Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

52.5%

Resolved

Trades

253

lifetime

Volume

$2.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$36

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-03 11:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Other

63% 56% -$4

Politics

21% 64% -$2

Tech

7% 50% +$3

Crypto

4% 50% -$9

Pop-Culture

3% 33% -$1

Sports

2% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	-15	-$6	86¢	$-13	-$6	05-02 10:12
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	+20	$12	60¢	$12	$0	11-03 08:31
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	-10	-$7	94¢	$-9	-$2	05-02 10:12
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Invictus Gaming	+2	$1	80¢	$1	+$0	11-03 04:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mrbeasts next video get between 58 and 61 million views on day 2	11	$268	300	350	-50	No	-$16	04-20 09:41
Military action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?	9	$166	150	150	+0	Yes	-$7	04-08 17:46
will mrbeasts latest video get 76 million or more views on day 6	4	$99	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	04-10 17:28
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	7	$98	100	100	+0	No	+$7	05-21 12:39
will mrbeasts latest video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 6	14	$87	83	83	+0	No	-$1	04-10 07:47
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of October 2026?	3	$65	40	40	+0	open	—	10-04 14:00
over 80m committed to the ranger public sale 675 826 682 419	3	$62	50	50	+0	Yes	+$12	01-06 18:06
Will SB Energy's market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?	4	$57	40	40	+0	open	—	09-15 07:34
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	5	$55	52	52	+0	Yes	+$1	05-19 13:16
Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5?	4	$53	60	60	+0	Yes	+$1	10-10 09:16
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$48	100	0	+100	Yes	+$2	05-19 15:28
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?	2	$47	100	0	+100	No	+$3	04-25 07:48
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	2	$46	50	50	+0	Yes	-$4	05-21 14:41
will deb tirar ms fotos bad bunny win album of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	6	$43	70	0	+70	Yes	+$27	01-08 14:25
Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	5	$41	40	60	-20	Yes	+$2	04-07 16:17
Will NightBirds Win Hitpoint Masters 2026 Summer	4	$40	40	40	+0	No	$0	09-15 09:21
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	5	$37	80	0	+80	No	+$3	05-20 02:53
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	2	$36	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-13 16:16
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$36	40	0	+40	Yes	+$4	02-11 04:41
Gemini Argon released by October 12, 2026?	3	$35	20	20	+0	No	$0	10-09 12:49
Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?	4	$33	20	20	+0	No	+$3	04-09 00:28
will the next gpt sol model 6pt1 debut at a score of at least 1460 by june 30 2027	2	$33	20	20	+0	No	+$0	09-30 17:59
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by May 31, 2026?	2	$33	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-20 15:52
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	4	$31	58	100	-42	Michael	-$1	04-26 16:46
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	17	$28	59	19	+40	No	+$2	10-07 08:14
Eric Swalwell out as US Rep by May 31?	4	$27	30	30	+0	Yes	$0	04-13 16:44
will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 12 2026	3	$27	24	24	+0	Yes	+$0	04-11 17:01
Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?	3	$26	50	50	+0	Yes	-$1	04-10 16:56
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 360 379	4	$26	30	30	+0	No	+$3	01-30 07:58
will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 11 2026	2	$24	17	17	+0	Yes	+$0	04-11 13:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 11:55:00	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xfe5084…
11-03 08:31:51	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x347590…
11-03 04:26:21	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Invictus Gaming	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9c0fa8…
10-27 15:23:24	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xf29f73…
10-26 14:04:36	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x68caad…
10-26 13:36:02	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x5b4163…
10-24 05:13:51	LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0xa97d4e…
10-24 05:13:20	LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x1f6e71…
10-23 18:42:21	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x00edf7…
10-23 18:22:45	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xf64f94…
10-10 09:16:48	Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5?	Yes	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x2f4af7…
10-10 07:37:54	Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5?	No	SELL	40	35¢	$14	0x4159e1…
10-10 06:51:30	Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xa036b3…
10-10 06:51:25	Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5?	No	BUY	40	34¢	$13	0xf2afee…
10-09 12:49:52	Gemini Argon released by October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	16	87¢	$14	0xd983ce…
10-09 12:49:06	Gemini Argon released by October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0x9b77a2…
10-09 06:58:07	Gemini Argon released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x313f77…
10-07 08:14:18	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	25¢	$5	0xa3d9f7…
10-07 07:53:47	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xe7a4f5…
10-07 07:52:53	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xf8292c…
10-07 07:52:41	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x5d22b4…
10-07 07:50:35	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x059d30…
10-07 07:49:33	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x3ea207…
10-07 07:48:47	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x7c4d67…
10-07 07:42:23	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xff8d5f…
10-07 07:35:18	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x7f27e7…
10-07 07:34:56	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x57cc2a…
10-07 07:34:39	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x480d9c…
10-07 07:18:09	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xc82419…
10-07 06:48:23	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x9e534a…
10-07 06:46:29	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x7aec4c…
10-07 06:43:30	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x855b08…
10-06 14:46:51	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xb219d5…
