Weak-Good — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$450

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.0%

Resolved

5,830

Trades

10,899

lifetime

Volume

$132.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 09-02 16:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Other

51% 93% -$101

Crypto

49% 89% -$342

Politics

0% 33% -$6

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	11	$320	200	200	+0	Up	+$60	05-27 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	12	$276	200	200	+0	Down	+$64	05-29 08:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 22:40 UTC	6	$201	201	0	+201	Down	+$0	08-06 22:45
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 00:25 UTC	3	$199	201	0	+201	Down	+$2	08-06 00:30
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 20:55 UTC	2	$191	201	0	+201	Up	+$10	08-06 21:00
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 01:40 UTC	2	$182	201	0	+201	Down	-$182	08-07 01:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 01:40 UTC	2	$175	201	0	+201	Down	-$175	08-07 01:45
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 29?	7	$159	80	80	+0	No	+$1	06-29 16:12
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 29?	12	$159	80	80	+0	No	+$1	06-29 16:13
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 29?	11	$159	80	80	+0	No	+$1	06-29 16:14
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 29?	9	$159	80	80	+0	No	+$1	06-29 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	9	$149	100	100	+0	Down	+$45	05-28 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	17	$147	100	100	+0	Up	+$43	05-28 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	11	$146	100	100	+0	Up	+$44	05-28 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$145	100	100	+0	Up	+$45	05-28 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	19	$145	100	100	+0	Up	+$45	05-28 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$144	100	100	+0	Down	+$46	05-27 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	9	$144	100	100	+0	Up	+$40	05-28 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	4	$143	100	100	+0	Down	+$47	05-27 17:34
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 07:15 UTC	2	$141	141	0	+141	Down	+$0	08-06 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	15	$140	100	100	+0	Down	+$40	05-28 11:23
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 15:15 UTC	2	$138	138	0	+138	Down	+$0	08-05 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$137	200	0	+200	Up	-$37	05-28 12:47
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 03:00 UTC	2	$135	135	0	+135	Down	+$0	08-06 03:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	11	$131	98	98	+0	Down	+$36	05-27 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	12	$129	100	100	+0	Up	+$31	05-28 11:52
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 23:00 UTC	2	$129	129	0	+129	Down	+$0	08-05 23:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 08:05 UTC	2	$129	130	0	+130	Up	+$1	07-30 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	11	$125	150	70	+80	Up	-$20	05-11 14:42
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 3?	13	$118	120	0	+120	No	+$2	07-03 18:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-02 16:24:27	Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x74e865…
09-02 12:14:24	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0xb3d05b…
09-02 12:14:21	Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xab5b13…
09-02 12:14:07	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x3d3253…
09-02 12:14:06	will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xd8c8d4…
09-02 06:44:18	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?	No	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xe56762…
09-02 06:40:15	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?	No	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xb11579…
09-02 06:39:37	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?	No	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x27486b…
09-02 06:39:12	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x615b69…
09-02 06:38:24	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?	No	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xaca4c3…
09-02 06:38:21	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?	No	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x159908…
09-01 11:06:09	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x57c2cf…
09-01 08:33:54	Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	No	BUY	9	94¢	$9	0x83f009…
09-01 08:26:57	Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x48682f…
09-01 07:18:12	Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x633f79…
09-01 05:49:52	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xbef42b…
09-01 05:42:28	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xa404a4…
09-01 02:35:07	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xe7b391…
08-31 20:38:24	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x42ab36…
08-31 17:19:30	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	No	SELL	50	11¢	$5	0xa145e1…
08-31 13:57:30	Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xa61213…
08-31 10:50:20	Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7134b2…
08-31 10:50:00	Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in China?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1bad36…
08-31 10:43:59	Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x5ed132…
08-31 06:29:01	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x2a86f0…
08-30 17:45:49	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9ebd01…
08-30 17:41:52	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1c4a3e…
08-29 03:25:36	bitcoin up or down on august 29 2026	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xc62aca…
08-26 08:06:10	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d4974…
08-26 04:01:00	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x0c952b…
08-26 01:33:54	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5cb355…
08-26 01:32:33	Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in China?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe66b0d…
08-25 06:06:34	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	No	BUY	37	6¢	$2	0x786106…
08-25 00:35:09	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	No	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x003fd6…
08-24 20:39:30	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x8c3a16…
08-07 01:45:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	101	81¢	$82	0x5032be…
08-07 01:45:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x224d0a…
08-07 01:45:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x120a06…
08-07 01:45:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	101	88¢	$89	0x6478ea…
08-06 23:30:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xf7a602…
08-06 22:50:02	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7c4f75…
08-06 22:45:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xd9e84a…
08-06 22:45:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4d2afb…
08-06 22:45:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x123147…
08-06 22:45:02	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb05f1a…
08-06 22:45:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3e7df7…
08-06 22:45:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x4f3527…
08-06 21:40:00	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xee4674…
08-06 21:40:00	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x756a1f…
08-06 21:05:02	BNB Up or Down - August 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x973c69…
08-06 21:05:00	BNB Up or Down - August 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x60a7b0…
08-06 21:00:03	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	101	91¢	$92	0x1c90cb…
08-06 21:00:03	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x14932c…
08-06 19:55:02	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x1c2b19…
08-06 18:00:21	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x60e6ff…
08-06 18:00:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x61ba0d…
08-06 13:35:02	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x292452…
08-06 13:35:02	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x07f85f…
08-06 13:35:00	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x23e24d…
08-06 12:45:02	XRP Up or Down - August 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xd2b31a…
08-06 11:35:02	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xbba036…
08-06 11:35:00	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xfc0af8…
08-06 11:05:02	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb39544…
08-06 07:55:00	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x418b8c…
08-06 07:20:02	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdb373d…
08-06 07:20:02	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xdafa26…
08-06 05:00:02	XRP Up or Down - August 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6b8515…
08-06 03:05:02	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xe6abb1…
08-06 03:05:02	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x36c4f6…
08-06 01:55:02	XRP Up or Down - August 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x731fa0…
08-06 01:30:02	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x7cacf0…
08-06 00:30:02	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc2827b…
08-06 00:30:02	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	98	99¢	$97	0x5292d0…
08-05 23:05:02	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x39c61d…
08-05 23:05:02	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x1f6ffe…
08-05 22:40:02	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x6eab34…
08-05 22:25:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x3b8915…
08-05 21:15:02	XRP Up or Down - August 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xea9c9d…
08-05 21:05:02	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x96a7e0…
08-05 17:10:02	XRP Up or Down - August 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x625c5a…
08-05 15:20:02	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbf5af7…
08-05 15:20:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdbd4b7…
08-05 15:20:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x2894cb…
08-05 15:00:02	XRP Up or Down - August 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xeb041f…
08-05 10:50:02	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xcffb3b…
08-05 10:50:02	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x36ff88…
08-05 06:55:02	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x611be3…
08-05 06:55:00	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbaed5f…
08-05 06:05:00	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc20109…
08-05 06:05:00	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x32f076…
08-05 05:25:02	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3125bc…
08-05 04:30:02	BNB Up or Down - August 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0xceb73a…
08-05 04:30:00	BNB Up or Down - August 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4338b3…
08-05 04:30:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x400498…
08-05 04:30:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x14167c…
08-05 02:05:02	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc77717…
08-05 02:05:02	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x5fdc7d…
08-05 02:05:00	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0xaecd3a…
08-05 00:45:00	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xea608f…
08-05 00:45:00	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xb58bf3…