Ethical-Carry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

282

Trades

283

lifetime

Volume

$3.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-31 17:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 222 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$4

Politics

6% 90% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$23	24	+24	No	-$23	05-15 04:42
Will Trump Leave China on May 14?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-14 04:49
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-12 17:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-30 06:42
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 29?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-29 10:15
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-28 01:22
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-27 11:48
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on April 26?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-27 01:16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-26 08:59
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 25?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-25 10:00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-24 07:42
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 23 2026 27c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 22:37
highest temperature in busan on april 23 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:11
highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 00:42
highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 20corhigher	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-22 09:18
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 23:47
highest temperature in busan on april 21 2026 21c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-21 09:12
highest temperature in toronto on april 20 2026 5c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-21 01:11
highest temperature in seoul on april 20 2026 15c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-20 12:02
highest temperature in denver on april 19 2026 72 73f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-20 02:27
highest temperature in busan on april 19 2026 25c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 10:43
highest temperature in denver on april 18 2026 64 65f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-19 00:47
highest temperature in wuhan on april 18 2026 29c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 11:16
highest temperature in san francisco on april 17 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 01:34
highest temperature in moscow on april 17 2026 12c	1	$22	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 15:53
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 18c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:38
highest temperature in mexico city on april 16 2026 28c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-17 01:37
highest temperature in karachi on april 16 2026 32c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 15:06
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 08:12
highest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 86 87f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 03:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 17:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x62c2b6…
10-31 09:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc95b51…
10-30 09:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9964dc…
10-29 08:39:17	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xba63ff…
10-28 05:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x480e28…
10-27 08:12:50	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f511b…
10-26 09:05:50	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a724c…
10-22 10:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x34a114…
10-20 04:47:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc49cbc…
10-19 08:38:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64e5d4…
10-18 08:57:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a088d…
10-17 09:07:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x906a67…
10-16 08:48:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfff95f…
10-15 08:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x611de7…
10-14 08:33:32	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x547efa…
10-13 08:15:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9af007…
10-12 08:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x240e59…
10-11 07:26:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xedddc6…
10-08 08:12:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0fd98e…
10-07 13:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb3fae…
10-06 07:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a613d…
10-04 10:17:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a228f…
10-03 05:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x963236…
10-02 07:31:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1236a8…
10-01 08:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f781c…
09-30 12:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf81908…
09-29 09:16:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x66b341…
09-28 09:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x614902…
09-27 08:28:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x881b7f…
09-25 08:19:56	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa655b4…
09-24 08:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1bfce9…
09-23 05:24:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcdad2b…
09-22 07:24:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0ca75…
09-21 08:32:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x524561…
09-20 05:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ad45b…
09-19 07:54:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x96332c…
09-18 01:24:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0a94e…
09-17 03:52:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaaa169…
09-16 07:33:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x75f573…
09-15 08:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x511c46…
09-14 08:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x886756…
09-12 10:15:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf9732c…
09-11 07:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe49fc4…
09-10 02:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb38bad…
09-09 01:12:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x830f03…
09-08 01:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe37026…
09-07 08:08:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d912d…
09-06 17:06:18	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc4f173…
09-06 08:59:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdfe672…
09-05 09:44:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0c0321…
09-04 09:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe45a7…
09-03 09:06:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ab9cc…
09-01 09:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x127ed0…
08-30 07:17:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2d492…
08-29 07:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4072a7…
08-28 06:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x475674…
08-27 07:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb4a396…
08-26 08:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd29c0c…
08-25 07:18:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce155b…
08-24 09:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8554a1…
08-23 14:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x15f912…
08-22 07:14:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x024680…
08-21 03:47:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0eff0d…
08-20 08:24:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe19de3…
08-19 08:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x55138d…
08-18 04:13:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x142180…
08-17 07:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef868c…
08-16 10:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x76d110…
08-15 09:35:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49738b…
08-14 06:34:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcdbb6c…
08-13 07:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x101896…
08-12 07:28:01	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x11e95c…
08-11 03:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa27a9c…
08-10 00:42:37	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe36116…
08-09 01:13:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19d7d5…
08-08 07:14:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2358fa…
08-07 00:36:05	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb06c50…
08-06 00:33:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0dc949…
08-05 07:40:59	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd1cb1…
08-04 07:42:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb2db55…
08-03 01:22:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ba0e8…
08-02 01:18:38	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x56a08f…
08-01 00:38:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe8d3c…
07-31 07:48:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf6b15a…
07-30 06:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c81bc…
07-29 06:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x509f98…
07-28 05:46:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9bcda7…
07-27 07:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x50e0f9…
07-26 06:16:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x269871…
07-25 00:59:13	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 100°F or higher on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x806b1d…
07-24 08:40:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf8d9aa…
07-23 02:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd04c86…
07-22 01:42:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa3106…
07-20 23:44:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2cdad…
07-20 02:16:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc40efd…
07-18 22:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc98fe6…
07-17 23:59:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b926c…
07-17 06:22:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f24e7…
07-16 07:45:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe2634f…
07-15 21:51:35	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x429f8c…