Closed-Flute — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$174

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,014

lifetime

Volume

$208.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$205

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 08-11 06:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

56% 100% +$174

Politics

43% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	31	$10.0K	5,261	5,261	+0	open	—	07-26 06:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	10	$9.6K	6,880	4,200	+2,680	open	—	05-28 17:05
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	33	$9.4K	5,812	5,812	+0	open	—	03-22 19:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$7.9K	4,188	4,588	-400	open	—	05-22 04:08
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	21	$7.5K	4,222	4,222	-0	open	—	08-11 06:43
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	20	$7.4K	3,932	3,932	+0	open	—	08-01 20:41
will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	25	$7.2K	5,230	3,727	+1,502	open	—	03-23 18:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	26	$6.8K	3,216	5,444	-2,228	open	—	06-16 14:34
netanyahu out by march 31 854	12	$6.7K	3,472	3,472	+0	open	—	03-20 17:10
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	12	$6.0K	3,404	3,404	+0	open	—	04-05 08:28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	31	$5.9K	3,600	3,600	+0	open	—	06-19 21:10
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	9	$5.4K	3,017	3,017	+0	open	—	04-12 18:29
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	6	$5.1K	2,806	2,806	+0	open	—	04-21 21:41
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 728 921 637 263	15	$5.0K	2,687	2,687	+0	open	—	03-10 21:22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	52	$5.0K	6,233	5,558	+675	open	—	06-26 12:05
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	14	$5.0K	3,800	3,800	+0	open	—	04-23 22:02
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	8	$4.5K	1,761	2,990	-1,229	open	—	06-15 04:56
spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	21	$4.4K	3,457	3,057	+400	open	—	03-23 08:50
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	67	$4.2K	6,500	6,626	-126	open	—	03-27 14:02
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	25	$4.1K	2,350	2,350	+0	open	—	03-09 00:30
will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	41	$3.8K	2,881	1,805	+1,076	open	—	08-10 13:37
spx opens up or down on april 1 2026	2	$3.8K	1,922	1,922	+0	open	—	04-01 12:55
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 947	13	$3.7K	2,101	2,101	+0	open	—	03-25 19:19
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	4	$3.4K	1,813	1,813	-0	open	—	04-25 18:00
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	14	$3.4K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	08-02 02:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	5	$3.3K	3,170	390	+2,780	open	—	04-17 14:44
will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	6	$3.1K	1,629	1,629	+0	open	—	07-28 13:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	27	$3.1K	1,737	1,737	+0	open	—	04-25 18:01
spx opens up or down on march 25 2026	2	$3.1K	1,617	1,617	+0	open	—	03-25 15:21
iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	43	$2.4K	2,790	2,790	+0	open	—	07-19 08:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 06:43:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	2,188	97¢	$2,111	0xc08d48…
08-11 05:27:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	63	97¢	$61	0x5bab82…
08-10 13:37:28	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x99e969…
08-10 13:37:27	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	97	96¢	$93	0xeb6d4e…
08-10 13:37:16	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	97	96¢	$93	0x82cbc6…
08-10 13:37:15	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	97	96¢	$93	0x91e9c9…
08-10 13:37:12	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	97	96¢	$93	0x4d7466…
08-10 13:37:10	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	198	96¢	$190	0x93a206…
08-10 12:14:27	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0x98f632…
08-10 12:10:21	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x5dfa46…
08-10 12:08:13	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	SELL	298	92¢	$274	0xc135d4…
08-10 11:51:33	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	24	91¢	$21	0x6e2788…
08-10 11:50:33	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	576	92¢	$530	0xed832b…
08-10 11:50:10	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	269	91¢	$245	0x46700c…
08-10 11:24:39	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xfcbdc7…
08-10 11:24:37	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xeed30e…
08-10 11:24:33	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x35d408…
08-10 11:24:30	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xbdd57f…
08-10 11:24:28	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	SELL	164	90¢	$147	0x346f69…
08-10 10:45:46	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xd854b1…
08-10 10:45:36	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	87	88¢	$76	0xb870fc…
08-09 04:40:01	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x187e1a…
08-09 04:40:00	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	SELL	578	74¢	$428	0xd44630…
08-09 04:00:19	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	SELL	14	74¢	$10	0xd49cc6…
08-09 03:57:30	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0xbe49a5…
08-09 03:45:00	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x198c20…
08-09 03:44:58	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0x12383c…
08-09 01:24:52	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	135	51¢	$69	0x343020…
08-08 20:54:16	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	27	51¢	$14	0xc6a6a8…
08-08 19:39:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x16586c…
