Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$805

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

15.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,109

lifetime

Volume

$5.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 04-14 10:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Politics

50% 6% -$338

Other

23% 8% -$188

Sports

14% 29% -$118

Crypto

7% 6% -$103

Tech

6% 0% -$59

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	27	$979	148,135	93,735	+54,400	Yes	-$156	04-08 05:00
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	22	$683	157,650	157,650	+0	Yes	-$58	04-08 21:09
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	45	$307	5,537	8,367	-2,830	Yes	+$32	04-09 16:13
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	2	$216	115	115	+0	No	-$4	04-08 03:41
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	7	$200	4,611	4,636	-25	No	-$9	04-01 19:21
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	4	$179	292	350	-58	Yes	+$1	04-02 23:49
netanyahu out by march 31 854	5	$145	50	96	-45	No	$0	03-29 23:59
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	9	$128	5,103	5,103	+0	Yes	-$12	04-14 10:06
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	16	$120	297	297	+0	No	+$40	04-05 05:09
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	6	$108	15,247	15,247	+0	Yes	-$14	04-09 11:50
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	14	$95	124	124	+0	Yes	-$13	04-03 22:10
will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	26	$76	353	411	-58	No	+$17	04-04 23:21
military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	26	$75	1,295	1,295	+0	Yes	-$4	03-29 15:13
bitcoin above 62k on march 30	29	$73	1,935	1,935	+0	Yes	-$9	03-29 19:37
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$72	34,167	0	+34,167	No	-$72	03-18 15:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	5	$64	683	683	-0	No	-$4	04-10 16:50
Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?	8	$56	3,521	3,521	-0	Yes	$0	04-13 10:22
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 31 2026	12	$53	764	250	+513	Yes	-$30	03-31 01:13
will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$50	1,973	0	+1,973	No	-$50	03-21 05:04
Military action against Iran ends by April 29, 2026?	14	$44	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$4	04-12 09:21
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	13	$43	684	684	+0	Yes	-$7	03-30 02:10
bra2 lon cui 2026 04 01 draw	9	$41	851	851	+0	Yes	$0	03-30 09:32
nba 2025 26 3pm leader luka doncic	21	$40	792	1,456	-664	Yes	-$7	04-09 17:50
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	31	$38	977	977	+0	Yes	-$2	04-02 04:35
cs2 vit red9 2026 04 13	3	$37	486	473	+13	Vitality	-$1	04-13 12:52
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	2	$36	200	200	+0	Yes	-$4	04-13 10:18
cs2 ts7 tl1 2026 04 13	2	$36	125	122	+3	Spirit	-$2	04-13 12:16
will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	20	$36	860	860	+0	No	-$5	03-24 08:27
bitcoin above 62k on march 31	2	$35	301	301	+0	Yes	-$5	03-29 16:23
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$35	33,333	0	+33,333	No	-$35	03-18 15:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-14 10:06:19	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	4,993	1¢	$40	0x788229…
04-14 09:21:29	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x13fbf8…
04-13 12:52:53	cs2 vit red9 2026 04 13	RED Canids	SELL	473	4¢	$18	0x3e9584…
04-13 12:42:17	cs2 vit red9 2026 04 13	RED Canids	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x0d29db…
04-13 12:42:15	cs2 vit red9 2026 04 13	RED Canids	BUY	466	4¢	$19	0x41e408…
04-13 12:20:59	ethereum above 2100 on april 13	No	SELL	58	2¢	$1	0x92ec04…
04-13 12:18:25	ethereum above 2100 on april 13	No	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x5a44a2…
04-13 12:16:53	cs2 ts7 tl1 2026 04 13	Liquid	SELL	122	14¢	$17	0x6b8046…
04-13 12:12:19	cs2 ts7 tl1 2026 04 13	Liquid	BUY	125	15¢	$19	0x16c9c3…
04-13 11:09:57	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x627237…
04-13 10:22:07	Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,995	1¢	$16	0x07423d…
04-13 10:18:43	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	No	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0x8375c8…
04-13 10:08:19	Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	338	1¢	$3	0x4da432…
