Profitable-Capitulation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$500

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$140

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 06-05 22:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Sports

66% 64% +$14

Other

34% 64% +$486

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	2	$858	1,214	0	+1,214	Spurs	+$216	05-12 21:06
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	2	$854	1,186	0	+1,186	open	—	05-03 13:11
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	1	$830	1,065	0	+1,065	Spurs	+$234	05-06 19:07
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$745	866	0	+866	Thunder	+$121	05-05 19:23
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$735	1,097	0	+1,097	open	—	05-18 12:58
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shenzhen Leopards	2	$678	401	401	+0	open	—	05-18 21:03
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	2	$578	696	0	+696	Timberwolves	$-578	05-04 15:41
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$248	399	0	+399	open	—	05-25 13:55
Madrid Open, Qualification: Zsombor Piros vs Tomas Barrios	2	$239	141	140	+1	open	—	04-20 20:34
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty	1	$237	360	0	+360	open	—	05-26 15:55
ufc mat ale35 2026 06 06	1	$236	299	0	+299	open	—	06-05 22:44
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	3	$223	640	0	+640	Spurs	$-223	05-07 18:20
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruud	2	$214	140	140	+0	open	—	05-19 04:33
Madrid Open, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Christopher O'Connell	2	$175	106	105	+1	open	—	04-20 19:37
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	2	$166	461	0	+461	Timberwolves	+$295	05-10 17:08
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$162	198	0	+198	Sean Strickland	$-162	05-09 21:35
dota2 z10 pr1 2026 04 20	2	$148	100	100	+0	open	—	04-20 21:30
Shanxi Loongs vs. Zhejiang Lions	2	$147	212	0	+212	Zhejiang Lions	$-147	05-09 22:21
UFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski (Middleweight, Prelims)	1	$146	239	0	+239	open	—	05-15 17:22
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Antonia Ruzic vs Mirra Andreeva	1	$144	158	0	+158	Mirra Andreeva	+$14	05-07 05:31
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev	2	$142	161	55	+106	Daniil Medvedev	+$36	05-10 19:39
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)	1	$134	196	0	+196	open	—	05-16 21:58
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	1	$130	228	0	+228	Alexander Volkov	+$98	05-09 21:32
Savannah: Hynek Barton vs Daniel Galan	3	$124	333	271	+62	open	—	04-20 21:54
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks	1	$120	218	0	+218	open	—	06-02 06:00
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Francisco Comesana vs Leandro Riedi	1	$110	170	0	+170	Francisco Comesana	+$59	05-05 06:05
Istanbul: Anastasia Gasanova vs Hanyu Guo	3	$109	228	0	+228	Anastasia Gasanova	$-109	05-03 20:58
CSKA Moscow vs. Enisey Krasnoyarsk	2	$102	52	52	+0	open	—	04-27 19:05
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)	1	$100	223	0	+223	open	—	05-13 22:28
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste	1	$90	93	0	+93	open	—	04-28 18:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 22:44:33	ufc mat ale35 2026 06 06	Alessandro Costa	BUY	299	79¢	$236	0x9de8de…
06-02 06:00:12	Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks	Zhejiang Lions	BUY	218	55¢	$120	0x616f5a…
05-26 18:48:30	Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Katie Volynets	Katie Volynets	BUY	407	14¢	$57	0xb9d860…
05-26 15:55:13	Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty	New York Liberty	BUY	360	66¢	$237	0x4eef2d…
05-25 13:55:27	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	399	62¢	$248	0x85e487…
05-19 04:33:39	Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	SELL	140	84¢	$117	0xce7f1b…
05-18 21:03:54	Zhejiang Lions vs. Shenzhen Leopards	Zhejiang Lions	SELL	401	100¢	$401	0x11924f…
05-18 12:58:17	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	1,097	67¢	$735	0x0c432d…
05-18 04:38:06	Zhejiang Lions vs. Shenzhen Leopards	Zhejiang Lions	BUY	401	69¢	$277	0xec2012…
05-16 21:58:06	UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Malcolm Wellmaker	BUY	196	68¢	$134	0x4690ad…
05-16 21:48:19	Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	44	58¢	$26	0xa40820…
05-16 21:45:19	Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	BUY	140	69¢	$96	0x480d49…
05-15 17:22:48	UFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski (Middleweight, Prelims)	Andre Petroski	BUY	239	61¢	$146	0x178aab…
05-15 05:45:12	Shanghai Sharks vs. Beijing Ducks	Beijing Ducks	BUY	312	23¢	$72	0x44a2ea…
05-14 04:33:20	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	211	35¢	$74	0xab6309…
05-13 22:28:26	UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)	Daniel Barez	BUY	223	45¢	$100	0x134ecf…
05-12 21:06:31	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	140	22¢	$31	0xf41e1f…
05-11 18:36:14	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xd027a0…
05-11 05:36:42	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	1,074	77¢	$827	0x1a2613…
05-10 19:39:04	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	55	66¢	$36	0x68bd3c…
05-10 18:38:33	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	161	66¢	$106	0x0daf78…
