Shy-Expectation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

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Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

79 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$189 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 05-06 07:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 53% +$6

Other

8% 0% -$6

Sports

6% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	4	$19	14	14	+1	Up	+$8	04-28 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	6	$17	23	13	+10	Up	+$3	04-28 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	8	$17	22	21	+1	Up	$0	04-28 09:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	8	$15	49	46	+3	Down	-$5	04-28 09:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$14	20	19	+1	Down	+$4	04-28 09:41
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	3	$12	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	04-28 09:55
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$12	12	12	+0	No	$0	04-28 09:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	5	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 07:35
Madrid Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Arthur Fils	6	$10	122	118	+3	Arthur Fils	-$2	04-28 10:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	3	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	04-28 10:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	6	$9	11	11	+1	Up	+$2	04-28 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	3	$8	6	6	+0	Up	$0	04-28 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	3	$6	7	0	+7	Down	+$1	04-28 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	4	$6	32	2	+30	Down	-$2	04-28 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	3	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	04-28 10:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$4	4,000	0	+4,000	No	-$4	04-28 09:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	3	$4	3	3	+0	Up	$0	04-28 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	-$1	04-28 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$2	13	0	+13	Up	-$2	04-28 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	-$2	04-28 08:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	04-28 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	3	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	04-28 08:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 07:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x431964…
05-06 07:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf8d87b…
05-06 07:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa13747…
05-06 07:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x361435…
05-06 07:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xfb8768…
04-28 10:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x05b954…
04-28 10:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x05e4b7…
04-28 10:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x93721e…
04-28 10:18:12	Madrid Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Arthur Fils	Tomas Etcheverry	SELL	21	4¢	$1	0x01a25f…
04-28 10:16:50	Madrid Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Arthur Fils	Tomas Etcheverry	SELL	58	4¢	$2	0x8aa8a1…
04-28 10:16:26	Madrid Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Arthur Fils	Tomas Etcheverry	BUY	82	5¢	$4	0x1a3137…
04-28 10:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0xa02302…
04-28 10:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	81¢	$4	0x0742e2…
04-28 10:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x283d8c…
04-28 10:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd91078…
04-28 10:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$1	0xd84966…
04-28 10:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xa21602…
04-28 10:00:48	Madrid Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Arthur Fils	Tomas Etcheverry	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x6359ee…
04-28 10:00:40	Madrid Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Arthur Fils	Tomas Etcheverry	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0x7d5cb9…
04-28 10:00:20	Madrid Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Arthur Fils	Tomas Etcheverry	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xbf69c7…
04-28 09:57:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0xbaafb3…
04-28 09:56:24	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0x704edf…
04-28 09:56:20	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0x8c9048…
04-28 09:56:02	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xe6a82a…
04-28 09:55:10	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xe5a668…
04-28 09:55:04	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xfc3966…
04-28 09:54:46	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x603ef5…
04-28 09:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0xe9dd9b…
04-28 09:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x2c1f8e…
04-28 09:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xd940ce…
04-28 09:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x157bc9…
04-28 09:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	41¢	$0	0xff05f7…
04-28 09:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	34¢	$2	0xc487d9…
04-28 09:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0xcf856b…
04-28 09:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x899d9b…
04-28 09:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xcccef6…
04-28 09:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xc28f26…
04-28 09:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x77968d…
04-28 09:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0xe630bb…
04-28 09:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x9d9327…
04-28 09:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x65c29b…
04-28 09:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	13	18¢	$2	0x8fa199…
04-28 09:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x967fd8…
04-28 09:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	19	47¢	$9	0xd73c76…
04-28 09:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x838422…
04-28 09:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x404283…
04-28 09:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x84e6a4…
04-28 09:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x016e6f…
04-28 09:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0xeac02d…
04-28 09:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x05d179…
04-28 09:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x24df17…
04-28 09:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x1fd013…
04-28 09:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x90e171…
04-28 09:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xfa6706…
04-28 08:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x06f0fd…
04-28 08:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5456af…
04-28 08:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9f88e5…
04-28 08:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xa05049…
04-28 08:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xdbae22…
04-28 08:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x2fc7ed…
04-28 08:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x5eed5a…
04-28 08:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xefb20a…
04-28 08:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xcfa4d3…
04-28 08:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x317f2b…
04-28 08:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xe9dc4e…
04-28 08:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x1192cc…
04-28 08:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd67446…
04-28 08:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x52dc0c…
04-28 08:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x933ab2…
04-28 08:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x92a9ba…
04-28 08:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x7ebb56…
04-28 08:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x14139c…
04-28 08:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x7d1ed6…
04-28 08:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xd996c9…
04-28 08:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xb3f3c0…
04-28 08:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0x038e48…
04-28 08:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xc9ae8f…
04-28 08:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x76348c…
04-28 08:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf76bd3…