04-13 10:08:15	Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x0921be…
04-13 10:05:27	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x7c451d…
04-13 10:03:05	bitcoin above 64k on april 16	No	SELL	93	2¢	$2	0x0c7e2a…
04-13 10:02:51	Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	265	1¢	$2	0x4f28b9…
04-13 10:00:15	highest temperature in chicago on april 13 2026 74forhigher	No	SELL	56	6¢	$4	0xb9b5af…
04-13 09:48:27	highest temperature in chicago on april 13 2026 74forhigher	No	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xd1747a…
04-13 09:46:53	Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	758	1¢	$6	0x0e6bf6…
04-13 09:43:23	highest temperature in chicago on april 13 2026 74forhigher	No	BUY	67	6¢	$4	0x019891…
04-13 09:37:57	Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	64	1¢	$1	0xd32aef…
04-13 09:33:51	Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,021	1¢	$8	0xaa2ce1…
04-13 09:32:07	Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,500	1¢	$20	0xd64a69…
04-13 09:18:11	bitcoin above 64k on april 16	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x7bc37f…
04-13 08:12:57	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x5fa839…
04-13 07:23:27	bitcoin above 68k on april 13	No	SELL	1,161	1¢	$15	0xbf7d50…
04-13 07:19:07	bitcoin above 68k on april 13	No	BUY	1,250	1¢	$18	0x04fa9c…
04-13 05:55:25	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 7 13	No	SELL	265	1¢	$2	0x7f8695…
04-13 05:39:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x7764d9…
04-13 01:51:29	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 7 13	No	SELL	195	1¢	$2	0xe59499…
04-12 23:23:09	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 7 13	No	SELL	333	1¢	$3	0x0a5c23…
04-12 22:43:29	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	250	5¢	$13	0xc9c0d7…
04-12 22:27:53	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	250	7¢	$17	0x4004f7…
04-12 22:07:47	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xc1fc66…
04-12 21:17:49	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x39797c…
04-12 10:42:51	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 7 13	No	SELL	207	1¢	$3	0x0a414e…
04-12 09:21:51	Military action against Iran ends by April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0x3d9e11…
04-12 09:06:47	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 7 13	No	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x2032ea…
04-12 08:51:59	Military action against Iran ends by April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	88	1¢	$1	0x338511…
04-12 08:48:21	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 7 13	No	BUY	158	2¢	$3	0xccc8a3…
04-12 08:36:43	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 7 13	No	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x7d0b90…
04-12 08:12:13	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 7 13	No	BUY	194	2¢	$4	0xe0bb84…
04-12 07:53:25	Military action against Iran ends by April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	593	1¢	$9	0x25e2a9…
04-12 07:49:03	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 7 13	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xdf7fe0…
04-12 07:37:11	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 7 13	No	BUY	201	2¢	$4	0xd63a00…
04-12 07:12:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0x90aaf7…
04-12 07:01:23	Military action against Iran ends by April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	348	1¢	$5	0xd58f26…
04-12 06:53:51	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 7 13	No	SELL	95	2¢	$2	0x878e47…
04-12 06:49:05	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x79a5a4…
04-12 06:22:27	Military action against Iran ends by April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	45	1¢	$0	0xc05fc7…
04-12 06:03:43	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 7 13	No	BUY	94	2¢	$2	0xae2caa…
04-12 05:52:25	Military action against Iran ends by April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	70	1¢	$1	0x6cfff0…
04-12 05:30:31	Military action against Iran ends by April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	75	1¢	$1	0x7a6051…
04-12 05:21:53	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 7 13	No	BUY	121	2¢	$2	0xeb7191…
04-12 05:15:55	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 7 13	No	BUY	184	2¢	$4	0x501ba5…
