Repulsive-Oat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,456

lifetime

Volume

$16.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 06-15 01:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

98% — —

Other

2% 50% $-12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 488 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$237	159	159	+0	open	—	05-21 00:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$215	200	200	+0	open	—	05-19 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$182	100	100	+0	open	—	05-20 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$174	100	100	+0	open	—	05-19 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	6	$169	223	100	+123	open	—	05-21 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	4	$167	200	200	+0	open	—	05-19 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$161	100	100	+0	open	—	05-19 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	5	$159	100	100	+0	open	—	05-19 23:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$156	100	100	+0	open	—	05-19 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	3	$148	100	100	+0	open	—	05-19 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$142	100	100	+0	open	—	05-19 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$138	100	100	+0	open	—	05-19 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	4	$135	207	207	+0	open	—	05-20 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	5	$135	100	100	+0	open	—	05-19 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	5	$134	109	109	+0	open	—	05-20 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	5	$128	100	100	+0	open	—	05-20 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	3	$124	200	200	+0	open	—	05-19 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$123	100	100	+0	open	—	05-19 22:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	4	$123	100	100	+0	open	—	05-20 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$121	100	100	+0	open	—	05-20 00:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$113	100	100	+0	open	—	05-21 01:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$112	100	100	+0	open	—	05-21 01:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$112	100	100	+0	open	—	05-19 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	4	$110	100	100	+0	open	—	05-20 01:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$110	100	100	+0	open	—	05-20 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$109	80	80	+0	open	—	05-21 00:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$108	90	90	+0	open	—	05-19 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$107	100	100	+0	open	—	05-19 23:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$95	104	104	+0	open	—	05-20 00:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$94	100	100	+0	open	—	05-20 02:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 01:27:16	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 btts	No	BUY	81	52¢	$42	0x4f1dcf…
06-14 23:09:06	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	157	50¢	$78	0xda23ec…
06-14 23:09:06	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x3c7ab5…
06-14 18:36:15	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 2pt5	Germany	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x6d1369…
06-14 16:36:04	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 2pt5	Germany	BUY	38	71¢	$27	0x247af2…
06-14 16:36:00	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 2pt5	Germany	BUY	12	71¢	$8	0x65733e…
06-14 14:19:03	wta vekic raducan 2026 06 14	Donna Vekic	SELL	41	83¢	$34	0x1a902f…
06-14 14:14:15	wta vekic raducan 2026 06 14	Donna Vekic	BUY	41	81¢	$33	0xa39cb7…
06-05 18:19:19	btc updown 5m 1780683300	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x40635c…
06-02 04:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x52c72e…
06-02 04:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xec12a2…
06-02 04:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	48	4¢	$2	0xf0f314…
06-02 04:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xaa1778…
06-02 04:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	48	72¢	$35	0xf7385c…
06-01 02:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	108	8¢	$9	0x0e14af…
06-01 02:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	108	10¢	$11	0x2e157a…
06-01 02:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	69¢	$8	0xfbbd68…
06-01 02:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xc7d0c1…
06-01 02:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	125	7¢	$9	0x3ab9b1…
06-01 02:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	125	23¢	$29	0x9b0f81…
06-01 02:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0xdac738…
06-01 01:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xb61437…
06-01 01:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0xa4096a…
05-28 03:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8d0d55…
05-28 03:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	13	10¢	$1	0xc6a1e3…
05-28 03:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x1c98b3…
05-28 03:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x3248a9…
05-28 03:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x2c4f5a…
05-28 03:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x92707a…
05-28 03:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x96d375…
05-28 03:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x42209d…
05-28 03:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x03c9f7…
05-28 03:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x22f762…
05-28 02:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x7a60b1…
05-28 02:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x6e5663…
05-28 02:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	56	39¢	$22	0xf6f191…
05-28 02:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	56	28¢	$16	0x2d14a2…
05-28 02:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	28	60¢	$17	0xa2d9d8…
05-28 02:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	28	57¢	$16	0x6aaeaf…
05-26 17:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x923fe7…
05-26 17:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xb820a8…
05-26 17:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	99	9¢	$9	0x297292…
05-26 17:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xab9127…
05-26 17:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	31	30¢	$9	0x1f545a…
05-26 17:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0xdf71cb…
05-26 17:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0xbf696f…
05-26 17:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2d1600…
05-26 17:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	24	30¢	$7	0x0c0910…
05-26 17:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x09a459…
05-24 14:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xde9f6d…
05-24 04:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x791f73…
05-24 04:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x60e5ff…
05-24 04:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	9	17¢	$1	0x305a42…
05-24 04:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x6a216e…
05-24 04:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	12	39¢	$5	0x79412e…
05-24 04:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0x23f8ba…
05-24 04:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xea29b8…
05-24 04:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xcc33b1…
05-24 04:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$4	0x63f63b…
05-24 04:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	40	13¢	$5	0x55e1fc…
05-24 04:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0xf93e5b…
05-24 04:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0x184525…
05-24 04:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	30¢	$8	0x695e38…
05-24 04:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x0c8392…
05-24 03:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	48	55¢	$26	0x2a6f4a…
05-24 03:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x930287…
05-24 03:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	26	87¢	$22	0x624844…
05-24 03:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x8b4568…
05-24 03:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x2e99fb…
05-24 03:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x415e8b…
05-24 03:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xb1987f…
05-23 21:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xa30e0d…
05-23 21:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xcbc0b7…
05-23 21:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xf21150…
05-23 21:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x1489ce…
05-23 21:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xaa2390…
05-23 21:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xabced5…
05-23 21:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x2bcbf4…
05-23 21:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xcf3376…
05-23 21:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xaf5016…
05-23 21:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x7bd3e1…
05-23 20:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xdb2f55…
05-23 20:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x9bf55a…
05-23 20:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x4a2857…
05-23 20:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xcb0f36…
05-23 20:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x82fb33…
05-23 20:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xe9f895…
05-23 20:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x562b87…
05-23 18:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x404d27…
05-23 18:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	30¢	$5	0x1ef7a5…
05-23 18:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xab12e6…
05-23 18:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x06175e…
05-23 18:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x55754b…
05-23 18:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xccefe0…
05-23 18:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xd98a63…
05-23 18:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xe9beef…
05-23 18:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0xa4b843…
05-23 18:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0x911d3a…
05-23 18:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xb3cd95…
05-23 18:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xf0f856…