Murky-Artifact — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$137

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.5%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

2,760 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$610

$26.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 09-10 04:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Other

50% 3% -$295

Sports

26% 4% -$304

Politics

11% 0% -$96

Tech

7% 0% -$93

Crypto

4% 11% -$5

Pop-Culture

3% 25% -$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	57	$620	637	692	-54	Yes	-$25	05-17 21:02
will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	12	$359	256	256	+0	No	-$6	06-30 11:06
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	4	$331	400	400	+0	open	—	05-31 02:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	38	$319	520	520	+0	No	-$32	05-24 17:02
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	2	$270	150	150	+0	Yes	+$0	06-12 16:16
will neymar jr score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	14	$269	303	303	+0	Yes	-$4	06-29 13:48
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	2	$266	200	200	+0	Yes	-$50	06-12 15:48
president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	6	$260	150	150	+0	Yes	-$2	06-30 11:16
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	19	$235	241	241	+0	No	-$11	07-02 13:00
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	14	$219	187	187	+0	Yes	-$4	06-30 20:19
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?	24	$216	220	220	+0	Yes	-$3	07-01 22:28
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	3	$199	103	103	+0	Yes	-$1	06-12 16:13
will cristiano ronaldo score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406404	12	$192	210	210	+0	Yes	-$12	06-23 00:57
will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	7	$191	150	150	+0	No	-$9	07-03 18:33
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?	14	$161	126	126	+0	Yes	-$2	07-02 12:04
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	12	$152	141	141	+0	open	—	07-01 19:44
trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	20	$141	159	159	+0	No	-$4	06-27 06:35
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	4	$141	100	100	+0	Yes	-$18	07-01 13:06
will there be 5 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750573	6	$140	138	138	+0	Yes	-$1	06-20 21:35
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	2	$138	100	100	+0	Up	-$2	05-15 06:11
will nico williams score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	4	$136	100	100	+0	No	-$1	06-21 09:02
will krakens valuation hit high 12pt5b by december 31	4	$134	100	100	+0	open	—	07-04 09:35
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	4	$128	100	100	+0	Yes	-$2	06-29 09:06
Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	8	$128	91	91	+0	No	-$2	06-23 16:46
will cristiano ronaldo score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406405	8	$127	170	170	+0	No	-$12	07-04 12:59
will gonalo ramos score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	4	$122	100	100	+0	Yes	-$1	06-30 14:04
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title?	14	$122	125	125	+0	No	-$3	07-01 08:12
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	14	$121	116	116	+0	open	—	07-03 14:31
will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	6	$120	150	150	+0	Yes	-$3	07-03 15:16
will stripes valuation hit high 180b by june 30	12	$116	100	100	+0	No	-$1	06-22 12:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-10 04:19:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-03 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xfd50d8…
09-10 04:19:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-03 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x8114f3…
09-10 04:04:12	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xdcf6cb…
09-10 04:04:01	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x9071ea…
09-10 03:26:19	Will Sassuolo finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x4a8b2d…
09-10 03:26:16	Will Sassuolo finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x1370d5…
09-10 03:23:57	Will SC Paderborn be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?	Yes	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x5a94ab…
09-10 03:23:55	Will SC Paderborn be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x37d580…
09-10 03:10:55	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xe5e8e4…
09-10 03:10:52	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x8ecfb6…
09-10 03:06:54	Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?	Yes	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0x05464a…
09-10 03:06:52	Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0x9f1bc2…
09-10 03:02:48	openai vspt anthropic first to another millennium prize solution	Anthropic	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x9ca0d4…
09-10 03:02:46	openai vspt anthropic first to another millennium prize solution	Anthropic	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x93f289…
09-10 02:59:12	Will the Bengals win the season series against the Steelers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xc04aed…
09-10 02:59:10	Will the Bengals win the season series against the Steelers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xbc3811…
09-10 02:49:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-02 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xa5695b…
09-10 02:48:43	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-02 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x7c630a…
09-10 02:37:33	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x9d4770…
09-10 02:37:31	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xd7d4ed…
09-10 02:22:33	Will Genoa finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x5f9be2…
09-10 02:22:31	Will Genoa finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x293649…
09-10 02:17:45	Will Ipswich Town finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x261205…
09-10 02:17:43	Will Ipswich Town finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xeb1c9c…
09-10 02:08:06	Will Espanyol finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x52380f…
09-10 02:08:03	Will Espanyol finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x480894…
09-09 23:32:25	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-07 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x311efb…
09-09 23:32:22	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-07 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x4ff65c…
09-09 23:07:33	Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	Yes	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0xa443b8…
09-09 23:07:33	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0x2a1f7f…
09-09 21:49:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x6aac4c…
09-09 21:49:03	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x5c0a24…
09-09 21:48:00	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 275,000 and 300,000?	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x825661…