10-06 13:05:01	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x1770ff…
10-06 09:09:24	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	16	46¢	$7	0xf6b652…
10-06 09:09:22	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x397314…
10-06 09:09:22	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x21a322…
10-06 08:15:37	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x2bc75e…
10-06 08:15:34	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x6521cc…
10-06 07:57:36	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a phantom?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x8bed4a…
10-06 07:31:19	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a phantom?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xda84b2…
10-04 14:00:23	will eu emergency diesel stocks be at least 32m tonnes at end of october 2026	Yes	SELL	40	79¢	$32	0x7c4e6b…
10-04 07:38:59	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x83014d…
10-03 16:52:53	will it rain during the bahrain grand prix	Yes	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x4008ac…
10-03 16:44:05	Rain during the Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	12	51¢	$6	0x908a1a…
10-03 15:59:02	will it rain during the bahrain grand prix	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xd9660f…
09-30 17:59:47	will the next gpt sol model 6pt1 debut at a score of at least 1460 by june 30 2027	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xd22741…
09-30 12:26:39	will the next gpt sol model 6pt1 debut at a score of at least 1460 by june 30 2027	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x48e991…
09-24 17:31:03	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb41d87…
09-15 09:21:25	Will NightBirds Win Hitpoint Masters 2026 Summer	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x13694c…
09-15 07:40:58	Will NightBirds Win Hitpoint Masters 2026 Summer	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x2f8d30…
09-15 07:34:46	Will SB Energy's market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	12	72¢	$9	0x2678ab…
09-15 07:22:09	Will NightBirds Win Hitpoint Masters 2026 Summer	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xb008ef…
09-15 07:01:04	Will NightBirds Win Hitpoint Masters 2026 Summer	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x449263…
09-15 05:50:45	Will SB Energy's market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	28	72¢	$20	0x0bffb5…
09-14 14:39:34	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x67b71c…
09-14 14:29:27	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb0055b…
09-14 13:37:45	Will SB Energy's market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x5d08dd…
09-14 13:23:24	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x7c6401…
09-14 13:21:13	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x8645d5…
09-14 13:19:15	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x06cd59…
05-21 14:41:28	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0xa8833e…
05-21 14:15:57	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x806621…
05-21 14:06:16	Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0x63d037…
05-21 12:39:03	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	SELL	16	56¢	$9	0x6270f6…
05-21 12:38:54	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	SELL	34	56¢	$19	0xeb0e0e…
05-21 11:46:16	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	No	SELL	26	49¢	$13	0x72f6e7…
05-21 10:30:27	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	No	SELL	22	49¢	$11	0x756127…
05-21 10:17:13	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xb85bc7…
05-21 09:36:12	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	No	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xd241fe…
05-21 09:15:14	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0xb07c50…
05-20 17:51:18	Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xfdfb41…
05-20 17:50:51	Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x62ac9e…
05-20 17:35:33	Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x07c122…
05-20 17:33:42	Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xc3cd34…
05-20 15:52:07	Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xcbefb8…
05-20 14:51:31	Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x936192…
05-20 02:53:52	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xd505ee…
05-20 02:46:48	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	Yes	BUY	34	54¢	$18	0xaa99d0…
05-19 19:09:23	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	No	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xd2eacc…
05-19 19:00:45	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	No	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x71e299…
05-19 19:00:36	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x60f469…
05-19 15:28:34	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x2e0bef…
05-19 15:22:39	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xabc425…
05-19 13:16:40	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	SELL	12	54¢	$6	0x94de61…
05-19 13:15:11	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	SELL	40	54¢	$22	0xa6b08e…
05-19 12:47:22	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0xa2c644…
05-19 12:45:54	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0x4c99c0…
05-11 08:29:38	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x74f404…
05-11 08:10:23	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x2f746d…
05-02 10:12:42	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	15	43¢	$6	0xc3c686…
05-02 10:12:36	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0xfe1e08…
04-26 16:46:56	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	The Devil Wears Prada 2	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0xa73bad…
04-26 12:49:08	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	The Devil Wears Prada 2	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xaf0f47…
04-26 09:15:40	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	The Devil Wears Prada 2	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0xe7dbcc…
04-26 08:50:06	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	The Devil Wears Prada 2	BUY	6	27¢	$1	0xcd809c…
04-25 07:48:54	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0xfa8bd7…
04-25 07:42:26	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xeea0c2…
04-20 09:41:16	will mrbeasts next video get between 58 and 61 million views on day 2	Yes	SELL	150	5¢	$8	0xf01131…
04-20 08:41:56	will mrbeasts next video get between 58 and 61 million views on day 2	Yes	BUY	150	11¢	$16	0x54bafd…