Conventional-Going — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

165

lifetime

Volume

$105.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$641

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 06-07 13:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

93% 100% +$0

Other

5% — —

Crypto

2% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	57	$71.1K	36,100	36,100	+0	open	—	02-23 15:34
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	29	$15.0K	7,100	8,300	-1,200	open	—	02-24 06:02
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	4	$10.5K	5,300	5,300	+0	open	—	02-23 05:18
will mrbeasts latest video get 1618 million views on day 1 432 313	7	$4.3K	2,119	2,219	-100	open	—	02-22 08:32
bitcoin above 60k on february 23	1	$532	533	0	+533	open	—	02-23 18:30
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	2	$406	207	207	+0	open	—	02-27 13:11
Over $2M committed to the Bitway public sale?	2	$215	110	110	+0	open	—	01-26 05:43
Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$215	112	112	+0	open	—	01-21 08:04
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$205	223	0	+223	open	—	03-21 21:10
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$196	200	0	+200	open	—	04-05 13:48
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$130	131	0	+131	open	—	03-15 03:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$130	130	0	+130	open	—	05-23 05:48
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	4	$130	130	0	+130	open	—	03-06 14:24
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	1	$125	126	0	+126	open	—	06-07 13:20
bitcoin above 76k on march 11	1	$122	122	0	+122	open	—	03-11 13:32
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	1	$120	121	0	+121	open	—	04-24 08:03
bitcoin above 60k on february 15	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	02-15 12:24
ko quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt56	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	02-10 12:09
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 13	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	03-13 16:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	05-11 05:21
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$119	120	0	+120	open	—	03-18 05:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$118	118	0	+118	open	—	04-30 08:33
bitcoin above 60k on february 20	1	$112	112	0	+112	open	—	02-20 08:38
bitcoin above 86k on february 1	1	$110	110	0	+110	open	—	02-01 14:09
Tria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$110	110	0	+110	open	—	02-04 05:26
Fogo FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$109	110	0	+110	open	—	01-14 16:20
will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	1	$108	117	0	+117	open	—	02-28 03:32
Elsa FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	01-21 08:10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 7?	1	$103	103	0	+103	Yes	+$0	05-07 14:15
lol blg g2 2026 03 18	2	$101	125	0	+125	open	—	03-18 05:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 13:21:13	lol al blg 2026 06 08	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe312f2…
06-07 13:20:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	126	99¢	$125	0x98e28f…
05-23 05:48:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x26f6d8…
05-15 12:07:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x24ce21…
05-15 12:06:52	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x5168ce…
05-11 05:21:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x42f029…
05-07 14:15:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x77ca49…
04-30 08:33:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x5ae8a9…
04-24 08:03:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	121	100¢	$120	0x9f8787…
04-16 08:28:20	lol bro2 gen 2026 04 16 game1	Gen.G	SELL	70	67¢	$47	0x4ea34a…
04-16 08:20:56	lol bro2 gen 2026 04 16 game1	Gen.G	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0xd54564…
04-16 07:55:56	lol bro2 gen 2026 04 16	Gen.G	BUY	60	92¢	$55	0xd92873…
04-05 13:48:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x18f377…
03-21 21:10:07	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	223	92¢	$205	0x3f8d42…
03-18 05:42:59	lol blg g2 2026 03 18	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0xb846c7…
03-18 05:42:39	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$119	0xad5202…
03-18 05:42:05	lol blg g2 2026 03 18	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	125	81¢	$101	0x344c94…
03-15 03:31:19	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0x7adf36…
03-13 16:09:21	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 13	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x739742…
03-11 13:32:13	bitcoin above 76k on march 11	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xcc21e1…
03-06 14:24:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x46be66…
03-06 14:24:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xad0871…
03-06 14:24:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x973986…
03-06 14:21:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x9b37d9…
03-02 07:21:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x293388…
02-28 03:33:19	lol tes we 2026 02 28	Top Esports	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x6ecfb4…
02-28 03:32:35	will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	117	92¢	$108	0x8a46a5…
02-27 13:11:25	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	SELL	207	100¢	$206	0x24b14f…
02-24 07:04:08	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1ec4a4…
02-24 07:04:02	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8e14eb…
02-24 07:02:54	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	BUY	207	97¢	$200	0xc6e250…
02-24 06:02:10	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	SELL	607	97¢	$591	0xdfe7ea…
02-24 06:02:02	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	SELL	400	97¢	$390	0x859596…
02-24 06:01:32	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	SELL	55	97¢	$53	0xb7d48b…
02-24 06:01:26	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	SELL	250	97¢	$244	0x7c64ec…
