Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.93K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.5%

Resolved

Trades

208

lifetime

Volume

$58.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$279

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 03-09 23:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Politics

75% 50% -$6,165

Crypto

23% 62% -$1,273

Other

1% 0% -$493

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-09).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$10.0K	7,586	7,586	+0	Yes	+$102	03-01 23:52
will iran strike israel on march 4	8	$6.6K	6,883	6,883	+0	Yes	-$5,718	03-06 18:43
iran strike on israel by february 28	5	$5.9K	4,774	1,753	+3,022	Yes	+$57	02-28 14:28
hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	11	$5.0K	5,732	3	+5,729	Yes	+$762	03-02 00:46
will iran strike israel on march 3	15	$3.1K	3,501	3,501	+0	Yes	-$1,117	03-03 21:09
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	4	$2.7K	2,144	2,144	+0	Yes	+$43	02-28 09:54
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$2.6K	4,257	4,257	+0	Yes	-$478	02-28 14:05
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	3	$2.0K	1,159	1,159	+0	Yes	+$312	02-28 07:41
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	6	$1.9K	3,562	3,562	+0	Yes	-$108	02-20 17:33
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 14:05 UTC	4	$1.2K	1,436	522	+914	Up	-$132	02-28 14:09
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	2	$1.1K	601	601	+0	Yes	+$100	02-28 07:42
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:25 UTC	5	$977	1,071	40	+1,031	Down	+$65	02-20 20:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 17:35 UTC	2	$909	941	0	+941	Up	+$33	02-20 17:38
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 21:00 UTC	4	$900	987	0	+987	Up	-$900	02-20 21:15
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 18:05 UTC	1	$894	903	0	+903	Down	+$9	02-20 18:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 17:30 UTC	1	$892	909	0	+909	Up	+$17	02-20 17:34
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 17:45 UTC	1	$861	895	0	+895	Up	+$34	02-20 17:55
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	4	$816	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	-$215	02-20 14:58
will iran strike israel on march 6	4	$675	571	571	+0	No	-$74	03-09 16:26
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	4	$504	959	959	+0	No	+$104	01-08 22:51
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	4	$445	10,866	10,866	+0	No	+$45	02-28 06:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 22:45 UTC	2	$445	263	261	+2	Up	+$47	01-08 22:55
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$438	746	746	+0	No	-$64	03-04 21:38
us forcibly removes khamenei from power by march 31	2	$430	3,610	0	+3,610	No	-$430	03-01 05:06
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 19:00 UTC	3	$422	453	0	+453	Down	+$31	02-20 19:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:40 UTC	3	$400	418	0	+418	Up	+$18	02-20 20:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 15:00 UTC	2	$380	406	0	+406	Down	-$380	02-20 15:11
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 14:55 UTC	2	$345	380	0	+380	Down	+$35	02-20 14:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 17:00 UTC	1	$343	458	0	+458	Up	-$343	02-19 17:02
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 19:35 UTC	1	$300	317	0	+317	Down	+$17	02-20 19:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-09 23:13:37	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	242	80¢	$194	0x084ceb…
03-09 22:59:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	195	88¢	$172	0x5c341a…
03-09 16:26:21	will iran strike israel on march 6	No	SELL	189	91¢	$172	0x1d2a8c…
03-06 18:53:39	will iran strike israel on march 6	No	BUY	189	68¢	$129	0x7ea2b4…
03-06 18:53:17	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	SELL	381	34¢	$129	0xbcd85e…
03-06 18:44:05	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	381	64¢	$246	0xd1cb37…
03-06 18:43:49	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	SELL	268	92¢	$246	0x743d0c…
03-06 17:32:47	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	BUY	268	79¢	$211	0x97c30a…
03-06 08:52:53	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	SELL	6,616	3¢	$211	0x1387cd…
03-04 21:38:43	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0x40bc3d…
03-04 21:38:29	Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x26780e…
03-04 21:38:27	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x3514c6…
03-04 21:38:25	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0x58bb09…
03-03 21:09:23	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	BUY	144	74¢	$106	0x3f73c4…
03-03 21:09:03	will iran strike israel on march 3	No	SELL	2,144	5¢	$106	0xdf4751…
03-03 18:15:35	will iran strike israel on march 3	No	BUY	415	47¢	$197	0xbcdef5…
03-03 18:15:05	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	SELL	375	52¢	$196	0xf2b222…
03-03 18:14:21	will iran strike israel on march 3	No	BUY	214	47¢	$100	0xc34170…
03-03 18:13:51	will iran strike israel on march 3	No	BUY	719	42¢	$300	0x3c238d…
03-03 18:13:45	will iran strike israel on march 3	No	BUY	262	38¢	$100	0xf8ec0e…
03-03 18:13:43	will iran strike israel on march 3	No	BUY	265	38¢	$100	0x6bf5fe…
03-03 18:13:37	will iran strike israel on march 3	No	BUY	269	37¢	$100	0x22a21e…
03-03 18:12:07	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xf7d21e…
03-03 18:12:07	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	SELL	46	70¢	$33	0xb1513c…
03-03 18:12:07	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	SELL	46	70¢	$33	0xa2949d…
03-03 18:12:05	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	SELL	46	70¢	$33	0xe9e2f4…
03-03 18:12:05	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	SELL	790	72¢	$566	0x945233…
03-03 18:12:05	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	SELL	46	70¢	$33	0x65e7c0…
03-03 09:14:31	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	BUY	945	90¢	$855	0x00a043…
03-03 09:05:03	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	BUY	1,357	90¢	$1,223	0x7b8641…
03-02 23:16:25	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	BUY	5,397	91¢	$4,901	0x25221e…