05-10 17:08:17	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	356	36¢	$128	0x41d8e7…
05-10 16:56:39	Valencia vs. Saski Baskonia	Valencia	BUY	171	28¢	$48	0x8a5f4a…
05-09 22:21:20	Shanxi Loongs vs. Zhejiang Lions	Shanxi Loongs	BUY	12	69¢	$9	0x596113…
05-09 22:19:09	Shanxi Loongs vs. Zhejiang Lions	Shanxi Loongs	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0xde8a91…
05-09 21:35:17	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	198	82¢	$162	0x5af1c4…
05-09 21:32:05	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	228	57¢	$130	0x383706…
05-09 19:59:20	Chicago Sky vs. Portland Fire	Chicago Sky	BUY	24	69¢	$17	0xd0fbc5…
05-09 19:41:23	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	106	36¢	$38	0xabc62e…
05-09 06:11:17	Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever	Dallas Wings	BUY	293	30¢	$88	0x07ff4d…
05-08 16:37:48	Panathinaikos vs. Valencia	Valencia	BUY	271	33¢	$89	0xeef0ad…
05-08 13:25:08	Connecticut Sun vs. New York Liberty	Connecticut Sun	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xed133b…
05-08 12:59:14	Connecticut Sun vs. New York Liberty	Connecticut Sun	BUY	28	17¢	$5	0x425603…
05-07 18:20:10	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	206	34¢	$70	0x1f777f…
05-07 15:38:46	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	368	35¢	$129	0xbd6750…
05-07 11:03:38	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	66	37¢	$24	0x29adc2…
05-07 10:51:16	Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanxi Loongs	Shanxi Loongs	BUY	312	24¢	$75	0x057e3b…
05-07 07:14:28	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Noemi Basiletti vs Ajla Tomljanovic	Noemi Basiletti	BUY	112	47¢	$52	0xd64a1a…
05-07 05:31:25	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Antonia Ruzic vs Mirra Andreeva	Mirra Andreeva	BUY	158	91¢	$144	0xc1d66e…
05-06 19:07:15	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	1,065	78¢	$830	0xd81cad…
05-06 08:47:34	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Cristina Bucsa vs Qinwen Zheng	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	140	16¢	$22	0xad647b…
05-05 19:23:50	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	866	86¢	$745	0x9ee144…
05-05 06:05:18	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Francisco Comesana vs Leandro Riedi	Francisco Comesana	BUY	170	65¢	$110	0x2527b9…
05-04 16:57:12	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x046815…
05-04 16:50:10	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x17d301…
05-04 15:41:16	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	205	83¢	$170	0xa2ad8a…
05-04 15:30:22	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	491	83¢	$408	0x1bc507…
05-04 08:28:00	Francavilla: Juan Carlos Prado vs Buvaysar Gadamauri	Juan Carlos Prado	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0x6dbdff…
05-03 20:58:22	Istanbul: Anastasia Gasanova vs Hanyu Guo	Hanyu Guo	BUY	33	48¢	$16	0xbd96c6…
05-03 20:42:58	Istanbul: Anastasia Gasanova vs Hanyu Guo	Hanyu Guo	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xcc0ca8…
05-03 20:42:58	Istanbul: Anastasia Gasanova vs Hanyu Guo	Hanyu Guo	BUY	184	48¢	$88	0xc6e8c7…
05-03 13:53:36	Francavilla: Juan Carlos Prado vs Buvaysar Gadamauri	Juan Carlos Prado	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x485192…
05-03 13:11:42	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	845	72¢	$608	0x276a4a…
05-03 06:34:48	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	341	72¢	$245	0x3c135c…
05-02 06:13:00	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	94	71¢	$67	0x5c4e78…
05-01 22:14:38	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x8144b8…
05-01 22:10:52	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	59	40¢	$24	0xf75562…
04-29 18:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xf31cad…
04-28 18:30:18	Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	93	97¢	$90	0x8f4721…
04-27 19:05:02	CSKA Moscow vs. Enisey Krasnoyarsk	CSKA Moscow	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xc6f9ad…
04-27 16:22:58	CSKA Moscow vs. Enisey Krasnoyarsk	CSKA Moscow	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xcd9de4…
04-20 21:54:22	Savannah: Hynek Barton vs Daniel Galan	Hynek Barton	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xac521e…
04-20 21:49:20	Savannah: Hynek Barton vs Daniel Galan	Daniel Galan	SELL	271	9¢	$24	0x94b362…
04-20 21:43:36	Savannah: Hynek Barton vs Daniel Galan	Daniel Galan	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0x5e63fe…
04-20 21:30:32	dota2 z10 pr1 2026 04 20	Zero Tenacity	SELL	100	83¢	$83	0x688dc0…
04-20 21:28:50	dota2 z10 pr1 2026 04 20	Zero Tenacity	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x5b0ef7…
04-20 20:34:58	Madrid Open, Qualification: Zsombor Piros vs Tomas Barrios	Zsombor Piros	SELL	140	100¢	$139	0x1ec08b…
04-20 19:40:00	Madrid Open, Qualification: Zsombor Piros vs Tomas Barrios	Zsombor Piros	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xb9ba28…
04-20 19:37:22	Madrid Open, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Christopher O'Connell	Dino Prizmic	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xe3ae4b…
04-20 19:09:52	Madrid Open, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Christopher O'Connell	Dino Prizmic	BUY	106	66¢	$70	0xa73a59…