02-24 06:01:20	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xfd0512…
02-24 06:01:14	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	SELL	85	97¢	$83	0xd195de…
02-24 05:57:40	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	1,400	97¢	$1,364	0x603ec8…
02-24 05:55:44	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	SELL	1,200	98¢	$1,170	0xad0133…
02-24 05:28:38	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	SELL	192	98¢	$188	0xa78396…
02-24 05:27:34	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x00f707…
02-24 05:27:04	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0x0584d5…
02-24 05:26:18	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	SELL	109	97¢	$106	0x760c81…
02-24 05:26:18	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	SELL	543	98¢	$530	0x65ddd0…
02-24 05:26:10	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	SELL	187	98¢	$182	0xed20d4…
02-24 05:26:10	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	SELL	124	98¢	$121	0xa986d0…
02-24 05:26:02	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x63e5f3…
02-24 05:25:50	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	1,200	97¢	$1,169	0x43c671…
02-24 04:53:46	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	SELL	639	97¢	$622	0x07762a…
02-24 04:53:32	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	SELL	1,161	97¢	$1,131	0xa4c727…
02-24 03:55:22	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	1,647	97¢	$1,601	0xd275b8…
02-24 03:54:22	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x7e0a98…
02-24 03:52:02	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	117	97¢	$114	0x4f63ce…
02-24 03:46:20	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	SELL	1,572	97¢	$1,529	0x6ce4b3…
02-24 03:46:00	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	SELL	211	97¢	$206	0xef3574…
02-24 03:45:10	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	SELL	72	97¢	$70	0x2e5b97…
02-24 03:30:16	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	SELL	512	97¢	$497	0xad15fa…
02-24 03:27:40	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	SELL	334	97¢	$325	0x7291cd…
02-24 03:27:38	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	512	97¢	$497	0x4f9a6b…
02-24 03:26:24	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	2,188	97¢	$2,127	0x50600f…
02-23 18:30:46	bitcoin above 60k on february 23	Yes	BUY	533	100¢	$532	0x588111…
02-23 15:34:28	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	2,400	98¢	$2,362	0xfac046…
02-23 15:23:14	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	BUY	2,400	98¢	$2,362	0x42eda8…
02-23 15:02:08	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x694af5…
02-23 15:02:04	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	202	98¢	$199	0x7e1535…
02-23 15:02:00	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x6c1d39…
02-23 15:00:52	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	500	98¢	$492	0x8dcbf6…
02-23 15:00:40	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x28d2b4…
02-23 15:00:38	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	1,000	98¢	$985	0x1a913d…
02-23 14:59:30	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	526	98¢	$518	0x8b8ffc…
02-23 14:57:50	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	402	98¢	$396	0x68b460…
02-23 14:56:46	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	BUY	2,166	98¢	$2,131	0x1acdc6…
02-23 14:55:40	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	BUY	134	98¢	$132	0x87c279…
02-23 14:53:14	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	1,494	99¢	$1,472	0xa1fa78…
02-23 14:52:04	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	769	98¢	$758	0xd1d6ba…
02-23 14:50:02	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0x316bb9…
02-23 14:49:04	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x012ce5…
02-23 14:47:28	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	BUY	1,986	98¢	$1,954	0x19c118…
02-23 14:47:10	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	BUY	312	98¢	$308	0x852ad9…
02-23 14:29:36	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	BUY	402	98¢	$395	0x1bba08…
02-23 13:50:22	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	2,700	98¢	$2,660	0xfe1edb…
02-23 13:15:58	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	BUY	2,700	99¢	$2,662	0x1b28b7…
02-23 12:57:52	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	1,944	99¢	$1,918	0xc9dc4e…
02-23 12:57:50	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	350	99¢	$345	0x3719fd…
02-23 12:57:36	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	105	99¢	$103	0x152e7f…
02-23 12:57:28	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	302	99¢	$298	0x4e8f2d…
02-23 12:24:04	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	BUY	2,700	99¢	$2,662	0x33527d…
02-23 12:20:28	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	2,700	99¢	$2,665	0x51f17c…
02-23 12:19:44	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	BUY	2,700	99¢	$2,662	0x00351c…
02-23 09:42:54	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	2,700	99¢	$2,665	0xf5836e…
02-23 09:39:56	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	BUY	2,700	99¢	$2,662	0x524374…
02-23 09:14:02	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	2,700	99¢	$2,665	0x14057d…
02-23 09:05:16	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	BUY	2,700	99¢	$2,662	0x74377e…
02-23 09:00:24	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	861	99¢	$850	0xeff5d1…
02-23 09:00:16	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	1,839	99¢	$1,815	0x0c973c…
02-23 08:57:00	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	BUY	2,700	99¢	$2,662	0xce2ae5…
02-23 08:53:24	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	2,610	99¢	$2,574	0xd9d2b6…
02-23 08:34:28	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0x4f2ff9…
02-23 08:33:32	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6280bb…
02-23 08:33:16	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	BUY	1,700	99¢	$1,678	0xecd7e2…