03-02 23:16:15	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x496328…
03-02 22:26:25	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x4f985c…
03-02 22:25:43	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xcdc49e…
03-02 22:23:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x48c948…
03-02 22:21:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	61	31¢	$19	0x1c67bf…
03-02 22:18:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xb90184…
03-02 22:14:57	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0xd5e622…
03-02 22:14:55	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0xf0fd0b…
03-02 22:14:55	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xbb7dc6…
03-02 22:14:37	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x70e139…
03-02 22:04:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	203	99¢	$200	0x98da25…
03-02 22:04:35	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	112	90¢	$100	0x15c1d6…
03-02 20:59:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	93	49¢	$46	0xb9ba20…
03-02 20:58:45	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 20:45 UTC	Up	SELL	94	5¢	$5	0x7f912c…
03-02 20:57:11	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xfcf7c9…
03-02 20:55:49	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	58	34¢	$20	0xb07b77…
03-02 20:53:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 20:50 UTC	Up	SELL	42	11¢	$5	0x5616e0…
03-02 20:52:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x660ba5…
03-02 20:48:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x11abe9…
03-02 20:20:53	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	34	75¢	$25	0xd1f72e…
03-02 19:51:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	76	38¢	$29	0x193600…
03-02 19:31:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	190	21¢	$40	0xfa1fc0…
03-02 19:28:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	60	34¢	$20	0xf48b7f…
03-02 18:54:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	113	30¢	$34	0xb08a45…
03-02 18:40:13	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	265	38¢	$100	0x5e38a9…
03-02 18:26:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	276	36¢	$100	0x024fbd…
03-02 18:24:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x04b774…
03-02 18:24:47	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	124	80¢	$100	0xcc6d53…
03-02 16:09:47	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x574c19…
03-02 10:54:49	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcc0969…
03-02 10:53:35	Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xec75b7…
03-02 00:46:59	hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	Yes	BUY	990	96¢	$951	0x48591d…
03-02 00:44:11	hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x058d8c…
03-02 00:24:15	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2d7167…
03-02 00:23:51	hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	Yes	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x92f596…
03-02 00:22:49	hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	Yes	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xe5c7b8…
03-02 00:07:59	hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	Yes	BUY	1,604	95¢	$1,520	0x22d957…
03-01 23:55:35	hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	Yes	BUY	634	79¢	$502	0x22fc4e…
03-01 23:55:23	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	741	25¢	$187	0x5fbff4…
03-01 23:55:03	hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xe29ccd…
03-01 23:54:49	hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	Yes	BUY	1,187	79¢	$938	0xfe9493…
03-01 23:54:47	hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	Yes	BUY	526	79¢	$416	0xee58b1…
03-01 23:54:47	hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	Yes	BUY	52	79¢	$41	0xc1882c…
03-01 23:52:49	hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	Yes	BUY	736	82¢	$600	0xa7e1bf…
03-01 23:52:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	2,000	100¢	$1,996	0x2cd0fe…
03-01 05:09:05	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	741	34¢	$250	0x45f30e…
03-01 05:06:11	us forcibly removes khamenei from power by march 31	Yes	BUY	877	15¢	$130	0x02cab3…
03-01 05:03:27	us forcibly removes khamenei from power by march 31	Yes	BUY	2,734	11¢	$300	0xd1fa20…
03-01 04:55:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,034	100¢	$1,030	0x2615ed…
03-01 04:44:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	3,034	100¢	$3,022	0x4bf865…
02-28 14:28:23	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	BUY	622	89¢	$551	0xfc8e10…
02-28 14:21:19	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	BUY	576	87¢	$500	0xe3f469…
02-28 14:15:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	115	81¢	$93	0x7cc0c8…
02-28 14:14:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x344800…
02-28 14:13:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	161	51¢	$82	0x951150…
02-28 14:09:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	907	99¢	$896	0x90777b…
02-28 14:09:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 14:05 UTC	Down	SELL	522	11¢	$58	0x5c805e…
02-28 14:07:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	329	30¢	$100	0x984015…
02-28 14:06:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x958ccc…
02-28 14:05:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	2,868	36¢	$1,039	0x4629fc…
02-28 13:50:47	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	2,868	51¢	$1,462	0xbd957a…
02-28 13:50:13	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	SELL	1,753	83¢	$1,462	0x877d35…
02-28 12:51:09	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	BUY	1,477	93¢	$1,372	0xacb81d…
02-28 09:54:33	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xad0c9d…
02-28 09:54:33	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,139	64¢	$1,369	0x5c1058…
02-28 09:54:31	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x3be311…
02-28 08:21:27	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	BUY	2,100	95¢	$2,003	0xacdff6…
02-28 08:21:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	4,552	44¢	$2,003	0x1baabd…
02-28 07:49:05	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,144	62¢	$1,330	0xc3e09e…