08-08 19:32:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x3da71a…
08-08 19:23:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x005bae…
08-08 19:17:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	26	90¢	$23	0xe87fb6…
08-08 18:56:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	721	90¢	$649	0x10a263…
08-08 18:43:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x64d9c3…
08-08 18:21:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7d9d39…
08-08 18:20:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0x25ee92…
08-08 18:20:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x4a98e2…
08-08 18:20:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x001cb2…
08-08 18:20:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	1,111	90¢	$1,000	0xe60de3…
08-08 18:20:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x1a1611…
08-08 18:13:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	79	90¢	$72	0x6c1bc2…
08-08 16:46:43	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x1f110f…
08-07 18:48:10	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	SELL	70	73¢	$51	0xb2fed0…
08-07 18:45:39	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	SELL	100	73¢	$73	0x09cffa…
08-07 18:43:46	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	SELL	94	73¢	$68	0xf47d17…
08-07 18:42:33	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	SELL	292	73¢	$213	0xb99a27…
08-07 15:57:00	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0xf38b8c…
08-07 13:00:52	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	110	63¢	$69	0x9f491d…
08-07 12:44:07	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xed9349…
08-07 12:41:03	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	241	63¢	$152	0xa883d3…
08-07 12:41:03	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	241	63¢	$152	0x0a4813…
08-07 07:52:27	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	127	80¢	$101	0x3fcd55…
08-07 06:43:54	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x071a12…
08-07 06:22:28	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x046ad4…
08-07 06:10:49	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	472	80¢	$377	0x06a646…
08-05 18:04:18	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x13211c…
08-05 15:31:36	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xa8c0ab…
08-05 15:31:32	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0x895efb…
08-05 15:31:09	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x0dae55…
08-05 06:50:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	776	90¢	$698	0x51f9a5…
08-05 06:50:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0x568b62…
08-05 06:50:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	415	90¢	$374	0x5f54b2…
08-05 06:20:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	776	90¢	$698	0xac1150…
08-02 20:25:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	700	76¢	$532	0xf8f35c…
08-02 14:46:45	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	13	65¢	$9	0x331d66…
08-02 14:34:15	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	14	65¢	$9	0x357341…
08-02 14:23:30	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	31	65¢	$20	0xce4ebd…
08-02 14:04:29	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	40	65¢	$26	0xb2ea7d…
08-02 14:00:27	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xf0fb56…
08-02 13:59:02	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	40	65¢	$26	0xe90c95…
08-02 02:58:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	402	98¢	$396	0x7f46b7…
08-02 02:41:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	1,271	79¢	$1,004	0x148e5d…
08-02 02:40:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xb1971f…
08-02 02:35:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	141	98¢	$138	0xda6452…
08-02 02:27:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	188	98¢	$184	0x993abb…
08-02 02:27:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	500	98¢	$492	0x077759…
08-02 02:26:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	375	98¢	$368	0x1e1c13…
08-01 20:41:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	806	100¢	$803	0x68830c…
08-01 20:37:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0xf364e8…
08-01 20:35:17	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	997	68¢	$678	0x0b6ec8…
08-01 20:33:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0xb797d2…
08-01 20:27:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	380	99¢	$375	0xe452ba…
08-01 19:45:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x94a3af…
08-01 19:44:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	423	96¢	$405	0xf33bd4…
08-01 19:23:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0x0d71c8…
08-01 19:21:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	820	98¢	$801	0x67114f…
08-01 18:50:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0x4b674b…
08-01 18:00:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x6afac2…
08-01 17:42:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0xc36b8f…
08-01 17:17:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x36c7cd…
08-01 16:19:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	324	94¢	$305	0xf0b592…
08-01 16:18:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	180	94¢	$170	0xba89ba…
08-01 16:16:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	841	94¢	$794	0xfe42f9…
08-01 16:16:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	58	94¢	$55	0xd9584a…
08-01 15:52:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	271	94¢	$256	0x1b4b98…
08-01 15:51:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	300	94¢	$280	0x8da9fb…
08-01 15:49:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	300	93¢	$279	0xcf0b76…
08-01 15:35:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x90e1ec…
08-01 15:30:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	500	92¢	$462	0xe26c9a…