09-09 21:47:58	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 275,000 and 300,000?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xb5cf63…
09-09 21:47:00	Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x547da3…
09-09 21:46:58	Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xcd38bd…
09-09 21:44:22	Will Arsenal be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xb26ac7…
09-09 21:44:18	Will Arsenal be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0xb0b8f4…
09-09 21:43:43	Will Bekim Sejdiu be the next President of Kosovo?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x8a8006…
09-09 21:43:42	Will Bekim Sejdiu be the next President of Kosovo?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xcf9492…
09-09 21:43:40	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x404d39…
09-09 21:42:15	Will Arsenal be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xc2cbff…
09-09 21:41:36	Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	Yes	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0x4359e0…
09-09 21:40:01	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x5f913c…
09-09 21:40:00	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x91e0f3…
09-09 21:36:37	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0x31a2f8…
09-09 21:36:34	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0x1e8caa…
09-09 21:35:52	Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.25 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x8ebac9…
09-09 21:35:49	Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.25 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x47090e…
09-09 21:32:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x35a51b…
09-09 21:32:09	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x4e5242…
09-09 21:31:48	Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	17	87¢	$14	0x3641f7…
09-09 21:31:46	Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x12e4fe…
09-09 08:02:12	Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague?	Yes	SELL	19	20¢	$4	0xfb489d…
09-09 08:02:09	Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague?	Yes	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0xa6ed72…
09-09 08:02:07	Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x966d8e…
09-09 07:49:27	Will ISM Services PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in September?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x312b5e…
09-09 07:49:24	Will ISM Services PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in September?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xf3f37c…
09-09 07:46:45	Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x92b994…
09-09 07:46:42	Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x9ab615…
09-09 07:42:55	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 47m?	Yes	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0xce9114…
09-09 07:42:54	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 47m?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe38dde…
09-09 07:35:27	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x915035…
09-09 07:35:25	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x970e9b…
09-09 07:33:09	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x99284d…
09-09 07:33:07	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x3fb69d…
09-09 07:27:31	Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	20¢	$3	0x4fea99…
09-09 07:27:30	Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xa099f1…
09-09 07:21:36	Will over 62 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x791acb…
09-09 07:21:33	Will over 62 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x0d795b…
09-09 07:11:25	Will Solana hit $150 by September 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xd968ef…
09-09 07:11:24	Will Solana hit $150 by September 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x052a92…
09-09 07:04:37	Will WHERE IS MY HUSBAND! (RAYE) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x4edef1…
09-09 07:04:34	Will WHERE IS MY HUSBAND! (RAYE) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xa2b896…
09-09 06:44:04	Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	71¢	$11	0x49c4b0…
09-09 06:44:01	Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x6b3b7c…
09-09 06:43:58	Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xa450f9…
09-09 06:34:43	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x7da393…
09-09 06:34:40	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x6a6e3a…
09-09 06:27:22	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$4	0xfa8c25…
09-09 06:27:19	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$4	0x261518…
09-09 06:20:18	Will Tottenham Hotspur qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0xddabcd…
09-09 06:20:15	Will Tottenham Hotspur qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	16	19¢	$3	0xd1852a…
09-09 06:20:12	Will Tottenham Hotspur qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xcf6797…
09-09 04:46:16	Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0xb5aa11…
09-09 04:46:15	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xd4e05d…
09-09 04:46:13	Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xe696c0…
09-09 04:46:09	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x1438e0…
09-09 04:45:27	Will Deportivo La Coruña qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Conference League?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xc541b3…
09-09 04:45:18	Will Deportivo La Coruña qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Conference League?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x31d3d0…
09-09 04:34:04	Will Craig Hodge win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?	No	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x5493ef…
09-09 04:34:03	Will Craig Hodge win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x1d8aad…
07-04 13:48:07	will databricks valuation hit high 180b by december 31	Yes	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0xc55d4a…
07-04 13:48:04	will databricks valuation hit high 180b by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0xbff40e…
07-04 13:40:28	Will the winner of the 2026 Tour De France be from Denmark?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x7335d6…
07-04 13:40:25	Will the winner of the 2026 Tour De France be from Denmark?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcca5f8…
07-04 13:00:25	Will the winner of the 2026 Tour De France be from Denmark?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x038c62…
07-04 13:00:23	Will the winner of the 2026 Tour De France be from Denmark?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x8cc010…
07-04 12:59:25	will cristiano ronaldo score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406405	No	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0x23a733…
07-04 12:59:16	will cristiano ronaldo score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406405	No	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0xbe2a5c…