Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
-$31
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
122
lifetime
Volume
$918
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$151
25 positions
First seen
2026-11-07
last 11-13 03:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
69% 0% -$1
Politics
16% — —
Tech
13% — —
Sports
1% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will The Baddest Speechwriter of All win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? No +40 $24 70¢ $28 +$4 11-12 16:11
Will The Baddest Speechwriter of All win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +60 $31 30¢ $18 -$13 11-12 16:26
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by November 30? Yes +50 $26 33¢ $17 -$9 11-12 13:56
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from November 13 to November 20, 2026? No +20 $10 68¢ $14 +$3 11-12 15:38
Will OpenRouter process between 220T and 230T tokens the week of November 16? No +20 $12 63¢ $13 +$1 11-12 14:43
Rubio's Republican nomination odds dip to 15% by December 31? No +20 $12 62¢ $12 +$0 11-12 14:56
will jensen huang post again on x by november 30 No +20 $10 48¢ $10 -$1 11-12 23:46
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from November 13 to November 20, 2026? Yes +20 $11 32¢ $6 -$5 11-12 15:45
Will Robinhood run an Ad during Super Bowl LXI? Yes +10 $4 60¢ $6 +$2 11-12 16:57
Will Robinhood run an Ad during Super Bowl LXI? No +15 $7 40¢ $6 -$1 11-12 16:56
will nvidias next ceo be an external candidate No +5 $3 55¢ $3 +$0 11-12 16:31
Will Danceteria (Madonna) be nominated for Best Dance Pop Recording at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? No +5 $3 50¢ $2 $0 11-12 22:47
Will The Life of a Showgirl (Taylor Swift) be nominated for Best Pop Vocal Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? No +5 $2 50¢ $2 +$1 11-12 23:52
will nvidias next ceo be an external candidate Yes +5 $2 45¢ $2 +$0 11-12 16:31
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +5 $2 42¢ $2 $0 11-12 22:26
Will Rockstar Games release a new video before November 19? No +5 $3 42¢ $2 -$1 11-13 01:40
Rubio's Republican nomination odds dip to 15% by December 31? Yes +5 $2 38¢ $2 -$1 11-12 15:09
Will The Romantic (Bruno Mars) be nominated for Best Pop Vocal Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? No +5 $2 29¢ $1 -$1 11-13 03:25
Will the Green Bay Packers have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? No +5 $2 26¢ $1 -$1 11-12 23:53
Will Jensen Huang rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? Yes +5 $2 24¢ $1 -$1 11-12 22:26
next russia ukraine eu trilateral diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 Yes +5 $3 20¢ $1 -$2 11-13 01:42
will taylor swift appear in a 2027 big game commercial Yes +5 $2 8¢ $0 -$1 11-13 01:07
Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31? Yes +0 $0 58¢ $0 $0 11-09 06:41
Will Cameroon take third place in Miss Universe 2026? Yes +3 $4 7¢ $0 -$4 11-10 00:16
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? Yes +0 $3 45¢ $0 -$3 11-10 00:05