04-12 05:06:05	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 7 13	No	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0x7c94a7…
04-12 04:52:05	Military action against Iran ends by April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	556	1¢	$6	0x40084b…
04-12 04:41:07	Military action against Iran ends by April 27, 2026?	No	SELL	73	1¢	$1	0x0ed84e…
04-12 03:43:35	Military action against Iran ends by April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0xf03524…
04-12 03:21:51	Military action against Iran ends by April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x04fea0…
04-12 02:31:47	Military action against Iran ends by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	73	2¢	$1	0x3bbc96…
04-12 02:30:53	Military action against Iran ends by April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xbcc40c…
04-12 02:24:25	Military action against Iran ends by April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	1,900	1¢	$19	0x05f5bb…
04-12 02:21:23	Military action against Iran ends by April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x57597c…
04-12 02:13:47	Military action against Iran ends by April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x98d974…
04-11 18:00:51	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 7 13	No	BUY	102	2¢	$2	0x3600a6…
04-11 17:51:15	bitcoin above 68k on april 13	No	SELL	44	2¢	$1	0xd94aac…
04-11 17:42:31	bitcoin above 68k on april 13	No	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0x66b9fb…
04-11 13:35:53	ethereum above 2200 on april 11	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xe4ee9b…
04-11 13:35:53	ethereum above 2200 on april 11	No	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x82c9de…
04-11 13:12:21	bitcoin above 70k on april 12	No	SELL	554	2¢	$12	0xa9bf37…
04-11 12:47:03	bitcoin above 70k on april 12	No	BUY	596	2¢	$10	0x66365f…
04-10 16:50:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	5¢	$3	0x27d592…
04-10 16:40:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x144c65…
04-10 16:40:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	240	4¢	$11	0x65f631…
04-10 16:07:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	376	4¢	$17	0xec5d85…
04-10 15:19:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	683	5¢	$34	0xccfd65…
04-10 04:19:33	bitcoin above 64k on april 13	No	SELL	147	2¢	$3	0xe843e2…
04-09 23:54:31	nba ind bkn 2026 04 09 total 224pt5	Under	SELL	30	64¢	$19	0xfbcb8a…
04-09 23:42:39	nba 2025 26 rpg leader nikola jokic	No	SELL	87	0¢	$0	0x3f7b4c…
04-09 23:35:53	nba 2025 26 rpg leader nikola jokic	No	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x374b02…
04-09 18:25:33	bitcoin above 64k on april 13	No	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x1c993e…
04-09 17:50:51	nba 2025 26 3pm leader luka doncic	No	SELL	492	1¢	$3	0xb874a1…
04-09 17:37:41	nba 2025 26 3pm leader luka doncic	No	SELL	60	1¢	$0	0xd97c26…
04-09 16:55:31	nba 2025 26 apg leader nikola jokic	No	SELL	219	1¢	$2	0xc46ef6…
04-09 16:53:23	bitcoin above 64k on april 13	No	BUY	201	2¢	$3	0xf7f4c8…
04-09 16:49:33	nba 2025 26 3pm leader luka doncic	No	SELL	37	1¢	$0	0x9ee54f…
04-09 16:13:55	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	No	SELL	120	2¢	$2	0xfb7c67…
04-09 16:13:55	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	No	SELL	42	2¢	$1	0xd4db4b…
04-09 16:13:55	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	No	SELL	989	2¢	$18	0x23b50e…
04-09 15:59:53	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	No	SELL	74	2¢	$1	0x945299…
04-09 15:55:07	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	No	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0xcb9c3e…
04-09 15:54:23	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	No	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0xaf6ada…
04-09 15:39:29	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	No	SELL	76	2¢	$1	0xf87430…
04-09 15:39:29	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	No	SELL	76	2¢	$1	0x10272b…
04-09 15:15:35	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	No	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x010a4a…
04-09 15:09:49	nba ind bkn 2026 04 09 total 224pt5	Under	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xec7b17…
04-09 14:30:49	nba 2025 26 3pm leader luka doncic	No	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x1562f3…
04-09 14:01:37	nba 2025 26 3pm leader luka doncic	No	SELL	110	1¢	$1	0x49ed3e…