Closed-Flute — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$174

Unrealized P&L

-$755

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

702

lifetime

Volume

$160.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$229

Open exposure

$2.22K

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 06-29 14:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

66% 100% +$174

Politics

33% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		-2,228	$-1,979	100¢	$-2223	$-243	06-16 14:34
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes		+1	$512	0¢	$0	$-512	06-29 14:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	10	$9.6K	6,880	4,200	+2,680	open	—	05-28 17:05
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	33	$9.4K	5,812	5,812	+0	open	—	03-22 19:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$7.9K	4,188	4,588	-400	open	—	05-22 04:08
will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	25	$7.2K	5,230	3,727	+1,502	open	—	03-23 18:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	26	$6.8K	3,216	5,444	-2,228	open	—	06-16 14:34
netanyahu out by march 31 854	12	$6.7K	3,472	3,472	+0	open	—	03-20 17:10
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	12	$6.0K	3,404	3,404	+0	open	—	04-05 08:28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	31	$5.9K	3,600	3,600	+0	open	—	06-19 21:10
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	9	$5.4K	3,017	3,017	+0	open	—	04-12 18:29
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	6	$5.1K	2,806	2,806	+0	open	—	04-21 21:41
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 728 921 637 263	15	$5.0K	2,687	2,687	+0	open	—	03-10 21:22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	52	$5.0K	6,233	5,558	+675	open	—	06-26 12:05
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	14	$5.0K	3,800	3,800	+0	open	—	04-23 22:02
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	8	$4.5K	1,761	2,990	-1,229	open	—	06-15 04:56
spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	21	$4.4K	3,457	3,057	+400	open	—	03-23 08:50
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	67	$4.2K	6,500	6,626	-126	open	—	03-27 14:02
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	25	$4.1K	2,350	2,350	+0	open	—	03-09 00:30
spx opens up or down on april 1 2026	2	$3.8K	1,922	1,922	+0	open	—	04-01 12:55
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 947	13	$3.7K	2,101	2,101	+0	open	—	03-25 19:19
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	4	$3.4K	1,813	1,813	-0	open	—	04-25 18:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	5	$3.3K	3,170	390	+2,780	open	—	04-17 14:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	27	$3.1K	1,737	1,737	+0	open	—	04-25 18:01
spx opens up or down on march 25 2026	2	$3.1K	1,617	1,617	+0	open	—	03-25 15:21
spx up or down on march 27 2026	6	$2.4K	1,350	1,350	+0	open	—	03-27 15:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	7	$2.2K	1,170	1,170	+0	open	—	05-26 17:52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	12	$2.2K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	04-28 16:58
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	10	$2.1K	1,120	1,120	+0	open	—	05-11 20:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$2.0K	1,049	1,049	+0	open	—	05-11 19:04
spx opens up or down on march 26 2026	14	$2.0K	1,073	1,073	+0	open	—	03-26 14:15
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	18	$2.0K	4,402	4,402	+0	open	—	04-07 17:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 14:39:19	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	48	24¢	$12	0x05e93d…
06-29 14:33:41	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	18	24¢	$4	0x54692a…
06-29 14:31:35	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	25	24¢	$6	0x5dc977…
06-29 14:30:07	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0xa31668…
06-29 06:43:55	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,100	17¢	$187	0x534a92…
06-28 10:07:01	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	57¢	$115	0x21d165…
06-28 08:34:50	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	300	59¢	$177	0x3f24f6…
06-28 08:30:49	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	400	63¢	$251	0xaae26d…
06-28 07:12:10	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	292	60¢	$176	0x7f4a3e…
06-28 07:11:16	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$4	0x0cabd5…
06-26 12:05:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0x3ffdf4…
06-26 11:14:23	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,861	77¢	$1,437	0x03e8b2…
06-26 11:09:02	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0xe28681…
06-26 10:26:41	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	154	80¢	$123	0x2e3da9…
06-26 09:58:53	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,500	84¢	$1,267	0x5a11c6…
06-26 09:57:35	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	34	80¢	$27	0x3af51e…
06-26 09:45:38	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	139	77¢	$107	0x88f6c1…
06-24 13:27:38	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	BUY	217	97¢	$211	0x86c78a…
06-19 21:10:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	3,600	94¢	$3,384	0xcb7e1e…
06-19 19:24:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1,200	70¢	$840	0x8444e8…
06-19 19:15:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	190	70¢	$133	0x935fe4…
06-19 19:15:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x3fc44a…
06-19 19:15:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	250	70¢	$175	0xb105da…
06-19 19:14:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0xe7fa8c…
06-19 19:14:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0x144ac5…
06-19 19:14:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x59aa55…
06-19 19:14:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x4fa9bc…
06-19 19:14:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	24	70¢	$17	0x8d82e9…
