Realized P&L
+$907
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
59.8%
Resolved
754
Trades
2,394
lifetime
Volume
$14.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$1.23K
21 positions
First seen
2026-03-19
last 10-01 09:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 94 days
Categories
Crypto
49% 40% -$33
Other
45% 75% +$933
Politics
5% 62% -$4
Tech
1% 100% +$2
Sports
0% 50% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 146 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +260 $258 100¢ $259 +$1 09-14 07:24
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +260 $252 99¢ $259 +$6 09-14 07:24
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +260 $254 98¢ $254 $0 09-14 07:24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +260 $160 82¢ $215 +$55 09-14 07:24
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +58 $50 92¢ $54 +$3 09-13 09:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +260 $112 20¢ $53 -$59 09-14 07:24
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 09-14 15:57
Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 +$0 09-10 23:44
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +15 $14 100¢ $15 +$1 09-10 23:44
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +15 $8 82¢ $12 +$4 09-10 23:44
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? No +15 $11 75¢ $11 +$1 09-12 00:08
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +20 $9 50¢ $10 +$1 09-14 15:49
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +10 $6 100¢ $10 +$4 09-15 15:31
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? No +15 $13 66¢ $10 -$3 09-12 00:08
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +15 $9 52¢ $8 -$1 09-12 08:49
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +10 $6 56¢ $6 -$1 09-13 09:56
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 09-10 11:47
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +10 $4 44¢ $5 +$1 09-11 18:17
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +58 $8 8¢ $4 -$4 09-13 09:56
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +15 $11 20¢ $3 -$8 09-10 23:44
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? No +10 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 09-13 23:00