Triangular-Implication — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$493

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,112

lifetime

Volume

$20.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 06-05 18:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 94% $-493

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$552	575	+575	Down	$-552	05-11 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$548	554	+554	Up	+$6	05-10 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$548	554	+554	Down	+$6	05-09 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	4	$548	554	+554	Up	+$6	05-10 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$498	575	+575	Down	+$77	05-11 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$488	493	+493	Down	+$5	05-09 01:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$40	40	+40	open	—	05-15 15:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$40	40	+40	open	—	05-15 09:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$40	40	+40	open	—	05-15 13:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$40	40	+40	open	—	05-15 08:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$40	40	+40	open	—	05-15 10:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$40	40	+40	open	—	05-15 17:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$40	40	+40	open	—	05-15 17:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$40	40	+40	open	—	05-15 08:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$40	40	+40	open	—	05-15 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$40	40	+40	Up	+$0	05-13 02:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$40	40	+40	open	—	05-15 12:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$40	40	+40	open	—	05-15 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$40	40	+40	Down	+$0	05-13 01:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$40	40	+40	open	—	05-15 15:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$39	40	+40	open	—	05-15 13:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$39	40	+40	open	—	05-15 14:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$39	40	+40	open	—	05-15 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$39	40	+40	Down	+$1	05-13 06:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$39	40	+40	open	—	05-15 13:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$39	40	+40	open	—	05-15 14:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$38	40	+40	open	—	05-15 15:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$38	40	+40	open	—	05-15 10:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$38	40	+40	open	—	05-15 14:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$38	40	+40	open	—	05-15 15:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 18:08:45	eth updown 5m 1780682700	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb93e5b…
06-05 17:53:42	eth updown 5m 1780681800	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xac22f2…
06-05 17:49:45	eth updown 5m 1780681500	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc9134a…
06-05 17:23:16	eth updown 5m 1780680000	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x24efe2…
06-05 17:13:12	eth updown 5m 1780679400	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x55e010…
06-05 17:03:12	eth updown 5m 1780678800	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3a7d89…
06-05 16:53:16	eth updown 5m 1780678200	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x69ff1d…
06-05 16:48:12	eth updown 5m 1780677900	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe51025…
06-05 16:43:12	eth updown 5m 1780677600	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcde67b…
06-05 16:38:45	eth updown 5m 1780677300	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa587e2…
06-05 16:28:46	eth updown 5m 1780676700	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x9c05e2…
06-05 16:18:39	eth updown 5m 1780676100	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x268c83…
06-05 16:13:19	eth updown 5m 1780675800	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x54e81e…
06-05 16:08:40	eth updown 5m 1780675500	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x47ec40…
06-05 16:03:12	eth updown 5m 1780675200	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x40aae8…
06-05 15:59:45	eth updown 5m 1780674900	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6baa82…
06-05 15:54:12	eth updown 5m 1780674600	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x96f8c5…
06-05 15:48:12	eth updown 5m 1780674300	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe3f971…
06-05 15:43:12	eth updown 5m 1780674000	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x81fc5c…
06-05 15:38:13	eth updown 5m 1780673700	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xefe218…
06-05 11:23:45	eth updown 5m 1780658400	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7d6b1c…
06-05 10:48:48	eth updown 5m 1780656300	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6c3599…
06-05 10:33:18	eth updown 5m 1780655400	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb6ebdd…
06-05 10:08:15	eth updown 5m 1780653900	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7185d5…
06-05 10:04:46	eth updown 5m 1780653600	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd7dce6…
06-05 09:29:48	eth updown 5m 1780651500	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x17a1aa…
06-05 09:23:45	eth updown 5m 1780651200	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5f3f5d…
06-05 09:18:12	eth updown 5m 1780650900	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf7f8d5…
06-03 00:09:44	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xa14d6a…
06-03 00:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa89d79…
06-02 23:53:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf02078…
06-02 23:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x422c01…
06-02 23:28:15	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x9bbff4…
06-02 23:24:47	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x6cacaf…
06-02 23:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf02747…
06-02 23:13:23	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf255e4…
06-02 23:08:15	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x140f03…
06-02 23:03:50	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x23cc15…
06-02 22:58:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x64260d…
06-02 22:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4d1f44…
06-02 22:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6e5e6e…
06-02 22:44:42	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x288338…
06-02 22:39:41	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x07aea5…
06-02 22:33:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9ae6fe…
06-02 22:29:43	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd2e864…
06-02 22:13:16	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdc54a1…
06-02 22:08:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x063bad…
06-02 22:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6ff49b…
06-02 21:09:08	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x06fed3…
06-02 20:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x75ef9a…
06-02 20:43:56	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x51cd44…
06-02 20:23:15	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb3d054…
06-02 20:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x80d32a…
06-02 20:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x87eac4…
06-02 19:48:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc848e5…
06-02 19:43:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x99e988…
06-02 19:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc41409…
06-02 19:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x81535d…
06-02 19:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc5e73e…
06-02 18:53:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x845684…
06-02 17:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x75e420…
06-02 17:23:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5ae4b1…
06-02 17:08:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x4e5c2e…
06-02 17:03:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8d5e94…
06-02 16:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x644b26…
06-02 16:53:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9a71a1…
06-02 16:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x57ec71…
06-02 16:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x74a553…
06-02 16:29:43	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x560143…
06-02 16:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x30d28a…
06-02 16:23:16	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0a4229…
06-02 16:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x14bc18…
06-02 16:13:14	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x515380…
06-02 16:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x030f47…
06-02 16:04:43	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9b17dc…
06-02 15:58:14	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x00f839…
06-02 15:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd25345…
06-02 15:39:43	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x097be2…
06-02 15:33:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x69ae78…
06-02 15:28:15	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x111c40…
06-02 15:23:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8f3611…
06-02 15:18:15	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf780d3…
06-02 15:08:15	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x68310f…
06-02 15:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb0521c…
06-02 14:48:14	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf98349…
06-02 14:43:15	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2c4944…
06-02 14:38:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xadcb2a…
06-02 14:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xaecda7…
06-02 14:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x1f59ec…
06-02 14:28:16	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc21972…
06-02 14:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb5658d…
06-02 14:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe0c0b7…
06-02 14:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2546ed…
06-02 14:13:14	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc538e6…
06-02 14:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6ae409…
06-02 14:03:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4ec7c9…
06-02 14:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xca37cd…
06-02 13:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa2e34b…
06-02 13:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8d4465…
06-02 13:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xffdb59…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	995	$187.8K	54,182	06-03 00:09
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	993	$117.2K	25,295	06-03 00:09
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	992	$562.9K	25,831	06-03 00:09
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	991	$177.3K	52,487	06-03 00:09
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	990	$187.3K	28,170	06-03 00:08
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	983	$2.03K	8,183	06-03 00:09
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	973	$147.4K	20,049	06-03 00:08
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	972	$76.0K	10,665	06-03 00:09