06-19 19:14:34	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0xa60a3c…
06-19 19:14:34	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x6d6b74…
06-19 19:14:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xebba75…
06-19 19:14:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	15	70¢	$11	0xb37d9d…
06-19 19:14:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xaa9efa…
06-19 19:14:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xa1dc43…
06-19 19:14:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x645cc8…
06-19 19:14:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x60a5f0…
06-19 19:14:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x5aaf09…
06-19 19:14:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x1ee7f4…
06-19 19:14:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x1e1268…
06-19 19:14:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x121db9…
06-19 19:14:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x0a37a9…
06-19 19:14:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	104	70¢	$73	0x048c38…
06-19 19:14:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xaf927e…
06-19 19:14:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x7dadbd…
06-19 19:14:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x4bd9de…
06-19 19:14:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x4a6c6d…
06-19 19:14:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	27	70¢	$19	0x15ee87…
06-19 19:14:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	32	70¢	$23	0x0082f0…
06-19 19:13:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1,600	71¢	$1,136	0xcdb35f…
06-17 04:45:11	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xdf35bb…
06-16 19:49:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0x032be2…
06-16 18:07:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	513	33¢	$167	0x425f6c…
06-16 18:06:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0xba1675…
06-16 18:04:44	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	345	33¢	$112	0xa1ba33…
06-16 17:53:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xfb2ed2…
06-16 17:06:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x0bdc3b…
06-16 16:57:59	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	729	31¢	$226	0x0334cf…
06-16 16:57:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	15	31¢	$5	0x4f4425…
06-16 16:57:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xb21e0f…
06-16 16:57:44	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	85	31¢	$26	0xbd3905…
06-16 16:57:44	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	18	31¢	$6	0x428cc4…
06-16 16:56:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	21	30¢	$6	0x6a7775…
06-16 16:56:20	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	152	30¢	$45	0x24d404…
06-16 16:52:56	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x9b8c40…
06-16 16:52:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x180420…
06-16 16:49:26	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	140	30¢	$42	0x94ec87…
06-16 16:48:50	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x467b0c…
06-16 16:47:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x2646d4…
06-16 16:46:47	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	113	30¢	$33	0x10b231…
06-16 16:46:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x107be3…
06-16 16:46:32	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	16	30¢	$5	0x630534…
06-16 16:46:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	79	30¢	$23	0x5ff1d1…
06-16 16:46:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0xe35d77…
06-16 16:39:41	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	17	29¢	$5	0x7861b8…
06-16 16:38:38	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	141	30¢	$41	0x4794fa…
06-16 16:38:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	158	30¢	$47	0xca1736…
06-16 16:37:20	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	25	30¢	$7	0xde7c18…
06-16 16:36:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	51	30¢	$15	0xe979e5…
06-16 16:35:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	88	30¢	$26	0x988e2c…
06-16 16:26:56	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	516	29¢	$150	0x823748…
06-16 16:25:50	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	231	29¢	$67	0x6bd832…
06-16 16:20:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	103	29¢	$30	0xa0262d…
06-16 16:16:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	25	29¢	$7	0x2ac71d…
06-16 15:30:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	58	29¢	$17	0x3fb73d…
06-16 15:30:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	100	29¢	$29	0xca4d27…
06-16 15:29:02	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	100	29¢	$29	0x9bdbfc…
06-16 15:28:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	98	29¢	$28	0x8b28fb…
06-16 15:11:17	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	397	29¢	$114	0xcca017…
06-16 15:02:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	41	29¢	$12	0x1ebb8e…
06-16 14:41:56	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0x5ca932…
06-16 14:41:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xb06bb5…
06-16 14:34:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	3,704	83¢	$3,074	0x3f7eba…
06-16 12:02:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,600	1¢	$19	0x07bd9b…
06-16 03:53:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,000	2¢	$20	0xf93056…
06-15 05:06:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	700	70¢	$490	0x9b6f1e…
06-15 05:02:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	283	70¢	$198	0xd74836…
06-15 04:58:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	9	70¢	$7	0x2de8a5…
06-15 04:58:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	254	70¢	$178	0x09f0d8…
06-15 04:58:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0xd14700…
06-15 04:58:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xb37515…