0x82d246…
06-01 13:57:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	208	100¢	$207	0x932ea6…
05-28 00:00:42	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	207	99¢	$206	0x5ea845…
05-28 00:00:25	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	207	100¢	$206	0xbe6168…
05-18 07:59:18	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	207	99¢	$205	0xe00f86…
05-16 00:10:45	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	204	100¢	$204	0xab3394…
05-11 14:22:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	205	100¢	$205	0xde0e92…
05-11 10:32:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	205	100¢	$204	0xf48df6…