Snappy-Thinking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$100

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.8%

Resolved

214

Trades

584

lifetime

Volume

$5.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 05-11 16:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 73% $-100

Other

28% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	2	$274	278	265	+13	open	—	04-28 06:57
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?	7	$141	125	122	+3	open	—	04-27 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on April 27?	4	$139	119	119	-0	open	—	04-27 04:15
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 27?	8	$122	104	103	+2	open	—	04-27 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	4	$80	126	0	+126	open	—	04-29 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	4	$76	119	0	+119	open	—	04-29 21:58
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on April 27?	3	$60	50	49	+1	open	—	04-27 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$33	56	56	+0	open	—	05-02 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$33	56	56	+0	open	—	05-02 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$30	34	0	+34	Up	$-30	05-09 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$30	35	0	+35	Up	+$5	05-08 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	1	$30	33	0	+33	Down	$-30	05-08 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	1	$30	34	0	+34	Down	+$4	05-08 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$30	35	0	+35	Up	$-30	05-08 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	1	$30	33	0	+33	Up	+$3	05-08 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$30	36	0	+36	Up	+$6	05-08 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$30	35	0	+35	Down	+$5	05-09 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$30	34	0	+34	Up	+$4	05-08 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$30	34	0	+34	Up	$-30	05-09 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$30	35	0	+35	Down	+$5	05-09 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$30	35	0	+35	Down	$-30	05-08 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$30	33	0	+33	Up	+$3	05-08 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$30	33	0	+33	Down	+$3	05-08 15:18
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 28?	3	$28	136	0	+136	open	—	04-27 17:26
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on April 27?	10	$25	111	0	+111	open	—	04-27 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$25	29	0	+29	Up	+$4	05-08 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	1	$25	28	0	+28	Up	+$3	05-07 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	1	$25	29	0	+29	Down	+$4	05-08 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$25	29	0	+29	Down	+$4	05-08 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	1	$25	28	0	+28	Up	+$3	05-08 02:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 16:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x1a471d…
05-11 16:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	92¢	$16	0xe73364…
05-11 15:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xd1e8cf…
05-11 15:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x4f9eff…
05-11 15:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xd9aca5…
05-11 14:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xc548f4…
05-11 14:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xd9f957…
05-11 14:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x8e6fd4…
05-11 14:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xa569c6…
05-11 13:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x03af1d…
05-11 13:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x4e81e8…
05-11 13:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x7cf876…
05-11 13:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0x63d547…
05-11 13:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xcb4f8b…
05-11 12:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x411917…
05-11 12:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x454dd8…
05-11 08:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x80b926…
05-11 07:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x83e32a…
05-11 07:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0xad8203…
05-11 03:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x0fccfa…
05-11 03:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xa4fbea…
05-11 02:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x439ee5…
05-11 02:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x517944…
05-11 02:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xf94faf…
05-11 02:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xcd17d3…
05-11 01:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xb24cad…
05-11 01:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x7f4cd0…
05-11 01:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x3f51a2…
05-11 01:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x8bc3bf…
05-11 00:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xd51df8…
05-11 00:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xb9d03a…
05-10 11:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x92c057…
05-10 10:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xc578e9…
05-10 06:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x075ac2…
05-10 05:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x430d21…
05-10 04:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x3a934b…
05-10 01:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x7e991f…
05-09 22:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0xe0eb6d…
05-09 17:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xd37a33…
05-09 14:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0xd2d082…
05-09 10:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x59a91b…
05-09 07:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x3130ad…
05-09 04:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x3425e2…
05-08 22:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0xb83bb7…
05-08 18:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x69db32…
05-08 15:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0xeadae3…
05-08 15:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xfb075a…
05-08 15:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x98665d…
05-08 14:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x1db843…
05-08 14:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0xdc4a60…
05-08 14:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0xb44a77…
05-08 14:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x5147a9…
05-08 13:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	92¢	$16	0xff8dde…
05-08 13:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x62d7b5…
05-08 13:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x4f7dc8…
05-08 13:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xc9b6b3…
05-08 13:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x26b879…
05-08 07:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xcca269…
05-08 06:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xeb971e…
05-08 03:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xe5033e…
05-08 03:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xa81f60…
05-08 03:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x0af704…
05-08 02:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xfeff90…
05-08 02:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x3a391f…
05-08 01:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x65e4da…
05-08 01:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x6d9d65…
05-08 01:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x23bb9a…
05-08 01:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x186ca7…
05-07 23:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x75d70d…
05-07 23:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xf061b3…
05-07 19:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xd7e29b…
05-07 18:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x7e52d3…
05-07 18:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x2fade0…
05-07 17:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xa8ae6b…
05-07 17:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x8a60ff…
05-07 17:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x2b0888…
05-07 17:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xf3b853…
05-07 16:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x1bb848…
05-07 16:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xa32826…
05-07 16:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x6a6e97…
05-07 15:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xab6c21…
05-07 15:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xe34881…
05-07 15:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xf644d2…
05-07 15:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x077273…
05-07 15:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x4e38d6…
05-07 14:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x27a91b…
05-07 14:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x731443…
05-07 13:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x38ef93…
05-07 13:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x792582…
05-07 08:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xac9c55…
05-07 07:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xe82aac…
05-07 04:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xc537ef…
05-07 04:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xe65523…
05-07 04:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x17da8c…
05-07 03:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xb8312e…
05-07 02:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x0d8aa6…
05-07 02:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x7967bb…
05-07 01:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x249c0d…
05-07 01:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x5d4e6e…
05-07 01:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x7cdbf0…